arXiv:2605.15708v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent advances in 3D datasets and multimodal models have greatly improved natural language 3D scene understanding. However, most 3D referring segmentation methods do not explicitly represent the observer viewpoint, making spatial relations such as "left," "right," "front," and "behind" ambiguous and difficult to evaluate. We introduce a viewpoint-aware 3D referring segmentation dataset containing 220k benchmark samples, and scalable to tens of millions of viewpoint-conditioned samples through dense viewpoint sampling. In this dataset, target objects can only be identified through observer-centric spatial relations, making viewpoint-conditioned grounding necessary. We construct the benchmark by leveraging camera poses to automatically annotate observer-centric relations (left/right, front/behind) together with viewpoint-independent relations (above/under). Using this benchmark, we evaluate several existing 3D large multimodal models in a zero-shot setting and find that current models struggle with viewpoint-dependent spatial instructions. We further study how explicit viewpoint information can be incorporated into 3D large multimodal models. We introduce a viewpoint representation that encodes camera poses and conditions the model on the observation viewpoint, improving segmentation accuracy on viewpoint-dependent relations and increasing mIoU from 0.30 to 0.47 compared to a model without viewpoint conditioning. The dataset, code, and trained models will be made publicly available upon acceptance.
Science Journals
arXiv:2605.15709v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The long lifetimes of magnons and phonons make them attractive for information-processing devices, highlighting the importance of visualizing their spatiotemporal dynamics from generation through relaxation. Ultrafast pump-probe spectroscopy is a powerful tool for investigating their early-stage dynamics after impulsive excitation; however, their long-lived nature makes it challenging to comprehensively track their evolution across all relevant time scales while maintaining sufficient temporal resolution. Here, we demonstrate spatiotemporal tracking of magnon and phonon dynamics over more than seven orders of magnitude in time, from 500 femtoseconds to 20 microseconds, using $4 \times 10^7$ sampled time points enabled by the highly precise time base of optical frequency combs. The resulting spatiotemporal movie, consisting of $4.5 \times 10^{5}$ frames, captures their generation, coherent motion, propagation, and relaxation, providing a powerful platform for exploring their full dynamical evolution.
arXiv:2605.15750v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid expansion of electric vehicles (EVs) necessitates scalable and efficient fast charging station (FCS) infrastructure. These stations often operate in oversubscribed configurations where the total port rating exceeds a station-level cap reflecting infrastructure limits, grid constraints or market setpoints. In such settings, ensuring fairness in real-time power allocation is essential to prevent user bias and secure equitable access to limited resources while maximizing infrastructure utilization. This task is further complicated by state-of-charge dependent EV power limits defined by charge curves, for which accurate data is often unavailable. This paper introduces two fairness-guaranteed online power allocation policies: FAIR-OPAP-C for conventional FCSs with continuously adjustable power delivery, and FAIR-OPAP-M for modular FCSs composed of discrete assignable power modules. Unlike existing methods, these algorithms require no prior knowledge of charge curves, utilizing only instantaneous power requests available via standard protocols. We formalize fairness with a unified framework encompassing envy-freeness, Pareto efficiency, and proportionality, and establish theoretical guarantees for both algorithms. The algorithms rely on lightweight operations, achieving near-linear and logarithmic scalability for the conventional and modular cases, respectively. Comprehensive evaluations show the proposed methods achieve superior performance across various metrics among seven benchmarks from EV charging and fair division literature. Furthermore, they are orders of magnitude faster than optimization-based approaches, with runtimes below 1 ms for up to 300 EVs, validating their suitability for real-time deployment on hardware-constrained edge devices.
