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Peer-reviewade publikationer — 56950 artiklar

Fitted Occupancy-Ratio Evaluation without Bellman Completeness
arXiv:2607.05375v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Occupancy ratios correct distribution shift in offline reinforcement learning and are central to off-policy evaluation. Existing primal-dual and minimax methods typically estimate these ratios by enforcing occupancy-balance moments over a critic class. We propose fitted occupancy-ratio evaluation (FORE), a fitted fixed-point method that characterizes the discounted occupancy ratio through an adjoint Bellman recursion. At each iteration, FORE solves a single-level density-ratio objective on one-step-transition data, thereby projecting the adjoint Bellman image onto a log-ratio class in Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence. Unlike analyses of fitted Q-evaluation, which typically require value-function realizability together with Bellman completeness or projected-operator stability, our central approximation condition is just realizability of the discounted occupancy ratio itself. Under this condition, the population KL-projected recursion contracts in relative entropy toward the true ratio by virtue of the adjoint Bellman operator being a KL-contraction. For the empirical recursion, we establish finite-sample regret bounds that yield convergence in KL up to log-ratio approximation error and a statistical error governed by the complexity of the ratio hypothesis class. The fitted ratio supports direct value estimation by reward reweighting, occupancy-weighted fitted Q-evaluation, and doubly robust estimation that combines the fitted ratio with a fitted Q-function. Together, these results identify discounted occupancy-ratio realizability as a sufficient condition for offline policy evaluation without any completeness assumptions.
Querying and Repairing Inconsistent Prioritized Knowledge Bases: Complexity Analysis and Links with Abstract Argumentation
arXiv:2003.05746v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In this paper, we explore the issue of inconsistency handling over prioritized knowledge bases (KBs), which consist of an ontology, a set of facts, and a priority relation between conflicting facts. In the database setting, a closely related scenario has been studied and led to the definition of three different notions of optimal repairs (global, Pareto, and completion) of a prioritized inconsistent database. After transferring the notions of globally-, Pareto- and completion-optimal repairs to our setting, we study the data complexity of the core reasoning tasks: query entailment under inconsistency-tolerant semantics based upon optimal repairs, existence of a unique optimal repair, and enumeration of all optimal repairs. Our results provide a nearly complete picture of the data complexity of these tasks for ontologies formulated in common DL-Lite dialects. The second contribution of our work is to clarify the relationship between optimal repairs and different notions of extensions for (set-based) argumentation frameworks. Among our results, we show that Pareto-optimal repairs correspond precisely to stable extensions (and often also to preferred extensions), and we propose a novel semantics for prioritized KBs which is inspired by grounded extensions and enjoys favourable computational properties. Our study also yields some results of independent interest concerning preference-based argumentation frameworks.
Double Fuzzy Probabilistic Interval Linguistic Term Set and a Dynamic Fuzzy Decision Making Model based on Markov Process with tts Application in Multiple Criteria Group Decision Making
arXiv:2111.15255v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The probabilistic linguistic term has been proposed to deal with probability distributions in provided linguistic evaluations. However, because it has some fundamental defects, it is often difficult for decision-makers to get reasonable information of linguistic evaluations for group decision making. In addition, weight information plays a significant role in dynamic information fusion and decision making process. However, there are few research methods to determine the dynamic attribute weight with time. In this paper, I propose the concept of double fuzzy probability interval linguistic term set (DFPILTS). Firstly, fuzzy semantic integration, DFPILTS definition, its preference relationship, some basic algorithms and aggregation operators are defined. Then, a fuzzy linguistic Markov matrix with its network is developed. Then, a weight determination method based on distance measure and information entropy to reducing the inconsistency of DFPILPR and obtain collective priority vector based on group consensus is developed. Finally, an aggregation-based approach is developed, and an optimal investment case from a financial risk is used to illustrate the application of DFPILTS and decision method in multi-criteria decision making.
