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Peer-reviewade publikationer — 51240 artiklar

Feasibility and Single Parameter Scaling of Extinctions in Large Ecological Communities
arXiv:2511.04327v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Multispecies ecosystems modelled by generalized Lotka-Volterra equations exhibit stationary population abundances, where large number of species often coexist. Understanding the precise conditions under which this is at all feasible and what triggers species extinctions is a key, outstanding problem in theoretical ecology. Using standard methods of random matrix theory, I show that distributions of species abundances are Gaussian at equilibrium, in the weakly interacting regime. One consequence is that feasibility is generically broken before stability, for large enough number of species. I further derive an analytical expression for the probability that $n=0,1,2,...$ species go extinct and conjecture that a single-parameter scaling law governs species extinctions. These results are corroborated by numerical simulations in a wide range of system parameters.
Good flavor search in SU(5): a machine learning approach
arXiv:2511.08154v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We revisit the fermion mass problem of the $SU(5)$ grand unified theory using machine learning techniques. The original $SU(5)$ model proposed by Georgi and Glashow is incompatible with the observed fermion mass spectrum. Two remedies are known to resolve this discrepancy, one is through introducing a new interaction via a 45-dimensional field, and the other via a 24-dimensional field. We investigate which modification is more beautiful, defining the beauty as proximity to the original Georgi-Glashow $SU(5)$ model. Our analysis shows that, in both supersymmetric and non-supersymmetric scenarios, the model incorporating the interaction with the 24-dimensional field is more beautiful under this criterion. We then generalise these models by introducing a continuous parameter $y$, which takes the value 3 for the 45-dimensional field and 1.5 for the 24-dimensional field. Numerical optimisation reveals that $y \approx 0.8$ yields the closest match to the original $SU(5)$ model, indicating that this value corresponds to the most beautiful model according to our definition.
Unified Topological Dynamics of Merging Bound States in the Continuum for High-Order Topological Charges
arXiv:2605.17479v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Bound states in the continuum (BICs) are polarization singularities in momentum space whose topological charges (TCs) govern advanced light-matter interactions. While lattice symmetry protects the existence of robust BICs at the $\Gamma$-point (SP-BICs), it also restricts their TCs to low-order values. Achieving high-order TCs in common crystal lattices, such as $C_4$-symmetric systems, has therefore remained an open question. Here, we systematically demonstrate that high-order TCs that surpass fundamental symmetry bounds can be created through the rich dynamics of a parameter-driven merging process of off-$\Gamma$ BICs. We introduce a unified geometric framework based on the interplay between Fabry-P\'erot interference and guided resonances, which uncovers different types of merging BICs dynamics, including near-isotropic, anisotropic, and cross-merging. Leveraging this mechanism, we realize unconventional TCs of up to $\pm3$ at either a symmetry-protected BIC or a degeneracy point in a simple $C_4$-symmetric photonic crystal slab. We further show that this high-order topology enables the generation of high-quality Bessel OAM beams, providing a physically transparent route toward engineering high-order topological photonics.
Towards Sustainable Growth: A Multi-Value-Aware Retrieval Framework for E-Commerce Search
arXiv:2605.17994v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: New item growth is critical for maintaining a healthy ecosystem in large-scale e-commerce platforms. However, existing systems tend to prioritize presenting users with already popular items, a phenomenon often referred to as the "Matthew effect". In the context of search retrieval, current cold-start models suffer from the misalignment between training objectives and online business metrics, and they lack effective mechanisms to measure an item's growth potential. In this paper, we propose a Multi-Value-Aware retrieval framework tailored for e-commerce search, designed to better align with the cascaded online values across different stages of the search system while balancing immediate conversion and long-term item growth. Our framework GrowthGR consists of two key components: an Item Long-term Transaction Value Prediction (ItemLTV) module and a Multi-Value-Aware Generative Retrieval (MultiGR) module. First, in the ItemLTV module, we employ counterfactual inference to quantify the long-term value increment attributable to a single user interaction. Second, in the MultiGR module, building upon a semantic-ID-based generative retrieval architecture, we leverage structured samples with the search cascade signals and adopt a Multi-Value-Aware Policy Optimization (MoPO) training paradigm to align with multi-stage online values, while explicitly balancing short-term transactional value and long-term growth potential estimated by ItemLTV. We successfully deployed GrowthGR on Taobao's production platform, achieving a substantial 5.3% lift in new item GMV while delivering a non-trivial 0.3% gain in overall search GMV. Extensive online analysis and A/B testing demonstrate its positive impact on the overall ecosystem value.