arXiv:2604.25384v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This paper presents a pipeline designed to transform raw Wikimedia dumps into quality textual corpora for seven South Slavic languages. The work is divided into two major phases. The first involves extracting and cleaning text from raw dumps of Wikipedia, Wikisource, Wikibooks, Wikinews, and Wikiquote. This step requires careful handling of raw wiki markup to isolate, first of all, textual articles, and then usable natural language text within them. The second phase addresses the challenge of questionable or low-quality articles, which are often generated from databases or structured knowledge bases. These articles are characterised by repetitive patterns, generic phrasing, and minimal to no original content. To mitigate their impact, a n-gram-based filtering strategy was employed to detect high levels of textual redundancy between articles and then remove such articles from the corpora entirely. The resulting datasets aim to provide linguistically rich texts suitable for training language models or conducting comparative research across South Slavic languages. By combining systematic extraction with quality control, this work contributes to the creation of reliable, high-information corpora that reflect the authentic cultural contexts of languages. While focused on the South Slavic case in the paper, the approach is mostly language-agnostic and can be generalised to other languages.
arXiv:2601.21028v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: AI-generated media is radically changing the way content is both consumed and produced on the internet, and in no place is this potentially more visible than in sexual content. AI-generated sexual content (AIG-SC) is increasingly enabled by an ecosystem of individual AI developers, specialized third-party applications, and foundation model providers. AIG-SC raises a number of concerns from older debates about the line between pornography and obscenity to newer debates about fair use and labor displacement (in this case, of sex workers), and has spurred new regulations to curb the spread of non-consensual intimate imagery (NCII) created using the same technology used to create AIG-SC. However, despite the growing prevalence of AIG-SC, little is known about its creators, their motivations, and what types of content they produce. To inform effective governance in this space, we conducted an in-depth study to understand what AIG-SC creators make, along with how and why they make it. Interviews with 28 AIG-SC creators, ranging from hobbyists to entrepreneurs to those who moderate communities of hundreds of thousands of other creators, revealed a wide spectrum of motivations, including sexual exploration, creative expression, technical experimentation, and in a handful of cases, the creation of NCII.
arXiv:2605.15711v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities across various tasks, yet they remain vulnerable to backdoor attacks. Existing defense methods predominantly focus on sample-level defense, which relies on the knowledge of training data or triggers. However, identifying whether a given model is backdoored remains a critical but unexplored task. To fill this gap, we propose EntropyScan, a lightweight and trigger-agnostic method for model-level backdoor detection in LVLMs. We first observe that backdoor injection disrupts the cross-modal alignment, resulting in pronounced structural anomalies in visual attention allocation on benign samples. Based on this insight, EntropyScan detects the backdoor models by quantifying such attention deviations. Specifically, it extracts visual attention distributions from the initial layers of the Large Language Model (LLM) and applies Tsallis entropy to capture these structural distortions. By employing a reference-anchored Z-score normalization on a small set of benign samples, it effectively identifies the backdoored model. Extensive experiments across two LVLMs architectures and three advanced attack scenarios show that EntropyScan achieves an F1 score of 98.5% in average and an AUC of 96.6%. Our code will be publicly available soon.
arXiv:2605.15400v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While AI agents are rapidly advancing from isolated tools to interactive collaborators, data-driven human-machine teaming (HMT) methods remain costly in their reliance on human interaction data across domains, teammates, and team sizes. Zero-shot coordination (ZSC) addresses this bottleneck by simulating diverse partner populations to approximate how unseen partners might behave. However, partner coverage alone is insufficient as team settings scale and communication becomes degraded. To remedy this deficiency, we propose Influence-Based Team Steering (IBTS), a framework that uses influence shaping to incentivize agents to discover diverse, high-performing team interaction patterns and further steers ongoing trajectories toward stronger learned coordination modes. We assess IBTS on Overcooked-AI in both two-agent and three-agent settings, allowing us to test whether learned coordination structure transfers beyond dyadic interaction. Our evaluation includes simulated partners, synthetic partner-style variation, and, to our knowledge, the first 30-subject Overcooked-AI HMT study involving two real human teammates and one machine teammate. Across these evaluations, IBTS improves team performance against competing baselines, highlighting the need for scaled ZSC to combine sparse-reward coordination mechanisms with partner-variation coverage rather than relying on diversity alone.
