arXiv:2603.21309v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Facial expression recognition (FER) in videos requires model personalization to capture considerable variations across subjects. Vision-language models (VLMs) offer strong transfer to downstream tasks through image-text alignment, but their performance can degrade under inter-subject distribution shifts. Test-time adaptation (TTA) can mitigate this challenge. However, most state-of-the-art TTA methods rely on unsupervised parameter optimization, introducing computational overhead that is impractical in many real-world applications. This paper introduces TTA through Cache Personalization (TTA-CaP), a cache-based TTA method that enables cost-effective, gradient-free personalization of VLMs for video FER. Prior cache-based TTA methods rely solely on dynamic memories that store test samples, which can accumulate errors and drift because of noisy pseudo-labels. TTA-CaP instead introduces three complementary caches: a personalized static cache constructed through feature-statistics matching, a positive target cache that accumulates reliable subject-specific samples, and a negative target cache that stores low-confidence cases as negative samples. To prevent target-cache corruption, a tri-gate mechanism controls cache updates based on temporal stability, confidence, and consistency with the personalized static cache. Together, these caches provide complementary, subject-matched positive and negative evidence for robust online personalization. TTA-CaP further refines predictions by fusing embeddings, yielding representations that support temporally stable video-level predictions. Experiments on BioVid, StressID, and BAH show that TTA-CaP outperforms state-of-the-art TTA methods under subject-specific and environmental shifts while maintaining low computational and memory overhead. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/MasoumehSharafi/TTA-CaP.
Science Journals
arXiv:2607.09052v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Block sparse attention is a hardware friendly way to alleviate the key-value (KV) cache read bottleneck in large language models (LLMs). However, it is not prevalent among leading open-weight LLMs, which rely instead on dense attention or fine-grained selection, thereby motivating our analysis. We study DeepSeek's Native Sparse Attention (NSA) as a representative method, whose three-branch design lets us isolate block selection, the most challenging and consequential stage. We formalize selection and reduce it to ranking blocks by a single quantity, the attention mass: the sum of a block's attention scores. We show that if selection retrieves the blocks with the largest attention mass, block sparse attention can match the quality of dense attention. However, computing the exact attention mass requires reading every key, so the problem of block selection ultimately reduces to approximating this mass from a compact summary instead of the full keys. Via a cumulant expansion, we show why existing methods falter: their selection strategies attempt to estimate the attention mass, but are confined to a first-order approximation. Therefore, we propose COBS (Cumulant Order Block Sparse Attention), an attention method that builds on NSA, incorporating a novel selector that stores a compressed second-order statistic per block. On the 32k RULER long-context retrieval benchmark, COBS raises the NSA baseline's mean score from 0.2999 to 0.8195, approaching dense attention at 0.9040 and closing about 86% of the gap, while using only 1.21x the KV cache read traffic of the NSA baseline and 15.15x less read traffic than dense. The same model preserves short-context behavior and attains lower position-wise negative log-likelihood (NLL) than dense attention in our comparison.
arXiv:2607.09053v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Recent work has reported Emergent Misalignment (EM), where language models fine-tuned on narrow, domain-specific misaligned datasets abruptly acquire broadly misaligned behavior, alongside evidence that this behavior can be reversed through limited realignment. We systematically study repeated alignment and misalignment cycles using controlled fine-tuning loops while tracking behavioral performance, and LoRA representations throughout training. Although we reproduce EM, we find that both misalignment and realignment are highly sensitive to superficial dataset characteristics, with apparent rapid realignment largely disappearing after controlling for response-length differences. We further find that previously reported mechanistic signatures, including representational phase transitions in LoRA space, do not consistently correlate with behavioral misalignment across training. Our results suggest that current evidence for EM is less robust than previously claimed and highlight the need for evaluation protocols that carefully control for these surface level dataset artifacts to identify the robustness of the EM phenomenon.