Towards Fully Dynamic Omnitrees: Moment-Conserving Anisotropic Compression With Wavelets
arXiv:2607.04881v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recently, omnitrees were introduced as a flexible space partitioning tree that improves upon the benefits of both octrees and k-d trees: Omnitrees' efficient encoding of anisotropic refinements holds particular interest for applications with anisotropic features and high dimensionality. These include, but are not limited to, computer graphics, databases, machine learning, and physics simulations. The present paper defines new operations on the omnitree encoding that extend its capabilities from the existing refinement to also include coarsening and therefore fully adaptive compression. It demonstrates natural integration of omnitrees with wavelets, which conserves moments of the stored function by design. For omnitrees, the wavelet coefficients can be interpreted as local refinement priorities, which can be used to guide the adaptation process. We derive algorithms for coarsening and downsplit that are guided by wavelet coefficients, and show their application to a large dataset of 3D shapes, as well as the continuous-valued density field of a cloud. The comparison to OpenVDB, a widely-used data structure for sparse volumetric data in computer graphics, enables a demonstration of the practical benefits of omnitrees even for moderately anisotropic three-dimensional data. Compared to OpenVDB, objects can be stored using up to 28x less space, and asymptotically show savings that exceed theoretical expectations. Using lossy compression, the cloud dataset can be compressed by $\approx5\times$ compared to OpenVDB, with negligible loss of visual quality. This demonstrates the potential of omnitrees for efficient storage and processing, and motivates further research into their applications in various domains.
Using Process Mining to Generate AI Agents from Software Engineering Process Records
arXiv:2607.04948v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Integrating AI agents into Software Engineering (SE) raises an important challenge: how can we specify and realize AI agents that work effectively alongside humans in hybrid SE teams? Determining the right granularity and separation of concerns for such agents is non-trivial. Coarse-grained agents may introduce unmanageable complexity, whereas micro-agents may create severe coordination overhead. Moreover, existing multi-agent SE frameworks typically rely on predefined role structures and do not account for project-specific characteristics or process adaptations. We address this by combining object-centric, imperative, and declarative process mining. Using event logs extracted from software repositories, our approach discovers project-specific agent roles using a predefined SE role vocabulary grounded in repository behavior and generates matching agent specifications and implementations. As proof-of-concept, we applied our approach to a well-established open-source project. We performed functional tests and an exploratory user study to determine how well the generated AI agent specifications are aligned with human expectations.
Structure-Guided Self-Supervised Matching for One-Shot Medical Landmark Detection
arXiv:2203.01687v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Medical landmark detection usually requires accurate expert annotations, which are laborious and difficult to scale across anatomical regions. In this work, we study an extreme annotation-efficient setting where only a single annotated template image is available. We propose SGB-Match, a structure-guided coarse-to-fine self-supervised matching framework for one-shot medical landmark detection. The framework first learns dense anatomical correspondence from unlabeled augmented image pairs, and then transfers the landmark definition from the annotated template to each target image through feature matching. Different from standard contrastive correspondence learning, where negative candidates are penalized by a structure-agnostic rule, we introduce a structure-guided bias into the contrastive objective. The bias is constructed from relative distance and edge-aware anatomical cues, and explicitly reweights the negative gradients: nearby structure-relevant candidates are weakly repelled, while distant or structure-irrelevant negatives are strongly suppressed. As a result, the learned feature space better preserves local anatomical structures around template landmarks and reduces confusing responses from repeated textures. We further adopt a global-to-local design, where a global encoder provides coarse landmark localization and a local encoder refines the prediction in a cropped region. Extensive experiments on four 2D radiological landmark datasets demonstrate that SGB-Match achieves strong one-shot performance across both public and newly collected datasets and consistently benefits from both structure-guided bias and two-stage refinement.