arXiv:2605.15355v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Spiking neural networks (SNNs) are biologically inspired energy-efficient models that use sparse binary spike-based communication between neurons, making them attractive for resource-constrained edge devices. Federated learning enables such devices to train collaboratively without sharing raw data. In time-series applications, edge devices often collect data at different time resolutions due to hardware and energy constraints. This temporal heterogeneity poses a fundamental challenge for federated learning: parameters learned at one temporal resolution do not necessarily transfer directly to another, which might result in the naive federated averaging being ineffective. Targeting SNNs and, more broadly, deep networks with stateful neurons, we propose a federated learning framework that addresses this temporal resolution mismatch. We investigate how neuron parameters learned from data at different temporal resolutions and model aggregation should be integrated. We evaluate the proposed framework across two SNN-native benchmark datasets (SHD and DVS-Gesture) under a range of resolution heterogeneity scenarios. Our results show that the proposed adaptation methods can substantially recover accuracy lost due to temporal mismatch, hence enabling each client to train at their local temporal resolution while remaining compatible with the global model.
arXiv:2605.15399v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Neural surrogate solvers of partial differential equations (PDEs) promise dramatic speedups over numerical methods, especially in scenarios requiring many solves. However, current accuracy-based evaluations do not fully consider two central issues: (1) neural solvers incur substantial up-front costs for data generation, training, and tuning; and (2) classical solvers can also generate low-fidelity solutions at a sufficiently low simulation cost. To explicitly account for these realities and fully incorporate end-to-end costs, we propose an evaluation framework centered on breakeven complexity, a metric that counts the forward solves before a learned solver is cost-effective relative to an error-equivalent traditional solver. To evaluate this measure, we apply scaling laws to determine how much training budget to allocate to data generation and discuss how to achieve smooth error-matching in diverse settings. We evaluate the breakeven complexity of multiple neural PDE solvers on three PDEs on 2D periodic domains from APEBench and a novel benchmark of flows past multiple obstacles generated by the GPU-native PyFR code. Among other findings, our results suggest that neural PDE solvers become more effective as problems get harder in terms of cost, dimension, rollout, physics regime (e.g. higher Reynolds number), etc.
arXiv:2605.15763v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Current state-of-the-art Quality Estimation (QE) in machine translation relies on massive, proprietary LLMs, raising data privacy concerns. We demonstrate that smaller, open-source LLMs (<30B parameters) are a viable, cost-effective and privacy-preserving alternative. Using a single-pass prompting strategy, our models simultaneously generate quality scores, MQM error annotations, suggested error corrections, and full post-editions. Our analysis shows these models achieve highly competitive system-level correlations with human judgments that outperform traditional neural metrics, fine-tuned models, and human inter-annotator agreement, effectively approximating the capabilities of much larger proprietary LLMs.
arXiv:2605.15737v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine unlearning has reached a critical bottleneck. As traditional weight-space interventions focus primarily on erasing targeted concepts, they often fail to prevent the unintended suppression of other significant representations. This leads to substantial collateral damage, with essential knowledge being forgotten, because these methods lack formal mathematical guarantees for the preservation of neutral concepts. To avoid degradation, they are frequently forced into conservative updates. We propose BARRIER (Bounded Activation Regions for Robust Information Erasure), a paradigm-shifting framework that shifts the locus of intervention from static model weights to the dynamic geometry of hidden-layer activations. Unlike existing methods, BARRIER employs Interval Arithmetic (IA) on SVD-based projections of the activation space to encapsulate the specific target region within a bounding hypercube. By driving unlearning updates exclusively within this forget interval and mathematically bounding the model response on the complement, we ensure rigorous protection of the retain distribution. This geometric construction transforms the preservation of knowledge from an empirical heuristic into a formal optimization target with a probabilistic tail bound on functional drift. Crucially, this stability permits highly aggressive unlearning updates within the forget region. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that BARRIER matches state-of-the-art trade-offs across classifiers and diffusion models, maximizing targeted concept erasure while safeguarding the integrity of all other representations. Our code is available at https://github.com/OneAndZero24/BARRIER.