arXiv:2607.09054v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Type annotations are more and more popular in Python projects to avoid type errors caused by Python's dynamic typing feature. However, when developers change source code, these type annotations are often neglected or overlooked, resulting in outdated and inconsistent type annotations. Such obsolete type annotations can hinder program comprehension, mislead developers, and even introduce bugs in the future. Therefore, it is necessary to avoid and correct these inconsistent type annotations from the very beginning. In this work, we argue that obsolete type annotations can be reduced and even avoided by automatically updating type annotations alongside code changes. We refer to this task as "Just-In-Time (JIT) type annotation updating". To solve this task, we propose a novel LLM-based approach named TypeUp (Type Annotation Updator) to automate this task. TypeUp can automatically generate new type annotations based on the old type annotations and corresponding code changes. Specifically, TypeUp guides LLM to perform type annotation updates by eliciting its knowledge and logical reasoning power and learning from similar code changes. The evaluation results show that TypeUp outperforms state-of-the-art type infer approach (i.e., TypeGen) by 41.9% on our task. Moreover, we conducted an in-the-wild evaluation with real-world software projects, 20 out of 25 type annotation updates generated by our approach have already been confirmed by developers, showing our approach's practical value in real-world environments.
arXiv:2607.09057v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Cross-view geo-localization (CVGL) aims to achieve GPS-free localization by matching drone-view images with corresponding satellite-view images. Existing supervised methods rely on large-scale manually annotated cross-view image pairs, making them costly and difficult to scale. In contrast, existing unsupervised approaches typically depend on generative models or clustering-based stage-wise optimization, which are prone to distribution bias and the accumulation of noisy pseudo-labels. To address these limitations, we propose STEAM (Stable Self-Training with Elastic Matching and Adaptive Purification), an end-to-end unsupervised cross-view geo-localization framework that performs self-training directly on real drone and satellite images. Specifically, the proposed Stable Spatial-Aware Module enhances the stability of feature representations, Elastic Matching discovers high-quality cross-view pseudo-labels, and Adaptive Purification dynamically maintains a reliable pseudo-label repository throughout the self-training process. Extensive experiments on the University-1652 and SUES-200 benchmarks demonstrate that STEAM achieves state-of-the-art performance among all existing unsupervised methods and delivers performance comparable to supervised approaches, validating the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed framework. The source code is available at https://github.com/wsx-heu/STEAM.git.
arXiv:2607.09061v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: A striking feature of the human visual system is that it ingests visual information through a series of local foveated glimpses, rather than a single global computation. This makes human vision distinctly different from most popular computer vision models in use today, which input images globally and in a single shot. A natural question therefore is whether local, sequential vision models may provide any fundamental computational benefits in addition to being biologically more plausible than global models. In this work, we investigate this question from the perspective of visual state tracking and length generalization. Inspired by recent studies of length generalization in language models, we study the behavior of vision models trained on simple vision tasks that require the aggregation of local information across an image. Our experiments reveal that, similar to language models, vision models can learn to exploit global shortcuts and thereby fail to generalize over task length or complexity. We also show that recurrent vision policies based on strictly local perception can mitigate these failures, thereby allowing models to generalize on these tasks. Our results show that local attention may be an essential overlooked requirement for robust compositional generalization.
arXiv:2607.09063v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Edge devices are increasingly utilized for deploying deep learning applications on embedded systems. The real-time nature of many applications and the limited resources of edge devices necessitate latency-targeted neural network compression. However, measuring latency on real devices is challenging and expensive. Therefore, this letter presents a novel and efficient framework, named EvoLP, to accurately predict the inference latency of models on edge devices. This predictor can evolve to achieve higher latency prediction precision during the network compression process. Experimental results demonstrate that EvoLP outperforms previous state-of-the-art approaches by being evaluated on three edge devices and four model variants. Moreover, when incorporated into a model compression framework, it effectively guides the compression process for higher model accuracy while satisfying strict latency constraints. We open source EvoLP at https://github.com/ntuliuteam/EvoLP.