Representation Recycling for Streaming Video Analysis
arXiv:2204.13492v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present StreamDEQ, a method that aims to infer frame-wise representations on videos with minimal per-frame computation. Conventional deep networks perform feature extraction from scratch at each frame in the absence of ad-hoc solutions. We instead aim to build streaming recognition models that can natively exploit temporal smoothness between consecutive video frames. We observe that the recently emerging implicit layer models provide a convenient foundation to construct such models, as they define representations as the fixed points of shallow networks, which need to be estimated using iterative methods. Our main insight is to distribute the inference iterations over the temporal axis by using the most recent representation as a starting point at each frame. This scheme effectively recycles the recent inference computations and greatly reduces the required processing time. Through extensive experimental analysis, we show that StreamDEQ is able to recover near-optimal representations within a few frames and maintain an up-to-date representation throughout the video duration. Our experiments on video semantic segmentation, video object detection, and human pose estimation in videos show that StreamDEQ achieves on-par accuracy with the baseline while providing 2-4x higher throughput.
Three-Phase Evaluation of AI-Assisted Software Development Life Cycle
arXiv:2607.05125v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents an exploratory evaluation of how increasing levels of AI autonomy affect software development productivity, requirement adherence, and developer cognitive workload. A team of four developers reimplemented the same full-stack web application across three sequential phases: partial AI-assisted development using GitHub Copilot, an AI-exclusive workflow using GitHub Copilot, and an AI-exclusive workflow using AWS Kiro. Evaluation metrics included development effort (hours), requirement adherence (RITM score), AI-interaction efficiency, and NASA-TLX workload measures. Across phases, higher levels of AI autonomy were associated with reduced development effort, improved requirement adherence, and lower self-reported mental workload, while developer frustration increased modestly. The AWS Kiro phase achieved the strongest overall performance on most measured dimensions, suggesting that tooling architecture may influence outcomes independently of AI autonomy level.
An SO(3) Gauge Theory of Turbulence with Spontaneous Symmetry Breaking
arXiv:2607.05135v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Fully developed isotropic turbulence exhibits a dual nature: a continuous, scale-invariant energy cascade coexists with discrete, intense vortex filaments. We show that this duality arises from a spontaneously broken SO(3) gauge symmetry. By identifying the specific angular momentum $\mathbf{L} = \mathbf{r}\times\mathbf{u}$ as a non-Abelian gauge connection and the radial velocity $u_r$ as a Higgs field, the turbulent vacuum is described by the SO(3) Georgi-Glashow model. When the radial strain condenses, the symmetry breaks SO(3) $\to$ U(1), generating a topological mass gap $M_W = gv$. This gap partitions the energy into a massless U(1) sector (the solenoidal background) that sustains the Kolmogorov cascade, and a massive SO(3)/U(1) sector that is confined to vortex filaments. Using high-resolution DNS data (JHTDB, $Re_\lambda\approx433$), we empirically verify three key predictions: (i) the energy spectra obey a strict 1:2 equipartition over the inertial range, with a sharp divergence at $M_W \approx 40$; (ii) the radial Higgs field extracted around isolated vortex cores follows the exact BPS monopole profile $H(r)=\coth(r/\eta)-\eta/r$ with $\eta = 0.0093$ domain units and the VEV $v = 0.338$, identifying the ubiquitous "worms" as macroscopic 't Hooft-Polyakov monopoles; (iii) the Wilson loop computed from the velocity field exhibits a clean area law $\langle W_C \rangle \sim e^{-\sigma A}$ with string tension $\sigma = 0.303 \pm 0.009$, directly confirming the confining nature of the turbulent vacuum.
An End-to-End Explainable AI Framework with Automated LLM-Based Natural Language Explanation Generation for Energy Systems
arXiv:2607.04374v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Explainable AI (XAI) is important for deploying machine learning systems in domains where stakes are very high and where transparency, trust and accountability are critical. Although black box models like deep neural networks often perform with high efficiency, interpreting their decisions remains as a difficult task. This paper proposes a reusable end-to-end XAI framework that is the combination of prediction, explanation generation, evaluation and converting these explanations into natural language text of explanation which can be easily understood by the non-technical stakeholders as well. This framework initially trains deep neural network for both classification and regression tasks. Local and global explanations are generated using XAI algorithms, including Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanation (LIME) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) respectively. To evaluate these explanations, we use fidelity and stability metrics to know how accurately and consistently explanations reflect the model behavior. The generated explanation includes feature importance scores, prediction specific attributes, and then transformed into a structured input to the Large Language Model (LLM), which generates a natural language explanation through which everyone can understand the explanations generated by XAI algorithms. This framework is tested on power system fault dataset detection dataset and building energy labels dataset. For fault detection, the neural network model achieved 99% accuracy with ROC-AUC score of 1.00. For building energy prediction, model achieves R2 score of 0.67. These findings say that the proposed approach produces a stable and faithful explanations while improving the interpretability of black box model to everyone with the help of LLMs.