arXiv:2605.15714v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This position paper argues that the machine learning community should prioritize early-stage quality assurance in annotation pipelines over the prevailing practice of late-stage validation. Data quality bottlenecks increasingly limit foundation model improvement, yet quality assurance research focuses almost exclusively on validation methods rather than validation timing. When validation occurs, not merely what methods are employed, fundamentally determines both error rates and annotation costs. This temporal neglect is puzzling given the well-established "shift-left" principle from software engineering, where empirical studies demonstrate 4--100x cost multipliers for defects detected in later stages (Boehm, 1981; Shull et al., 2002). Annotation pipelines exhibit analogous dynamics: errors caught before annotation begins cost a fraction of those discovered after review cycles complete. We propose a taxonomy of three QA trigger points, namely pre-annotation (T0), post-annotation (T1), and post-review (T2), that decompose annotation workflows into discrete validation opportunities. A parametric error-propagation model formalizes when timing affects final error rates versus only economics, making timing a measurable design variable rather than a configuration afterthought. A survey of 47 recent papers reveals that only 4% report when validation occurs, a striking gap given timing's demonstrated impact in adjacent fields. Without explicit attention to QA timing, the community risks optimizing validation methods while ignoring the structural variable that may matter most. Acting on this position requires three steps: researchers should report QA timing configurations alongside validation methods; annotation platforms should expose timing as a first-class parameter; and the community should run controlled experiments that measure stage-specific detection rates directly.
arXiv:2604.15221v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We propose a framework for vision-based human pose estimation and motion prediction that gives conformal prediction guarantees for certifiably safe human-robot collaboration. Our framework combines aleatoric uncertainty estimation with OOD detection for high probabilistic confidence. To integrate our pipeline in certifiable safety frameworks, we propose conformal prediction sets for human motion predictions with high, valid confidence. We evaluate our pipeline on recorded human motion data and a real-world human-robot collaboration setting.
arXiv:2603.28680v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The large-scale deployment of 5G networks has not delivered the expected return on investment for mobile network operators, raising concerns about the economic viability of future 6G rollouts. At the same time, surging demand for Artificial Intelligence (AI) inference and training workloads is straining global compute capacity. AI-RAN architectures, in which Radio Access Network (RAN) platforms accelerated on Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) share idle capacity with AI workloads during off-peak periods, offer a potential path to improved capital efficiency. However, the economic case for such systems remains unsubstantiated. In this paper, we present a techno-economic analysis of AI-RAN deployments by combining publicly available benchmarks of 5G Layer-1 processing on heterogeneous platforms -- from x86 servers with accelerators for channel coding to modern GPUs -- with realistic traffic models and AI service demand profiles for Large Language Model (LLM) inference. We construct a joint cost and revenue model that quantifies the surplus compute capacity available in GPU-based RAN deployments and evaluates the returns from leasing it to AI tenants. Our results show that, across a range of scenarios encompassing token depreciation, varying demand dynamics, and diverse GPU serving densities, the additional capital and operational expenditures of GPU-heavy deployments are offset by AI-on-RAN revenue, yielding a return on investment of up to 8x. These findings strengthen the long-term economic case for accelerator-based RAN architectures and future 6G deployments.
arXiv:2605.15844v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this study, we develop an interface-contact simulation framework based on physical criteria and machine-learning-assisted classification to describe coalescence and bouncing within a unified formulation. The framework realizes interfacial coalescence and bouncing through the fusion and generation of multiple volume-of-fluid fields. When adjacent interfaces are predicted to coalesce, multiple VOF fields are collapsed into a single VoF field. When approaching interfaces are predicted to bounce, a single VOF field is regenerated into multiple VOF fields, allowing the interfaces to continue evolving independently. With this treatment, the difficulties associated with topological transition, regime-map identification, increasing computational demand, and stochastic behavior during interfacial approach are separated from the interface-tracking procedure. These decisions are instead assigned to a physics-guided machine-learning model with strong adaptability. This strategy avoids the direct resolution of an ultrathin gas film and reduces the dependence on empirical molecular-force parameters. Simulations of droplet--droplet collisions show that the proposed framework can reproduce both coalescence and bouncing over different impact conditions. By further introducing a drainage-time criterion, the framework is extended to the simulation of droplet impact on a liquid surface. For this problem, the numerical results agree well with both previous experimental observations and the present experiments. Moreover, the framework captures the complete sequence of bouncing followed by subsequent coalescence within a single simulation, These results demonstrate that the proposed framework has strong adaptability for interfacial contact problems and provides a unified modeling route for droplet coalescence, bouncing.