arXiv:2607.09068v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Recent advancements in LVLMs necessitate robust benchmarks for complex, visually grounded reasoning. A critical limitation is identified in many document understanding benchmarks: visual content is often reducible to text, enabling high performance without genuine visual grounding. To address this limitation, OmniMapBench is introduced to foster visual-centric reasoning for map documents. The benchmark comprises 2,096 manually annotated question-answer pairs across 1,603 map documents from nine categories. It is designed to probe a hierarchy of skills, ranging from perception to multi-step visual reasoning. To quantify benchmark properties, a simple yet effective benchmark-level metric is proposed: the Visual Dependency Index (VDI), defined as the accuracy drop when images are replaced with question-agnostic descriptions. OmniMapBench exhibits higher VDI than established benchmarks, which quantitatively validates its focus on irreducible visual reasoning. Comprehensive evaluations of 25 leading LVLMs are conducted on OmniMapBench. A significant performance gap is observed, with the top-performing model achieving only 75.03\% accuracy. This result underscores the challenges posed by OmniMapBench to current LVLMs. This work aims to catalyze progress in visual-centric reasoning for document understanding of LVLMs. The dataset and code are publicly available at https://github.com/SIGMME/OmniMapBench.
arXiv:2607.09070v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This paper introduces a digital-twin (DT)-assisted cooperative perception framework designed to improve perception accuracy under end-to-end (E2E) latency constraints and to balance perception accuracy and E2E latency under communication resource constraints in autonomous vehicles. We formulate an optimization problem that maximizes perception accuracy subject to latency and communication limitations, and solve it using a newly proposed coarse-to-fine search (CTFS) algorithm. Simulation results show that the proposed CTFS algorithm achieves 96.6% perception accuracy, close to exhaustive search, under latency constraints while reducing computational complexity by approximately 85.78%. The DT-assisted framework further achieves a 50% reduction in the non-DT communication cost through estimated, time-synchronized state updates.
arXiv:2607.09072v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: As the cost of code generation becomes cheaper with AI, the new bottleneck in software engineering has shifted to intent specification and validation. Overcoming this durability crisis of AI-driven coding requires more than traditional fuzzing: each candidate property must be proven correct over a model and shown to hold on the real implementation, making formal proof and systematic property-based testing (PBT) complementary. However, validating properties this way at scale requires solving two subproblems: verifying candidate properties and operationalizing PBT without AI hallucination. We hypothesize that recurring property patterns, cast as property templates--abstract, parameterized forms with holes--address both at once.
This paper investigates recurring property patterns in Apache Spark. In data-intensive scalable computing systems, correctness properties arise from the principles of data partition, computation decomposition, and dataflow computation. For instance, aggregation decomposition relates a global function executed on the entire dataset to a local function followed by a recombiner. We design an agentic, dual-track validation framework that uses property templates to formally verify correctness in the Lean 4 theorem prover and instantiate PBT templates as executable PySpark tests. Our evaluation shows that property templates increase agentic proof engineering success by up to 2.6x (1.6x on average) and reduce proof hallucinations by 59%. Template-guided PBT synthesis reduces intent misalignments from 22 to 1 and cuts synthesis cost by up to 5.7x (3.8x on average). Template-guided synthesis further exceeds a state-of-the-art Spark fuzzer and approaches unguided LLM-based PBT on code coverage. Finally, comparing the two tracks is informative: when a proof succeeds yet a PBT finds a counterexample, the mismatch identifies a gap between the formal model and implementation.