On Applicability of Synthetic Datasets for Facial Expression Recognition
arXiv:2605.17483v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Facial Expression Recognition faces two core challenges. The first is class imbalance in public datasets, which skews the learning process and weakens generalization. The second is related to privacy and data collection constraints, which limit the sharing of facial images and restrict the creation of large, balanced datasets. To address these issues, we examine three complementary strategies for constructing privacy-preserving FER datasets in the standard seven discrete facial expression classes setting. Our strategies are: (i) pseudo-labeling large unlabeled face collections with a teacher model under a confidence-thresholding scheme, (ii) prompt-driven synthesis using diffusion models conditioned on demographic attributes, and (iii) task-aware GAN-based expression editing that modifies facial expression while preserving identity and realism. For training and evaluation, we employed widely adopted datasets, including AffectNet, RAF-DB, and FER2013. We utilized the synthetic datasets DigiFace, DCFace, and EmoNet-Face BIG as unlabeled sources for pseudo-labeling. Additionally, we utilized the FFHQ dataset as the source for generative synthesis. The main experiments are conducted using a classic CNN backbone, IR50, and we also explore a more complex architecture, POSTERv1, to assess its feasibility and robustness. Using cross-dataset evaluations, we analyze the trade-offs each strategy presents in curated datasets. The findings demonstrate how synthetic data can effectively substitute or be combined with real datasets to mitigate imbalance and privacy limitations. Code and generated datasets:https://www.github.com/AliAZ98/SyntFER
DyGRO-VLA: Cross-Task Scaling of Vision-Language-Action Models via Dynamic Grouped Residual Optimization
arXiv:2605.17486v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Recent progress in Reinforcement Learning (RL) provides a principled approach to optimizing Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models, facilitating a shift from trajectory imitation to active learning in the task environment. Despite improvements in control precision, most RL optimizers remain task-specific, which reduces VLA models from generalist controllers to policies that overfit to a narrow set of tasks. In this study, we conduct an in-depth analysis of this phenomenon and highlight the importance of cross-task feature representations for improving the generalizability of VLA models. Motivated by this finding, we introduce DyGRO-VLA, a two-stage optimization framework that 1) effectively captures cross-task latent representations based on information-theoretic principles, and 2) dynamically refines policy optimization via a mixture-of-RL-residuals. DyGRO-VLA enables the RL optimizer to exploit task-relevant latent information while strategically mitigating adverse interference on the learned representations throughout the optimization process. We evaluate our approach on LIBERO, RoboTwin2 benchmarks, and further validate it on real world, demonstrating consistent improvements over strong baselines under multi-task training and distribution shift.
Omni-Customizer: End-to-End MultiModal Customization for Joint Audio-Video Generation
arXiv:2605.17488v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The landscape of joint audio and video generation has been fundamentally transformed by the advent of powerful foundation models. Despite these strides, achieving cohesive multimodal customization for the simultaneous preservation of visual identities and vocal timbres across multiple interacting subjects remains largely underexplored. To bridge this gap, we present Omni-Customizer, an end-to-end framework targeted at the precise binding and seamless fusion of multimodal identity information. Specifically, we introduce an Omni-Context Fusion (OCF) module that effectively enriches the base textual prompt with dense, multimodal identity cues, along with a Masked TTS Cross-Attention (MTP-CA) mechanism explicitly designed to prevent the severe "speech leakage" problem. Within this architecture, we propose Semantic-Anchored Multimodal RoPE (SA-MRoPE) to anchor visual and audio reference tokens, along with TTS embeddings, to their corresponding semantic descriptions, enabling structured multimodal fusion and robust identity binding. Furthermore, we devise a comprehensive training strategy that incorporates interleaved audio-video scheduling to rapidly adapt the audio branch to multilingual scenarios without degrading foundational priors, and a progressive in-pair to cross-pair curriculum to facilitate the learning of high-level and robust identity features. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Omni-Customizer achieves state-of-the-art performance in dual-modal customized generation, excelling across visual identity similarity, timbre consistency, precise audio-video synchronization, and overall video-audio fidelity.