arXiv:2605.15340v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A learner does not only fit data; it also determines how strongly the training sample may shape its output and how much distortion it can hedge. We study this relation as a bounded-rational decision problem whose primitive object is the induced channel from samples to outputs. The learner's response law determines which changes in this channel are cheap or costly, and therefore induces both a lower tradeoff curve between training loss and sample dependence and a matched upper certificate curve. When the response law is represented by an $f$-divergence regularizer, these curves live in the regularizer's native information geometry, with KL as the special case corresponding to Shannon mutual information. We show how the hedge and the two curves can be recovered from black-box behavior by observing responses to scaled losses and local loss perturbations. In learning, population loss is empirical loss plus the distortion induced by the particular training sample. The recovered hedge gives a practical certificate when it covers that distortion. Thus generalization is treated as a testable hedging property of the learner's own response law.
arXiv:2605.15335v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent proposals for datacenters in sun-synchronous Low Earth Orbit rely on a large number of compute satellites formation-flying in dense clusters. Designing such satellite clusters requires optimizing the satellites' orbital geometry under several safety and operational constraints applied throughout the cluster's entire orbit. These constraints include guaranteeing a minimum inter-satellite spacing, obstruction-less solar power for every satellite, and that each satellite have a stable set of nearest neighbors with which it can maintain inter-satellite links (ISLs). In this work, we propose two main cluster orbital designs, parametrized by the minimum inter-satellite spacing $R_{min}$ and the cluster radius $R_{max}$: a planar cluster, and a 3D cluster. We show by construction and numerical analysis that both cluster orbital designs are consistent with the inter-satellite spacing, unobstructed sun-vector, and inter-satellite line of sight constraints. The proposed planar architecture is the most efficient packing of satellites in a plane for given $R_{min}$ and $R_{max}$ values, and our 3D architecture allows for the number of datacenter satellites to scale proportional to $(R_{max}/R_{min})^3$, an improvement over all previous LEO datacenter cluster designs. Finally, for a given satellite cluster, we formulate and solve an integer optimization problem that maps a VL2-like Clos network datacenter switching fabric onto the satellites and their corresponding set of feasible ISLs. We confirm that for both the planar and 3D architectures, there are sufficiently many permanently unobstructed ISLs within the cluster to replicate the switching fabric of terrestrial datacenters. We also examine the tradeoff between the number of ISLs each satellite can simultaneously sustain, and the corresponding number of cluster satellites that must be dedicated as aggregation and intermediate switches.
arXiv:2605.15334v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The automatic synthesis of a program from any form of specification is regarded as a holy grail of computer science. Fueled by LLMs, NL2Code has achieved tremendous success, yet the fundamentally more challenging task of synthesizing programs from input-output behavior, which we refer to as IO2Code, remains largely unsolved. Whereas NL2Code can exploit the semantic alignment between natural language and code acquired during pretraining, IO2Code requires recovering underlying principles from concrete computational behavior, navigating a vast and underspecified hypothesis space. To address this, we propose DIO-Agent, a discovery agent for IO2Code. Our method frames IO2Code as an evolutionary search over discrete program space, in which an LLM serves as the mutation operator and concrete error signals from execution guide each mutation. To prevent the search from wandering into structurally complex yet incorrect dead ends, we introduce the Transformation Priority Premise as a mutation prior that biases the LLM toward the simplest hypothesis consistent with current evidence, progressively escalating from constants to conditionals to iteration only when simpler constructs are insufficient. To facilitate systematic study, we further construct an IO2CodeBench spanning multiple difficulty levels. Extensive experiments show that DIO-Agent consistently outperforms both traditional program-by-example method and SOTA evolution-agent baselines across all difficulty levels and various LLMs, while substantially surpassing test-time scaling strategies with equivalent sampling budgets.