arXiv:2603.23086v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Autoregressive (AR) models are highly effective for image generation, yet their standard maximum-likelihood estimation training lacks direct optimization for sample quality and diversity. While reinforcement learning (RL) has been used to align diffusion models, these methods typically suffer from output diversity collapse. Similarly, concurrent RL methods for AR models rely strictly on instance-level rewards, often trading off distributional coverage for quality. To address these limitations, we propose a lightweight RL framework that casts token-based AR synthesis as a Markov Decision Process, optimized via Group Relative Policy Optimization (GRPO). Our core contribution is the introduction of a novel distribution-level Leave-One-Out FID (LOO-FID) reward; by leveraging an exponential moving average of feature moments, it explicitly encourages sample diversity and prevents mode collapse during policy updates. We integrate this with composite instance-level rewards (CLIP and HPSv2) for strict semantic and perceptual fidelity, and stabilize the multi-objective learning with an adaptive entropy regularization term. Extensive experiments on LlamaGen and VQGAN architectures demonstrate clear improvements across standard quality and diversity metrics within only a few hundred tuning iterations. The results also show that the model can be updated to produce competitive samples even without Classifier-Free Guidance, and bypass its 2x inference cost.
arXiv:2607.09195v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly expected to play a central role in AI-driven scientific discovery. Equipped with broad knowledge, flexible reasoning, and tool use, they have the potential to autonomously explore and solve scientific problems by repeatedly proposing hypotheses, testing them, and revising their beliefs in the light of the evidence. In current agents, however, these hypotheses, tests, and belief updates are buried in unstructured logs, and no mechanism lets the agent or the human researcher audit that process. Here we propose the Hypothesis Evolution Protocol (HEP), an agent harness that provides hypothesis generation, evaluation, and evolution as explicit, auditable operations. On materials-science research tasks, a HEP-equipped agent operates the hypothesis--test--evidence--belief cycle that planning-style agents lack, generalizes across research questions, and exploits the protocol more fully as the base LLM becomes more capable. These results mark a step toward auditable AI scientists, whose scientific reasoning can be inspected, verified, and built upon.
arXiv:2607.09076v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Cyberattacks on operational technology are increasingly causing costly downtime and physical damage, exposing the limitations of traditional rule-based monitoring in industrial IoT environments. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have strong semantic reasoning abilities to assist in decision support, their hallucinatory nature presents unacceptable safety liabilities for closed-loop control. This paper introduces a neuro-agentic control framework, a novel architecture that couples an LLM-based planner (i.e., such as Gemini 2.5 Flash-Lite) with a pre-trained Time-Series Foundation Model (TimesFM), to achieve physics-grounded autonomous defense. The paper introduces a ``Counterfactual Physics Injection'' mechanism that simulates the impact of LLM-proposed interventions within the numerical latent space of the foundation model before actuation, while allowing the system to reject hallucinatory or unsafe actions. Evaluated on an industrial dataset (e.g., the Secure Water Treatment (SWaT)) in the context of stochastic attack scenarios, the framework exhibited better performance compared to LSTM and TCN baselines. The Neuro-Agentic Loop prevented five breaches (33.3%) below the threshold versus LSTM (26.7%) and TCN (13.3%), with zero physically invalid (hallucinated) actions executed. These results demonstrate the efficacy of using foundation models as deterministic ``Sentinels'' to safeguard agentic AI in critical infrastructure.
arXiv:2607.09081v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Dataset condensation for action segmentation synthesizes compact, informative representations of long, untrimmed video datasets. The existing approach relies on Variational Autoencoders and an iterative latent optimization; it is computationally expensive and suffers from over-smoothed reconstructions and rigid temporal constraints. This paper proposes to shift the condensation paradigm from optimization-based inversion to deterministic latent mapping. By leveraging Denoising Diffusion Implicit Models, we represent action segments as continuous trajectories anchored by sparse latent points in the noise manifold. To maximize representational efficiency, we introduce an adaptive allocation mechanism that dynamically redistributes the anchoring budget based on segment-wise reconstruction difficulty. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods in segmentation performance across common datasets. Notably, our approach achieves performance parity with real data training while maintaining a condensation ratio of 2.4\% on Breakfast dataset.