SurgAM: Surgical Affordance Map Prediction with Multimodal Feature Fusion for Robot Autonomy
arXiv:2607.04378v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Surgical automation is being increasingly studied, yet bridging visual scene understanding with autonomous action planning remains a fundamental challenge. While much research effort has been made on scene perception (e.g., tool recognition and scene segmentation), understanding and predicting actionable possibilities for surgical automation is still underexplored. In this paper, we introduce surgical affordance prediction, which identifies actionable regions for fundamental surgical actions from visual data. Specifically, a novel adaptive feature fusion framework is proposed that leverages the complementary strengths of a self-supervised vision transformer encoder for its superior semantic understanding and a large-scale generative model encoder for its spatially-aware capability. Furthermore, we introduce a hierarchical prompt learning mechanism to adapt to varying procedural contexts. Finally, a scene-guided attention decoder is proposed to focus on critical surgical areas while suppressing background distractions. To validate the effectiveness, we established a new dataset, derived from publicly available surgical datasets with affordance annotations for three basic surgical actions: aspiration, clipping, and retraction. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance. Moreover, we validate our framework's applicability for downstream automation on a realistic lung and prostate phantom, and results show that the predicted affordance maps successfully enable autonomous surgical actions.
L1 Optimal Control of Continuous-Time Stochastic Positive Systems
arXiv:2607.03952v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present an L1-optimal control problem class with linear nonnegative costs subject to multiplicative It\^o diffusion processes with elementwise linear input constraints. Forward invariance of the positive orthant is established for the considered stochastic dynamics, and a simulation method consistent with this invariance property is proposed. Both finite-horizon and discounted infinite-horizon stochastic L1-optimal control problems are considered. These problems admit explicit solutions characterized by a vector-valued ordinary differential equation in the finite-horizon case and by an algebraic equation in the infinite-horizon case. Notably, the optimal value function and feedback policy coincide with those of the corresponding deterministic problem, demonstrating robustness to multiplicative stochastic uncertainty. A portfolio example illustrates our results.
On homomorphism related parameters of oriented triangle-free planar graphs
arXiv:2208.10188v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The first major contribution of this work is proving that the oriented relative clique number of oriented triangle-free planar graphs is $10$, which completely answers and closes an open problem posed by Sopena (Discrete Mathematics 2016) in the most recent survey on oriented colorings. The second major contribution of the paper is to prove that if all oriented triangle-free planar graphs admit a homomorphism to a particular oriented graph $\overrightarrow{T}$, then its underlying graph $T$ must have minimum degree at least $10$. This result implies that, for the family of oriented triangle-free planar graphs, the lower bounds of the parameters oriented chromatic number, pushable chromatic number, $2$-dipath $L(p,1)$-labeling span, and oriented $L(p,1)$-labeling span are at least $11$, $6$, $p+8$, and $2p+8$, respectively, where $p \geq 1$. That is, we are able to obtain improved lower bounds of a number of other parameters restricted to the family of oriented triangle-free planar graphs using our second major contribution.