Overcoming noise-agility trade-off in integrated lasers for precision sensing
arXiv:2605.17491v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Lasers that combine narrow linewidths with rapid tunability are critical for applications such as coherent optical ranging, distributed fiber-optic sensing, and precision spectroscopy. Despite significant progress in integrated laser technologies, the concurrent realization of low phase noise and frequency agility on a single integrated platform remains challenging owing to a fundamental architectural trade-off: conventional integrated laser designs typically suppress phase noise via high-$Q$ resonators, yet the extended photon lifetimes inherent to such resonators intrinsically constrain tuning speed. Here, we address this noise-agility trade-off by introducing a laser architecture that achieves ultralow phase noise and ultrafast tunability simultaneously. Rather than relying on ultrahigh-$Q$ resonators for self-injection locking, our design employs strong synthetic feedback within a Pockels-tunable, resonator-enhanced distributed Bragg reflector to suppress phase noise. As a proof of concept, we demonstrate a hybrid integrated laser with a short-term linewidth of 29 Hz, realized using a lithium niobate external cavity with a loaded $Q$ of only 0.62 million. The adoption of a moderate resonator $Q$ relaxes the photon-lifetime constraint on tuning speed, enabling sub-exahertz-per-second tuning rates and a chirp nonlinearity as low as 0.14%. Leveraging this laser, we implement a frequency-modulated continuous-wave LiDAR system that achieves a relative ranging precision of $1.7 \times 10^{-4}$ at a measurement rate of $1\,\text{MSa s}^{-1}$, without requiring complex chirp linearization techniques. We further demonstrate fiber-optic acoustic sensing capable of detecting sub-$\mu\epsilon$ dynamic strain, underscoring the platform's versatility for high-speed precision optical measurements. Our work provides a route toward cost-effective yet high-performance sensing and metrology systems.
Finding the Balance Rate of Uncertain Signed Graphs
arXiv:2605.17492v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Signed graphs are widely used to analyze complex systems such as social, political, and biological networks. The notion of balance, a key concept of signed graphs, reflects the stability of relationships. While it has been extensively studied in deterministic graphs, real-world networks often exhibit uncertainty in their connections, which traditional approaches struggle to address. To bridge this gap, we introduce the concept of balance rate, a metric for quantifying the degree of balance in uncertain signed graphs, and prove that computing it exactly is NP-hard, motivating the need for efficient estimation methods. We propose a novel Rao-Blackwellized spanning-tree estimator that achieves near-linear time complexity per sample by leveraging graph decomposition and structural properties. We also construct asymptotically justified confidence intervals using the Delta method. Experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate the efficiency and effectiveness of our approach, enabling scalable balance analysis in uncertain signed graphs.
Automated Knowledge Component Generation for Interpretable Knowledge Tracing in Coding Problems
arXiv:2502.18632v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Knowledge components (KCs) mapped to problems help model student learning, tracking their mastery levels on fine-grained skills thereby facilitating personalized learning and feedback in online learning platforms. However, crafting and tagging KCs to problems, traditionally performed by human domain experts, is highly labor intensive. We present an automated, LLM-based pipeline for KC generation and tagging for open-ended programming problems. We also develop an LLM-based knowledge tracing (KT) framework to leverage these LLM-generated KCs, which we refer to as KCGen-KT. We conduct extensive quantitative and qualitative evaluations on two real-world student code submission datasets in different programming languages.We find that KCGen-KT outperforms existing KT methods and human-written KCs on future student response prediction. We investigate the learning curves of generated KCs and show that LLM-generated KCs result in a better fit than human written KCs under a cognitive model. We also conduct a human evaluation with course instructors to show that our pipeline generates reasonably accurate problem-KC mappings.