arXiv:2607.09082v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Training-free in-context segmentation enables new object categories to be introduced at inference time from a single annotated reference image, eliminating the retraining and memory overhead of class-incremental learning. Recent approaches achieve this by combining vision foundation models for semantic correspondence with promptable segmentation networks like SAM. However, their performance is fundamentally limited by the quality of the cross-image similarity map; shared contextual backgrounds between the reference and query systematically elevate similarity in non-target regions, degrading prompt localization. We present REBASE, a training-free framework that explicitly suppresses these spurious contextual correspondences. Our method identifies the low-rank background feature subspace from the reference image and project the reference and query features onto its orthogonal complement in closed form, yielding cleaner semantic matching. We then generate positive point prompts using similarity-weighted farthest-point sampling, paired with a refined dense similarity prior. Without any training or parameter updates, our approach establishes a new state of the art among training-free methods on PACO-Part, FSS-1000, and cross-domain datasets such as ISIC2018, demonstrating that explicit background subspace removal is a highly effective principle for one-shot localization.
arXiv:2607.09083v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Dynamically encircling exceptional points (EPs) enables chiral state conversion in classical wave systems. However, whether this mechanism can be extended to chiral spin conversion has remained elusive. Here we demonstrate chiral switching of elastic spin via dynamic encirclement of EPs in a non-Hermitian micropolar (Cosserat) metamaterial. The interplay between micropolar chirality and anisotropic loss generates EPs with a nontrivial Riemann-sheet topology. Encircling these EPs converts the elastic spin, with the final spin sign dictated solely by the handedness of the encircling trajectory. Our results establish a fundamental route for the selective manipulation of elastic spin, opening avenues for non-Hermitian spin phononics and broader applications in other wave systems.
arXiv:2607.09086v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We present Subtoken Vision Transformer (SubViT), a selective image tokenization method for fine-grained visual recognition. Standard Vision Transformers compress each fixed-size patch into a single token, although fine-grained distinctions often depend on localized variations within only a few patches. SubViT addresses this mismatch by representing discriminative patches with multiple subtokens while retaining the original token sequence for global context, thereby allocating additional capacity where it is most needed. Since attention heads encode complementary semantics and extracting attention maps at inference requires an extra backbone forward, we adopt a two-stage training strategy. Stage 1 fine-tunes the ViT using subdivision regions sampled from random attention heads, exposing the model to diverse subdivision patterns. Stage 2 identifies informative attention maps through feature-degradation distances and distills them into a lightweight single-map router, which directly predicts deterministic token-importance scores without a separate attention forward. We evaluate SubViT on Generalized Category Discovery (GCD), a challenging task requiring both fine-grained discrimination and generalization to unlabeled novel categories. Across CUB, FGVC-Aircraft, and Stanford Cars, SubViT improves the average novel-category accuracy of DINOv2 from $81.3\%$ to $84.7\%$, with only $0.50$ ms additional latency and $3.4\%$ more FLOPs, while reducing latency by $73.8\%$ relative to Retina Patch. Results on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet-100 demonstrate its broader applicability.
arXiv:2607.09090v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: In large-scale ride-hailing, hold control is a critical mechanism for improving passenger-driver experience. By selectively delaying certain driver-order pairs, the system waits for better opportunities, reduces cancellations, and mitigates wasted driver effort. However, existing industrial hold strategies often rely on heuristic thresholding over multiple predictive models, which can be brittle under non-stationary traffic and hard to optimize for multi-objective experience signals.
We propose EXHOLD, a deployable two-stage framework decoupling experience-aware pair assessment from hold-time execution. In Stage I, we learn a decision model assigning each driver-order pair to discrete, interpretable experience tiers by optimizing a unified objective that aggregates satisfaction signals across the matching funnel. In Stage II, we solve for a monotone hold-time schedule via constrained optimization over empirical quantiles. This explicitly enforces service guardrails bounding the unnecessary holding of promising matches while maximizing overall experience improvement.