Intent-Based Mutation Testing: From Naturally Written Programming Intents to Mutants
arXiv:2607.05149v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents intent-based mutation testing, a testing approach that generates mutations by changing the programming intents that are implemented in the programs under test. In contrast to traditional mutation testing, which changes (mutates) the way programs are written, intent mutation changes (mutates) the behavior of the programs by producing mutations that implement (slightly) different intents than those implemented in the original program. The mutations of the programming intents represent possible corner cases and misunderstandings of the program behavior, i.e., program specifications, and thus can capture different classes of faults than traditional (syntax-based) mutation. Moreover, since programming intents can be implemented in different ways, intent-based mutation testing can generate diverse and complex mutations that are close to the original programming intents (specifications) and thus direct testing towards the intent variants of the program behavior/specifications. We implement intent-based mutation testing using Large Language Models (LLMs) that mutate programming intents and transform them into mutants. We evaluate intent-based mutation on 29 programs and show that it generates mutations that are syntactically complex, semantically diverse, and quite different (semantically) from the traditional ones. We also show that 55% of the intent-based mutations are not subsumed by traditional mutations. Overall, our analysis shows that intent-based mutation testing can be a powerful complement to traditional (syntax-based) mutation testing.
Finfluencers on TikTok: A Longitudinal Analysis of Content, Engagement, and Disclaimer Practices
arXiv:2607.05203v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rise of social media financial influencers (finfluencers) has transformed how financial information is disseminated to broad and often inexperienced audiences. While these creators may contribute to financial literacy, concerns remain regarding the reliability of their content and the adequacy of risk disclosures. Using data collected through TikTok's Research API, we analyze UK finfluencer content, engagement dynamics, disclaimer practices, audience sentiment, and network structure. The primary dataset comprises 13,215 videos and 104,097 comments posted by 71 UK-based finfluencers between April and September 2024, while a follow-up dataset covering October 2025 to March 2026 enables longitudinal analysis of disclaimer practices, engagement trends, and hashtag usage. Using topic modeling, we identify four dominant themes: Entrepreneurship \& Side Hustles, Property Investing, Active Trading, and Saving \& Budgeting. Sentiment analysis of audience comments reveals predominantly neutral-to-positive responses, while engagement analysis shows only a negligible association between video duration and engagement rate. Social network analysis indicates a collaborative ecosystem in which mid-tier finfluencers frequently act as bridges between creator groups. Explicit disclaimers and risk-related language remain relatively uncommon overall and are concentrated primarily in trading-related content. The findings highlight challenges related to financial transparency and disclosure practices within short-form financial content ecosystems. We discuss implications for consumer protection and the design of clearer and more standardized financial risk disclosures on social media platforms.
Geometry-Aware Motion Latents for Learning Robust Manipulation Policies
arXiv:2607.04714v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning motion latents for robotic manipulation heavily relies on extracting motion patterns from visual sequences, yet effective action abstractions require understanding three-dimensional geometric transformations. Here, we introduce GeoMoLa (Geometry-Aware Motion Latents), which learns discrete motion latent codes by predicting how point clouds evolve during manipulation rather than reconstructing visual observations. This four-dimensional objective -- spatial geometry changing through time -- forces latent representations to encode actual physical motion rather than appearance patterns. GeoMoLa achieves state-of-the-art performance using only single-view RGB-D input, while existing methods require multi-view reconstruction, succeeding across diverse manipulation benchmarks. Our ablations reveal that geometric prediction is the key to driving performance, quantitatively validating that manipulation depends on spatial understanding. Furthermore, the learned codes exhibit effective motion abstraction: applying them to novel scenes produces physically consistent transformations regardless of visual context. Our real-world experiments also confirm this robustness capability, achieving robust manipulation with minimal demonstrations in cluttered environments where geometric reasoning determines success. Thus, we demonstrate that effective motion latents for robot control can better emerge from understanding motion through its three-dimensional effects rather than pixel-level patterns.