A Quarter of a Century of Neuromorphic Architectures on FPGAs -- an Overview
arXiv:2502.20415v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Neuromorphic computing is a relatively new discipline of computer science, where the principles of biological brain's computation and memory are used to create a new way of processing information, based on networks of spiking neurons. Those networks can be implemented as both analog and digital implementations, where for the latter, the Field Programmable Gate Arrays (FPGAs) are a frequent choice, due to their inherent flexibility, allowing the researchers to easily design hardware neuromorphic architecture (NMAs). Moreover, digital NMAs show good promise in simulating various spiking neural networks because of their inherent accuracy and resilience to noise, as opposed to analog implementations. This paper presents an overview of digital NMAs implemented on FPGAs, with a goal of providing useful references to various architectural design choices to the researchers interested in digital neuromorphic systems. We present a taxonomy of NMAs that highlights groups of distinct architectural features, their advantages and disadvantages and identify trends and predictions for the future of those architectures.
LLM-Safety Evaluations Lack Robustness
arXiv:2503.02574v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In this paper, we argue that current safety alignment research efforts for large language models are hindered by many intertwined sources of noise, such as small datasets, methodological inconsistencies, and unreliable evaluation setups. This can, at times, make it impossible to evaluate and compare attacks and defenses fairly, thereby slowing progress. We systematically analyze the LLM safety evaluation pipeline, covering dataset curation, optimization strategies for automated red-teaming, response generation, and response evaluation using LLM judges. At each stage, we identify key issues and highlight their practical impact. We also propose a set of guidelines for reducing noise and bias in evaluations of future attack and defense papers. Lastly, we offer an opposing perspective, highlighting practical reasons for existing limitations. We believe that addressing the outlined problems in future research will improve the field's ability to generate easily comparable results and make measurable progress.
Ro-To-Go! Robust Reactive Control with Signal Temporal Logic
arXiv:2503.05792v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Signal Temporal Logic (STL) robustness is a common objective for optimal robot control, but its dependence on history limits the robot's decision-making capabilities when used in Model Predictive Control (MPC) approaches. In this work, we introduce Signal Temporal Logic robustness-to-go (Ro-To-Go), a new quantitative semantics for the logic that isolates the contributions of suffix trajectories. We prove its relationship to formula progression for Metric Temporal Logic, and show that the robustness-to-go depends only on the suffix trajectory and progressed formula. We implement robustness-to-go as the objective in an MPC algorithm and use formula progression to efficiently evaluate it online. We test the algorithm in simulation and compare it to MPC using traditional STL robustness. Our experiments show that using robustness-to-go results in a higher success rate.
Browsing Large Graphs with Tile Pyramids and Sleeve Routing in the Browser
arXiv:2605.17498v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a new way to visualize a large graph in the style of online geographic maps. The method builds a tile pyramid for semantic zoom: at every zoom level the labels of the highest-ranked nodes remain readable, just as the names of major geographical features stay readable on those maps. The edges are routed by a method we call sleeve routing, which searches the dual graph of a Constrained Delaunay Triangulation to select a sequence of triangles through the free space, then applies the funnel algorithm to compute a shortest path inside the selected sleeve. We apply several heuristics to speed up the routing. We implemented our approach in the WebGL renderer of MSAGLJS, an open-source TypeScript library for graph visualization in web browsers, with the entire pipeline running client-side, without a dedicated server. Our benchmark suite contains nine graphs with up to 32,768 nodes and 236,978 edges, and measures browser-side parsing, layout, routing, and tile-pyramid construction. The renderer's demo can be seen at https://microsoft.github.io/msagljs/renderer-webgl-sleeve/index.html. MSAGLJS is available on GitHub (https://github.com/microsoft/msagljs) and as NPM packages (@msagl/core, @msagl/drawing, @msagl/parser, @msagl/renderer-svg, @msagl/renderer-webgl -- all on https://www.npmjs.com/).