We evaluate EXHOLD through randomized A/B experiments in DiDi's production system in Brazil. Results show consistent gains in marketplace efficiency and experience: EXHOLD increases trip completion and driver income, significantly reduces passenger cancellations, and improves funnel efficiency. Ablations and behavioral analyses confirm both stages are essential and that the policy makes calibrated decisions under spatiotemporal heterogeneity. EXHOLD is currently deployed, serving production traffic in Brazil.
arXiv:2603.23147v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Inverse systems for discrete-time linear periodically time-varying (LPTV) plants are fundamental to feedforward control and iterative learning control of multirate and periodic systems. Building on the classical cyclic reformulation, which converts an N-periodic system into an equivalent LTI system at the original sampling rate, this paper derives an explicit closed-form N-periodic state-space realization of the inverse for an arbitrary uniform periodic relative degree r >= 0 (defined through the periodic Markov parameters). The key technical result is a structure-preservation property: after absorbing a phase shift for r >= 1, the LTI inverse of the cycled plant provably retains the cyclic (block-circulant/block-diagonal) structure, so that the periodic inverse matrices can be read off block-by-block. The resulting inverse system is real-valued, causal for r = 0 and r-step-delayed for r >= 1, operates at the original sampling rate, and reconstructs the input exactly under matched initial conditions, with geometric error decay otherwise. Its stability is characterized by the invariant zeros of the cycled plant, generalizing the minimum phase condition of the LTI case. Numerical examples illustrate the construction, the stability characterization, and the implementation as an online periodic filter.
arXiv:2607.09103v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Image tracking is the problem of estimating the transformation that relates a moving image of a scene to an original reference image. The problem is important in control of autonomous vehicles or robots, where the image encodes information about the motion of the camera or environment, as well as in pure computer vision applications. In this paper, we present an equivariant filter design for high performance tracking of planar image transformations using an event camera. The design exploits the Asynchronous Event Blob (AEB) tracker (Wang et al., 2024) to extract feature-position measurements from the raw event stream, and an equivariant filter to compute an affine image translation and rotation using the special Euclidean group symmetry. The equivariant filter incorporates an equivalent-measurement update step that de-correlates the (highly temporally correlated) feature-position measurements provided by the AEB tracker. We evaluate the design experimentally using two datasets involving general and fast rotational motion. We benchmark results against direct optimisation (estimating the relative transformation from the raw blob tracks), and a covariance intersection approach for overcoming data correlation. Our design provides smooth image tracking for features moving up to 7000 pixels per second on the image plane.
arXiv:2607.09084v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The rapid expansion of large-scale AI models has led to significant performance breakthroughs across diverse domains, yet it has also raised critical concerns regarding computational costs, energy consumption, and environmental sustainability. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of the green development of large models, emphasizing resource-efficient architectures and full-stack hardware-software co-design. We systematically review recent advances in efficient model construction, including attention operator optimization, linear-complexity architectures, and model sparsification and merging, as well as training and deployment strategies such as data-efficient learning, parameter-efficient fine-tuning, and computational compression. Beyond algorithmic improvements, we explore energy-efficient AI hardware, including mainstream AI chips, memory optimization, cross-platform deployment, and sustainable infrastructure. Furthermore, we examine how large models are being applied to sustainability-critical domains such as DeepSeek, remote sensing interpretation, national-scale infrastructure, and global initiatives. Finally, we discuss key challenges and future directions, highlighting the need for continual learning paradigms, memory-centric hardware, and standardized evaluation protocols. This survey aims to offer a holistic roadmap toward sustainable, scalable, and socially responsible development of large models. Paper homepage: https://cje.ejournal.org.cn/article/doi/10.23919/cje.2025.00.438