arXiv:2605.15333v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models have recently reached near-parity with classical planners on well-known planning domains, yet this competence relies on world-knowledge exploitation rather than genuine symbolic reasoning. Goal recognition is a complementary abductive task structurally better suited to LLM strengths: it consists of evaluating consistency with world knowledge rather than generating novel action sequences. This paper provides the first systematic zero-shot evaluation of frontier LLMs as goal recognisers on key classical PDDL benchmarks. Our results show that LLM competence on goal recognition is uneven: some models scale with evidence and approach landmark-based accuracy at full observations, while others remain anchored to world-knowledge priors regardless of how much evidence accumulates. Qualitative analysis of model reasoning traces reveals that this divergence reflects a fundamental difference in evidence integration rather than domain familiarity. These findings position goal recognition as a principled benchmark for the foundational planning knowledge of LLMs.
arXiv:2605.15421v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this study, we explore in depth a few under-studied topics at the intersection of uncertainty estimation and segmentation. Prior work has shown that the quality of uncertainty estimates can be very sensitive to a range of variables. As one of the main uses of uncertainty estimation is to help identify and deal with prediction errors in practical scenarios, any factors that affect this must be clearly identified. For example, do more challenging domains or different datasets and architectures result in worse performance when using uncertainty estimates? Can prior frames in a video sequence in fact provide useful uncertainty estimates comparable to other approaches? Is it possible to combine uncertainty estimation approaches, taking advantage of sample diversity, to get better estimates? Finally, when might it make sense to use an ensemble-based uncertainty estimate over a deterministic network? We address these questions by creating a framework for and executing a large scale study across many variables such as datasets, backbones, and downstream tasks, for both semantic and panoptic segmentation. We find that a) the more challenging task of panoptic segmentation usually results in worse performance while high performance variance between datasets and backbones indicates that generalization is not guaranteed, b) time series samples can be useful for specific configurations, but in many cases are not worth the cost, c) sample diversity shows the most promise in the downstream task of calibration, but otherwise fails to beat simpler alternatives, d) a deterministic approach is adequate for some downstream tasks, but ensembles allow for significant improvements if the right conditions can be achieved in deployment.
arXiv:2603.05917v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Stock market prediction presents considerable challenges for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers operating in complex market environments characterized by noise, non-stationarity, and behavioral dynamics. Traditional forecasting methods, including fundamental analysis and technical indicators, often fail to capture the intricate patterns and cross-sectional dependencies inherent in financial markets. This paper presents an integrated framework combining a node transformer architecture with BERT-based sentiment analysis for stock price forecasting. The proposed model represents the stock market as a graph structure where individual stocks form nodes and edges capture relationships including sectoral affiliations, correlated price movements, and supply chain connections. A fine-tuned BERT model extracts sentiment information from social media posts and combines it with quantitative market features through attention-based fusion mechanisms. The node transformer processes historical market data while capturing both temporal evolution and cross-sectional dependencies among stocks. Experiments conducted on 20 S&P 500 stocks spanning January 1982 to March 2025 demonstrate that the integrated model achieves a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.80% for one-day-ahead predictions, compared to 1.20% for ARIMA and 1.00% for LSTM. The inclusion of sentiment analysis reduces prediction error by 10% overall and 25% during earnings announcements, while the graph-based architecture contributes an additional 15% improvement by capturing inter-stock dependencies. Directional accuracy reaches 65% for one-day forecasts. Statistical validation through paired t-tests confirms the significance of these improvements (p < 0.05 for all comparisons). The model maintains lower error during high-volatility periods, achieving MAPE of 1.50% while baseline models range from 1.60% to 2.10%.