Dynamics Over Landscape: The Emergence of Linear Separability via Spectral Alignment in Contrastive Learning
arXiv:2503.10812v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Contrastive learning effectively clusters data despite a loss landscape filled with poor solutions, a success that is heavily dependent on the choice of data augmentations. How optimization consistently finds meaningful patterns remains an open question. We show this success stems from training dynamics rather than the loss function alone. Crucially, under a highly specific structural assumption governing the connectivity and variance of the data augmentations, we prove that once a critical spectral alignment threshold is reached, data features inevitably and rapidly separate into distinct clusters. We establish this mechanism for both discrete datasets and the macroscopic continuum limit, modeling latent dynamics as a Wasserstein gradient flow to demonstrate that this separation persists as the number of data points approaches infinity. We hypothesize that natural training dynamics inherently drive the system toward this critical state. We extensively validate this empirically across four diverse domains (synthetic shapes, images, text, and PDEs). In every setting, a sharp increase in this spectral quantity consistently precedes clean data separation, revealing that contrastive learning's success is governed by a dynamically emerging trigger tightly coupled to the underlying augmentation structure.
Action-Gradient Monte Carlo Tree Search for Non-Parametric Continuous (PO)MDPs
arXiv:2503.12181v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Online planning in continuous state, action, and observation spaces remains challenging for autonomous systems. While Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) scales effectively via sampling, most continuous (PO)MDP solvers do not exploit gradient-based action optimization. We propose Action-Gradient MCTS (AGMCTS), a framework that combines global tree search with local gradient-based action refinement, while maintaining consistent value estimates. We provide three key theoretical contributions: (1) an action score gradient theorem for particle belief states; (2) the Multiple Importance Sampling (MIS) Tree that supports frequent action-branch updates by reusing prior samples without introducing estimator drift; and (3) tractable action score gradients for smooth generative models using the Area Formula. Empirical results demonstrate that AGMCTS outperforms state-of-the-art sample-based solvers in multiple challenging continuous MDP and POMDP benchmarks.
Self-Improving Tabular Language Models via Iterative Reward-Guided Post-Training
arXiv:2604.18966v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Tabular language models can generate synthetic tables by modeling rows as token sequences, but they are typically trained once with supervised fine-tuning and then used as static synthesizers. This is limiting because next-token likelihood does not directly optimize the distributional, utility, and indistinguishability properties used to evaluate synthetic data. We study iterative reward-guided post-training for tabular language models through a generate--score--align protocol, where a generator samples synthetic rows, a task-specified reward ranks them, and the model is updated relative to a fixed supervised reference. Within this protocol, we propose \textbf{TabGRAA} (\textbf{Tab}ular \textbf{G}roup-\textbf{R}elative \textbf{A}dvantage \textbf{A}lignment), a group-relative alignment method that compares high- and low-reward generated groups using group-averaged policy/reference log-ratios rather than one-to-one preference pairs. Across five mixed-type benchmarks, TabGRAA improves a GReaT backbone beyond additional supervised fine-tuning and achieves the strongest average trade-off among adapted DPO, KTO, and NPO baselines on fidelity and downstream utility, while maintaining empirical privacy diagnostics near the supervised baseline. Ablations show that the gains depend on meaningful reward ranking and stable group-level updates rather than extra training alone. Reward-substitution and scorer-separation studies further show that the post-training loop can use both classifier-based and classifier-free rewards, and that proper scorer separation is important for preserving the fidelity--utility--privacy trade-off. These results position TabGRAA as a self-improving post-training method for tabular language-model generators, complementary to strong static tabular synthesizers.
Could Large Language Models work as Post-hoc Explainability Tools in Credit Risk Models?
arXiv:2602.18895v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) have shown promise in translating model-based explanations into human-readable narratives. This study evaluates whether LLMs can serve as post-hoc explainability interfaces for credit risk models, focusing on their ability to preserve feature-importance rankings and generate autonomous explanations. Using a LendingClub dataset, we compare LLM outputs with SHAP and coefficient-based attributions on three major LLMs, including GPT-4-turbo, Claude-Sonnet-4.5, and Gemini-2.5-Flash. Results indicate that LLMs reliably reproduce reference rankings under controlled prompts but show limited alignment when generating explanations autonomously. These findings suggest that LLMs are best deployed as narrative interfaces rather than substitutes for formal attribution methods in credit risk governance.