Modeling Fatigue-Induced Anisotropic Quasi-Brittle Damage Based on the Endurance Surface Concept
arXiv:2607.04818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This work proposes a novel continuum damage framework for fatigue based on the endurance-surface concept and uses the energy-release rate as the driving force. Damage evolution is governed by the distance of the thermodynamic driving force from the endurance surface. In contrast to classic failure surfaces, this allows damage to accumulate over many cycles even under constant-amplitude loading. The endurance surface therefore directly dictates the physical endurance limit of the material. To obtain mesh-objective results, the formulation is regularized by a micromorphic gradient enhancement. The incorporation of anisotropic damage evolution and the microcrack-closure-reopening effect extends the framework to multiaxial fatigue and loading-path-dependent degradation. The chosen prototype damage evolution fulfills three requirements: reasonable physics, computational robustness, and calibration flexibility. The model is successfully calibrated to both the monotonic response of plain concrete and to the high-cycle fatigue behavior of low-alloy steel. The numerical examples cover monotonic failure of an L-shaped concrete specimen, stress-life behavior under cyclic loading, and combined axial-torsional fatigue. These cases demonstrate how the proposed formulation applies to practical scenarios ranging from standard quasi-brittle fracture benchmarks to classical fatigue characterization and complex multiaxial damage evolution. The examples demonstrate that the formulation captures progressive degradation over many cycles and reproduces characteristic stress-life behavior. The influence of anisotropic degradation becomes especially relevant under multiaxial loading conditions during the near-failure phase. Overall, the approach provides a thermodynamically consistent, gradient-enhanced, and computationally robust framework for simulating fatigue-driven damage in the high-cycle regime.
An Investigation of the AUTOSAR Adaptive Platform from an Industry Perspective
arXiv:2607.05227v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The reliance on software as a distinguishing factor in the automotive industry is increasing. With a combined reliance on vendor-supplied software and cost-effective implementation, the AUTOSAR consortium was initialized to provide standardized platform specifications that enable re-use. Specifically, the AUTOSAR Adaptive Platform (AP) specification aims to provide a high-performance service-oriented architecture. Objective: The goal of this study is to investigate what pain-points emerge when developing AUTOSAR Adaptive applications and whether they originate from the platform specification, its vendor-implementation, or its local usage. Methods: We conduct a Design Science Research study, developing a minimal AP that serves as an experimental prototype for our investigation. Results: We find that a combination of specification-inherent, implementation-based, and local practices contributes to the emergence of pain-points. Conclusions: We conclude that there are AUTOSAR specification-inherent reasons for pain-points, resulting from architectural choices and re-use goals. The implication for development organizations is the need to mitigate these effects through tooling that better supports configuration file management and reduces developer training time to properly understand the adaptive application runtime life-cycle.
Video-based detection of cessation of breathing in pre-term infants using machine learning
arXiv:2607.05230v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pre-term infants are susceptible to potentially harmful apnoea-related cessations of breathing due to immature respiratory control. However, reliable respiratory monitoring in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) remains challenging because motion artefacts, sensor displacement, and skin fragility can compromise contact-based measurements. Non-contact video monitoring offers a complementary approach that does not depend on adhesive sensors while providing additional respiratory information. We investigated whether camera-based signals can detect apnoea-related cessation of breathing (COBE) and provide complementary information to routinely acquired physiological signals. Using video and clinical recordings from 30 pre-term infants, respiratory motion was extracted from dynamically tracked torso regions to generate camera-derived time-series signals. Camera-only models were trained using residual network (ResNet) architectures, while hybrid models combined video-derived signals with impedance pneumography (IP), ECG-derived respiration (EDR), and the PPG-derived respiratory envelope. Camera-only models achieved a balanced accuracy of 76.9%, demonstrating the feasibility of non-contact COBE detection. Combining video-derived features with IP improved balanced accuracy to 90.6%, outperforming either modality alone and indicating that video provides respiratory information beyond standard physiological signals. These findings show that video-derived signals contain clinically relevant respiratory features and enhance COBE detection when combined with conventional physiological signals. This supports non-contact video as a complementary modality for automated COBE detection and highlights its potential to improve the robustness of neonatal respiratory monitoring.