arXiv:2605.15472v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce the Estimated Dynamic Equilibrium Model (EDEM), an agent-based framework that treats supply and demand as a coupled stochastic process driven by heterogeneous, noisy agent valuations. The model's primary technical contribution is the identification of a generative mechanism for persistent disequilibrium: when market-clearing prices are sequentially sampled from the upper tail of noisy bid distributions and recycled as inputs for future valuations, expected prices drift upward despite strictly zero-mean estimation errors. We derive this order-statistic bias in closed form for i.i.d. uniform bids and use simulations to show that compounding this bias across epochs yields exponential price growth without requiring assumptions of investor optimism or irrationality. This framework extends Miller's divergence-of-opinion theory to a dynamic setting, recovering Walrasian equilibrium and Miller's static premium as limiting cases. Through controlled experiments and sensitivity analysis on a simulated real-estate neighborhood, we identify six distinct regimes-ranging from band-stability to runaway bubbles-emerging from a single agent ruleset. These results offer a potential explanation for the contradictory findings in the empirical divergence-of-opinion literature and suggest that machine-learning valuation algorithms may inadvertently amplify this inherent statistical bias.
arXiv:2605.15331v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study a repeated information design setting in which the receiver, who is also the decision-maker, updates beliefs in a systematically biased way. More specifically, a distorted posterior in our model can be written as a convex combination of the prior and the Bayesian posterior, governed by a fixed but unknown parameter. Over repeated interactions, the sender chooses persuasive signaling schemes, observes only the receiver's realized actions, and seeks to minimize regret relative to a full-information oracle that knows the receiver's biased updating rule. We propose a safe exploration algorithm for learning the receiver's bias while maintaining high persuasion value. The algorithm exploits the asymmetric cost of probing: conservative probes incur only local loss, whereas overly aggressive probes may lose the persuasive opportunity entirely. For general finite state and action spaces and arbitrary bounded utilities, our method achieves $O(\log\log T)$ regret. A matching $\Omega(\log\log T)$ lower bound shows that this rate is optimal. We further discuss the influence on receiver welfare, as well as extensions to jointly unknown prior and bias, and contextual settings with time-varying priors and utilities.
arXiv:2605.15328v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Fully Connected Neural Networks (FCNNs) are often regarded as simple and intuitive architectures, yet they serve as the foundation for more complex models. Nonetheless, the lack of consensus on their interpretability continues to pose challenges, underscoring the enduring relevance of simpler, attribution-based approaches for understanding even the most advanced neural architectures. In this regard, we explore a novel idea for estimating feature attribution, by applying perturbation to the features' attached weights instead of their values. This method offers a fresh perspective aimed at mitigating common limitations in Occlusion techniques, such as Added Bias and Out-of-Distribution data. The application of this rule leads to the formation of a pair of novel attribution methods we call XWP and XWP_c. Founded on simple rules, our methods achieve competitive performance in identifying image signals for simple DNNs, competing with the most established attribution methods on standard baseline metrics. Our work thus contributes to the field of Explainability by introducing a robust framework that paves the way for addressing these long-standing vulnerabilities, and leads to more reliable and interpretable model explanations.
arXiv:2605.15424v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human trajectory forecasting is crucial for safe navigation in crowded environments, requiring models that balance accuracy with computational efficiency. Efficiently modeling social interactions is key to performance in dense crowds. Yet, most recent methods rely on attention mechanisms, which are effective at capturing complex dependencies, but incur quadratic computational costs that scale poorly with the growing number of neighbors. Recently, Selective State-Space Models have provided a linear-time alternative; however, their inherently sequential design is misaligned with the unstructured and dynamic nature of social interactions. To address this challenge, we propose Social-Mamba, a forecasting architecture that reformulates social interactions as structured sequential processes. At its core is the Cycle Mamba block, a novel module that enables continuous bidirectional information flow. Social-Mamba organizes agents on an egocentric grid and introduces social triplet factorization, which decomposes interactions into temporal, egocentric, and goal-centric scans. These are dynamically integrated through a learnable social gate and global scan to generate accurate and efficient trajectory predictions. Extensive experiments on five trajectory forecasting benchmarks show that Social-Mamba achieves state-of-the-art accuracy while offering superior parameter efficiency and computational scalability. Furthermore, embedding Social-Mamba into a flow-matching framework further enhances both accuracy and efficiency, establishing it as a flexible and robust foundation for future trajectory forecasting research. The code is publicly available: https://github.com/vita-epfl/Social-Mamba