Learning to Reason without External Rewards
arXiv:2505.19590v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Training large language models (LLMs) for complex reasoning via Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) is effective but limited by reliance on costly, domain-specific supervision. We explore Reinforcement Learning from Internal Feedback (RLIF), a framework that enables LLMs to learn from intrinsic signals without external rewards or labeled data. We propose Intuitor, an RLIF method that uses a model's own confidence-termed self-certainty-as its sole reward signal. Intuitor replaces external rewards in Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO) with self-certainty scores, enabling fully unsupervised learning. Experiments demonstrate that Intuitor matches GRPO's performance on mathematical benchmarks while achieving better generalization to out-of-domain tasks like code generation, without requiring gold solutions or test cases. Our findings show that intrinsic model signals can drive effective learning across domains, offering a scalable alternative to RLVR for autonomous AI systems where verifiable rewards are unavailable. Code is available at https://github.com/sunblaze-ucb/Intuitor
Designing streetscapes from street-view imagery using diffusion models
arXiv:2605.17527v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Street-view imagery (SVI) is widely used to quantify key indicators of urban environment, such as green- ery, sky, or road view indices. However, existing studies largely focus on measuring current streetscapes and rarely support the generation of alternative and non-existing urban scenarios, which is a core task in geospatial disciplines such as urban planning and design. To address this gap, we propose a gener- ative multimodal AI framework that synthesizes alternative streetscapes conditioned on targeted visual metrics, enabling direct visual exploration of urban scenarios. We first construct a multimodal dataset that aligns SVIs with textual descriptions, segmentation maps, road masks, and quantitative metrics of visual elements in Chicago and Orlando. Using this dataset, we demonstrate that diffusion models can produce realistic and semantically consistent streetscape imagery while responding to both textual and imagery controls. Our quantitative evaluations show that incorporating visual controls can improve semantic consistency, reducing the LPIPS index by approximately 6% while maintaining global visual realism. In addition, overall semantic consistency increases by 23.7% in Orlando and 46.4% in Chicago, as measured by the mIoU index, with class-wise gains exceeding even 100% improvement for building view indices. Streetscape generation can be controlled in a fine-grained manner by both visual and textual prompts, and when textual and visual controls conflict, imagery controls consistently dominate, indicating a clear control hierarchy and the importance of further developing visual controls for urban scene generation. Overall, this work establishes an important benchmark for streetscape generation us- ing SVIs and diffusion models, and illustrates how generative AI can serve as a practical, scalable, and controllable approach for urban scenario exploration.
T-FIX: Text-Based Explanations with Features Interpretable to eXperts
arXiv:2511.04070v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As LLMs are deployed in knowledge-intensive settings (e.g., surgery, astronomy, therapy), users are often domain experts who expect not just answers, but explanations that mirror professional reasoning. Yet evaluating whether an LLM "thinks like an expert" remains difficult: existing approaches rely on per-example expert annotation, making them costly, hard to scale, and tied to a single notion of correct reasoning within each domain. To address this gap, we introduce T-FIX, a unified evaluation framework that operationalizes expert alignment as a desired attribute of LLM-generated explanations. T-FIX spans seven scientific tasks across three domains, with each task evaluated against expert-defined criteria that capture domain-grounded reasoning rather than generic explanation quality. Our framework enables automatic, personalizable evaluation of expert alignment that generalizes to unseen explanations without ongoing expert involvement. Code is available at https://github.com/BrachioLab/FIX-2/.