GlacierCastAI: Predicting Glacier Retreat from Multi-Modal Satellite Imagery and Climate Signals
arXiv:2607.04117v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: ERA5 seasonal climate variables contain predictive information about future glacier retreat beyond what satellite imagery alone provides, yet existing deep learning methods focus on mapping current boundaries rather than forecasting future ones. This paper presents GlacierCastAI, which reframes glacier boundary prediction as a multi-modal spatiotemporal forecasting problem, fusing multi-temporal Landsat imagery with ERA5 reanalysis climate variables and Copernicus DEM terrain features to forecast glacier boundaries across five glaciers spanning four climate regimes. The architecture couples a ResNet50 spatial encoder with a ConvLSTM temporal model and a cross-attention climate fusion module. Because forecasting is inherently more uncertain than mapping current boundaries, the reported IoU values (0.320-0.337) are not directly comparable to state-of-the-art mapping models. Comparisons are against traditional baselines and experimental conditions. Through a pre-registered ablation study, adding ERA5 climate signals improves image-only IoU from 0.326 to 0.337 (+3.4%), suggesting that atmospheric forcing carries predictive information beyond imagery alone. All deep learning models substantially outperform persistence and linear trend baselines (IoU 0.160 and 0.169 respectively), with improvements of 89-99% relative IoU. A lightweight climate-only MLP baseline (661K parameters) achieves an IoU of 0.320 (98% of image-only performance) using 85x fewer parameters, suggesting that ERA5 variables encode substantial predictive signal independently of satellite imagery. SHAP attribution analysis suggests that spring solar radiation (MAM) is the dominant climate driver, consistent with the known role of spring insolation in setting melt season trajectories.
Towards Robust Uncertainty-Aware Speaker Modeling
arXiv:2607.04937v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Speaker embeddings aggregate frame-level acoustic features into compact representations for speaker recognition. Recent uncertainty-aware speaker modeling approaches further characterize the reliability of speaker embeddings by estimating their associated uncertainty. However, existing methods often suffer from inaccurate uncertainty estimation and uncertainty miscalibration under domain shifts. To address these challenges, we propose a robust uncertainty modeling framework from both estimation and adaptation perspectives. Specifically, we introduce an Inter- and Intra-Speaker-Aware Uncertainty Softmax that incorporates both inter-speaker separability and intra-speaker variability into uncertainty learning, enabling uncertainty estimates to better capture the reliability of speaker embeddings. Furthermore, we propose an Uncertainty-Calibrated Domain Adaptation (UCDA) framework to mitigate uncertainty miscalibration caused by domain mismatch. Extensive experiments on both in-domain and cross-domain benchmarks demonstrate that the proposed approach consistently improves uncertainty reliability and speaker recognition robustness.
Restricted Bernoulli Matrix Factorization: Balancing the trade-off between prediction accuracy and coverage in classification based collaborative filtering
arXiv:2210.10619v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Reliability measures associated with the prediction of the machine learning models are critical to strengthening user confidence in artificial intelligence. Therefore, those models that provide not only predictions, but also reliability, enjoy greater popularity. In the field of recommender systems, reliability is crucial, since users tend to prefer those recommendations that are sure to interest them, that is, high predictions with high reliabilities. In this paper, we propose Restricted Bernoulli Matrix Factorization (ResBeMF), a new algorithm aimed at enhancing the performance of classification-based collaborative filtering. This model is based on a collection of restricted matrix factorizations that jointly generate, for each user-item pair, a full probability distribution over the possible rating scores. To prove its effectiveness, the proposed model has been compared to other existing solutions in the literature in terms of prediction quality (Mean Absolute Error and accuracy scores), prediction quantity (coverage score) and recommendation quality (Mean Average Precision score). The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model provides a good balance in terms of the quality measures used compared to other recommendation models.