arXiv:2607.09108v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We study the integration of variational quantum circuits (VQCs) into diffusion models through a squeeze-and-excitation (SE) channel-modulation scaffold that isolates the quantum contribution. Using a role-matched classical control and multi-seed significance testing across DDPM and latent diffusion on MNIST and CIFAR-10, with a score-based NCSN study on MNIST, we find that quantum cores achieve comparable mean FID to the classical control across DDPM and latent diffusion, while paired sampling-seed tests for EfficientSU2 detect no statistically significant difference. Although the quantum cores use $4.5$--$9\times$ fewer core parameters than the role-matched control, parameter-matched classical controls attain comparable mean FID, so the experiments do not establish a quantum parameter-efficiency advantage. We further identify a structural failure in score-based NCSN: the unbounded score target, proportional to $1/\sigma$, drives angle-embedding inputs far beyond the $2\pi$ period of rotation gates, causing phase aliasing and collapse of the quantum modulator. A bounding transformation, $\theta \leftarrow \pi \tanh(\cdot)$, maps inputs to the non-aliasing domain and substantially improves both quantum cores. Since all circuits are classically simulated at a few-qubit scale, we do not claim quantum advantage. Instead, the study provides a fair-comparison protocol for quantum-enhanced generative models and a mechanistic account of when and why angle embeddings fail.
arXiv:2604.16238v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes. Today, such forecasts enjoy unprecedented accuracy out to two weeks thanks to steady advances in physics-based dynamical models and data-driven artificial intelligence (AI) models. However, model skill drops precipitously at subseasonal timescales (2 - 6 weeks ahead), due to compounding errors, systemic model biases, and the chaotic nature of the atmosphere. To counter this degradation, we introduce probabilistic bias correction (PBC), a machine learning framework that substantially reduces systematic error by learning to correct historical probabilistic forecasts. When applied to the leading dynamical and AI models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), PBC doubles the modest subseasonal skill of the AI Forecasting System and improves the skill of the operationally-debiased dynamical model for 91% of pressure, 92% of temperature, and 98% of precipitation targets. We designed PBC for operational deployment, and, in ECMWF's 2025 real-time forecasting competition, its global forecasts placed first for all weather variables and lead times, outperforming the dynamical models from six operational forecasting centers, an international dynamical multi-model ensemble, ECMWF's AI Forecasting System, and the forecasting systems of 34 teams worldwide. These probabilistic skill gains translate into more accurate prediction of extreme events and have the potential to improve agricultural planning, energy management, and disaster preparedness in vulnerable communities.
arXiv:2607.09122v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Data-driven methods, including graph neural networks, have been studied for accelerating power flow calculations in recent years, but very little attention has been paid to the solution feasibility, which can be obtained by traditional solvers. This paper presents a Variational Graph Autoencoder (VGAE) that detects the power flow solution feasibility, using the IEEE 118-bus case, to assess the validity of the solutions provided by AI-driven solvers.
arXiv:2607.09134v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Representation alignment (REPA) has been investigated to accelerate diffusion training, but we observe that regularizing intermediate representations in diffusion Transformers (DiT) may implicitly entangle latents and limit generative capacity. To address this issue, we propose ReGen, a hierarchical multi-prompt representation generation framework that jointly estimates multiple vector fields for both representations and data within a single diffusion model. We further introduce generalized flow matching (GFM) to improve the generalization of conditional flow matching (CFM). We validate ReGen on single-stage waveform diffusion models including neural audio codec and Wave-VAE. ReGen significantly improves waveform generation quality from highly compressed latent representations at 12.5 Hz. We also present ReGenVoice, a latent diffusion model (LDM)-based text-to-speech model that achieves strong speech intelligibility (WER) and speaker similarity (SIM) with a small dataset. Moreover, operating the LDM at 6.25 Hz with rich semantic and acoustic latent representation enables efficient training and sampling, requiring only 1 day of training on 4 GPUs and fast inference with an RTF of 0.08. Audio samples are available at https://regenvoice.github.io/demo/.