CasualSynth: Generating Structurally Sound Synthetic Data
arXiv:2605.17528v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) generate realistic synthetic data but offer no guarantee that their outputs respect the causal mechanisms governing the target domain. We introduce CausalSynth, a framework that decouples causal structure generation from semantic realization, yielding synthetic data that is both causally valid and linguistically rich. The framework operates in three phases. First, a Structural Causal Model (SCM) - a tuple of structural equations defined over a directed acyclic graph (DAG) generates causal skeletons, i.e., variable assignments that satisfy the Global Markov Property of the governing DAG, via ancestral sampling. Second, an LLM acts as a constrained \emph{realizer}, a conditional translator that maps each skeleton to a high-dimensional observation such as a clinical note or a transaction log. Third, an Iterative Consistency Verification module detects structural violations through deterministic extraction and feeds targeted corrections back to the LLM, forming a closed-loop refinement process. We identify the Semantic Backdoor problem the systematic tendency of LLMs to override imposed causal facts with pre-training priors -- and prove that our iterative mechanism reduces the resulting selection bias relative to standard rejection sampling. On three causal benchmarks (ASIA, ALARM, and MIMIC-Struct), CausalSynth preserved conditional independencies with false-positive rates near the nominal $\alpha=0.05$ level and achieved realizability rates above 96% with 70B-parameter LLM backbones. The framework additionally supports principled interventional and counterfactual generation through noise retention and graph mutilation.
On the Meaning of Urban Scaling
arXiv:2603.30021v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Cities are often compared through scaling laws, usually expressed as power-law relations between population size and aggregate urban quantities related to infrastructure, socioeconomic activity, or environmental impacts. These laws are influential because their exponent is often interpreted as describing what happens when a city grows, with implications for urban theory, planning, and policy. Here, we show that this interpretation is generally misleading. An exponent measured by comparing many cities at one date does not, in general, describe the trajectory of any individual city. Instead, it reflects a statistical pattern produced by cities with different histories, constraints, institutions, and growth paths. Apparent sublinear or superlinear scaling can therefore arise even when individual cities follow simpler dynamics, as we show for the area--population relation. Cross-sectional scaling laws can reveal system-level regularities, but should not be used alone to infer growth mechanisms or guide policy for a given city.
Spatiotemporal Robustness of Temporal Logic Tasks using Multi-Objective Reasoning
arXiv:2603.29868v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The reliability of autonomous systems depends on their robustness, i.e., their ability to meet their objectives under uncertainty. In this paper, we study spatiotemporal robustness of temporal logic specifications evaluated over discrete-time signals. Existing work has proposed robust semantics that capture not only Boolean satisfiability, but also the geometric distance from unsatisfiability, corresponding to admissible spatial perturbations of a given signal. In contrast, we propose spatiotemporal robustness (STR), which captures admissible spatial and temporal perturbations jointly. This notion is particularly informative for interacting systems, such as multi-agent robotics, smart cities, and air traffic control. We define STR as a multi-objective reasoning problem, formalized via a partial order over spatial and temporal perturbations. This perspective has two key advantages: (1) STR can be interpreted as a Pareto-optimal set that characterizes all admissible spatiotemporal perturbations, and (2) STR can be computed using tools from multi-objective optimization. To navigate computational challenges, we propose robust semantics for STR that are sound in the sense of suitably under-approximating STR while being computationally tractable. Finally, we present monitoring algorithms for STR using these robust semantics. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work to deal with robustness across multiple dimensions via multi-objective reasoning.
Are Multimodal LLMs Ready for Surveillance? A Reality Check on Zero-Shot Anomaly Detection in the Wild
arXiv:2603.04727v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have demonstrated impressive general competence in video understanding, yet their reliability for real-world Video Anomaly Detection (VAD) remains largely unexplored. Unlike conventional pipelines relying on reconstruction or pose-based cues, MLLMs enable a paradigm shift: treating anomaly detection as a language-guided reasoning task. In this work, we systematically evaluate state-of-the-art MLLMs on the ShanghaiTech and CHAD benchmarks by reformulating VAD as a binary classification task under weak temporal supervision. We investigate how prompt specificity and temporal window lengths (1s--3s) influence performance, focusing on the precision--recall trade-off. Our findings reveal a pronounced conservative bias in zero-shot settings; while models exhibit high confidence, they disproportionately favor the 'normal' class, resulting in high precision but a recall collapse that limits practical utility. We demonstrate that class-specific instructions can significantly shift this decision boundary, improving the peak F1-score on ShanghaiTech from 0.09 to 0.64, yet recall remains a critical bottleneck. These results highlight a significant performance gap for MLLMs in noisy environments and provide a foundation for future work in recall-oriented prompting and model calibration for open-world surveillance, which demands complex video understanding and reasoning.