Energetic Protection, Monotonicity and Switching Far from Equilibrium
arXiv:2607.05303v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: At equilibrium, the ratio of two steady-state probabilities is a Boltzmann factor, set by a free-energy difference. Such ratios are the natural, normalization-independent readouts of both thermodynamics and information processing, and are often used as a measure of fidelity in biophysical systems. What becomes of these ratios once a system is driven from equilibrium, where the Boltzmann factor no longer holds? Representing Markov processes as graphs and their steady states as averages over a distribution on spanning trees, the \emph{arboreal distribution}, we track the ratio $\pi_i/\pi_j$ under driving along \emph{energetic edges}, where detailed balance is broken, relative to its equilibrium value. Our central finding is that a chosen ratio can stay exactly locked to its equilibrium value arbitrarily far from equilibrium, a phenomenon we call \emph{energetic protection}, whenever an algebraic equality between spanning-tree weights holds. Just as detailed balance constrains rates around cycles, energetic protection constrains weights across trees, providing a new mechanism for robustness against fluctuations in the driving force, such as variations in ATP concentration. Away from this equality, single-edge driving collapses the response onto two arboreal coefficients and forces it to be monotonic, so nonmonotonic single-edge control is impossible at any strength. With two energetic edges, protection and monotonicity combine into a \emph{thermodynamic switch} that holds a function at its equilibrium value for as long as desired and releases it sharply. Equilibrium is known for the limits it places on information processing. We show that new constraints, both no-go principles and exact invariances, survive far from equilibrium. These results reveal how the localization of energy expenditure governs the functional logic of nonequilibrium systems in physics and biology.
F-ACVAE: A Federated Adaptive Conditional Variational Auto-Encoder for Privacy-Preserving Intrusion Detection in IoT Networks
arXiv:2607.04698v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid proliferation of Internet of things (IoT) devices has significantly expanded the cyber-attack surface, necessitating robust and privacy-preserving intrusion detection systems (IDS). However, centralized learning approaches often suffer from severe performance degradation due to high-dimensional traffic data, extreme class imbalance, and highly non-independent and identically distributed (non-IID) data across heterogeneous edge devices. To address these challenges, this paper proposes F-ACVAE, a federated adaptive conditional variational autoencoder framework that enables collaborative model training across distributed IoT devices without sharing raw data. F-ACVAE incorporates selective parameter aggregation, where local encoders remain private while globally shared components are synchronized to preserve discriminative latent structures. To further enhance stability under extreme non-IID settings and feature distribution shifts, we introduce a novel constrained momentum Gaussian aggregation (CMGA) strategy that combines update clamping with momentum-based smoothing to mitigate client drift. Extensive experiments on the N-BaIoT dataset demonstrate that F-ACVAE achieves an average accuracy and macro F1-score of 99\%, outperforming state-of-the-art baselines. Moreover, the selective aggregation mechanism reduces communication overhead by approximately 62\%, making the framework particularly suitable for resource-constrained IoT environments. These results highlight the effectiveness of F-ACVAE in achieving high detection performance while ensuring privacy preservation and communication efficiency.
Efficient and Secure Range Counting over Distributed Geographic Data with Query Range Protection
arXiv:2607.04194v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Range counting is a core primitive in geographic information systems. When data is distributed across multiple organizations, conducting range counting raises substantial privacy concerns. Existing privacy-preserving protocols focus on protecting organizations' datasets, but cannot simultaneously achieve efficiency, query privacy, and accuracy on overlapping data. Typical protocols process query range in plaintext for efficient point-in-range evaluation, since query-private designs rely on expensive secure comparisons. Moreover, most works assume non-overlapping datasets across organizations, which leads to huge errors in overlapping scenarios. In this paper, we propose PPRC, the first protocol that jointly satisfies all the privacy, efficiency, and accuracy requirements. PPRC makes two key technical contributions. First, we design the Private Range Predicate (PRP) technique that supports efficient point-in-range evaluation while protecting the query range. PRP reformulates range evaluation as encrypted membership tests, effectively replacing costly secure comparisons with faster secure multiplications. Second, we propose Oblivious Linear Counting (OLC), an aggregation scheme that efficiently and securely aggregates partial results from organizations with overlapping data. OLC involves only lightweight cryptographic operations and ensures that no information is leaked beyond the final range count. We theoretically analyze the accuracy, efficiency, and security of PPRC. Experiments on real-world and synthetic datasets show that PPRC achieves up to 55x smaller errors and 37x speedup compared to baseline protocols.