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Peer-reviewade publikationer — 66050 artiklar

Laser-Enhanced Contact Optimization in Silicon Photovoltaics: Mechanisms, Reliability, and Predictive Process Design
arXiv:2603.23351v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Laser-enhanced contact optimization (LECO) has emerged as an important method for simultaneously reducing contact resistivity and metallization-induced recombination in advanced crystalline silicon solar cells, thereby enabling concurrent gains in fill factor and open-circuit voltage, particularly in TOPCon devices. However, broader industrial transferability remains constrained by the need to preserve these gains within a narrow process window and by unresolved, architecture-dependent questions regarding the kinetic stability of some LECO-modified interfaces. LECO is therefore examined in this review as a coupled multiphysics process that links localized electrothermal activation and microstructural evolution to device-level electrical signatures through an instantaneous regime map and a reliability classification based on time-dependent drift. A predictive workflow is outlined that couples transient electrothermal modeling with reduced state metrics, including effective diffusion depth and local areal energy density, and propagates calibrated thresholds across the recipe space. The framework separates stable optimization from marginal activation and latent damage, while explaining why fine-line scaling and copper-containing contact stacks can tighten stability margins through current localization and diffusion-barrier constraints. These insights provide a basis for reliability-aware process-window design and future digital-twin-assisted optimization of LECO for scalable, high-efficiency silicon photovoltaics.
Comparative Analysis of Data-Driven Predictive Control Strategies
arXiv:2507.20098v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This paper compares data-driven predictive control strategies by examining their theoretical foundations, assumptions, and applications. The three most widely recognized and consequential methods, Data Enabled Predictive Control, Willems-Koopman Predictive Control, Model-Free Adaptive Predictive Control are employed. Each of these strategies is systematically reviewed, and the primary theories supporting it are outlined. Following analysis, a discussion is provided regarding their fundamental assumptions, emphasizing their influence on control effectiveness. A numerical example is presented as a benchmark for comparison to enable a rigorous performance evaluation.
A Techno-Economic Framework for Cost Modeling and Revenue Opportunities in Open and Programmable AI-RAN
arXiv:2603.28680v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The large-scale deployment of 5G networks has not delivered the expected return on investment for mobile network operators, raising concerns about the economic viability of future 6G rollouts. At the same time, surging demand for Artificial Intelligence (AI) inference and training workloads is straining global compute capacity. AI-RAN architectures, in which Radio Access Network (RAN) platforms accelerated on Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) share idle capacity with AI workloads during off-peak periods, offer a potential path to improved capital efficiency. However, the economic case for such systems remains unsubstantiated. In this paper, we present a techno-economic analysis of AI-RAN deployments by combining publicly available benchmarks of 5G Layer-1 processing on heterogeneous platforms -- from x86 servers with accelerators for channel coding to modern GPUs -- with realistic traffic models and AI service demand profiles for Large Language Model (LLM) inference. We construct a joint cost and revenue model that quantifies the surplus compute capacity available in GPU-based RAN deployments and evaluates the returns from leasing it to AI tenants. Our results show that, across a range of scenarios encompassing token depreciation, varying demand dynamics, and diverse GPU serving densities, the additional capital and operational expenditures of GPU-heavy deployments are offset by AI-on-RAN revenue, yielding a return on investment of up to 8x. These findings strengthen the long-term economic case for accelerator-based RAN architectures and future 6G deployments.
Hestia: Voxel-Face-Aware Hierarchical Next-Best-View Acquisition for Efficient 3D Reconstruction
arXiv:2508.01014v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Advances in 3D reconstruction and novel view synthesis have enabled efficient and photorealistic rendering. However, images for reconstruction are still either largely manual or constrained by simple preplanned trajectories. To address this issue, recent works propose generalizable next-best-view planners that do not require online learning. Nevertheless, robustness and performance remain limited across various shapes. Hence, this study introduces Voxel-Face-Aware Hierarchical Next-Best-View Acquisition for Efficient 3D Reconstruction (Hestia), which addresses the shortcomings of the reinforcement learning-based generalizable approaches for five-degree-of-freedom viewpoint prediction. Hestia systematically improves the planners through four components: a more diverse dataset to promote robustness, a hierarchical structure to manage the high-dimensional continuous action search space, a close-greedy strategy to mitigate spurious correlations, and a face-aware design to avoid overlooking geometry. Experimental results show that Hestia achieves non-marginal improvements, with at least a 4% gain in coverage ratio, while reducing Chamfer Distance by 50% and maintaining real-time inference. In addition, Hestia outperforms prior methods by at least 12% in coverage ratio with a 5-image budget and remains robust to object placement variations. Finally, we demonstrate that Hestia, as a next-best-view planner, is feasible for the real-world application. Our project page is https://johnnylu305.github.io/hestia web.
SKILL0: In-Context Agentic Reinforcement Learning for Skill Internalization
arXiv:2604.02268v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Agent skills, structured packages of procedural knowledge and executable resources that agents dynamically load at inference time, have become a reliable mechanism for augmenting LLM agents. Yet inference-time skill augmentation is fundamentally limited: retrieval noise introduces irrelevant guidance, injected skill content imposes substantial token overhead, and the model never truly acquires the knowledge it merely follows. We ask whether skills can instead be internalized into model parameters, enabling zero-shot autonomous behavior without any runtime skill retrieval. We introduce SKILL0, an in-context reinforcement learning framework designed for skill internalization. SKILL0 introduces a training-time curriculum that begins with full skill context and progressively withdraws it. Skills are grouped offline by category and rendered with interaction history into a compact visual context, teaching he model tool invocation and multi-turn task completion. A Dynamic Curriculum then evaluates each skill file's on-policy helpfulness, retaining only those from which the current policy still benefits within a linearly decaying budget, until the agent operates in a fully zero-shot setting. Extensive agentic experiments demonstrate that SKILL0 achieves substantial improvements over the standard RL baseline (+9.7\% for ALFWorld, +6.6\% for Search-QA, and+10.1\% for WebShop), while maintaining a highly efficient context of fewer than 0.5k tokens per step. Our code is available at https://github.com/ZJU-REAL/SkillZero.
Gradient-Discrepancy Acquisition for Pool-Based Active Learning
arXiv:2605.02609v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The effectiveness of active learning hinges on the choice of the acquisition criterion by which a learning algorithm selects potentially informative data points whose label is subsequently queried. This paper proposes a novel gradient-based acquisition criterion, derived from a generalization bound introduced by Luo et al. (2022). This criterion can be applied in lieu of uncertainty measures in uncertainty sampling, or incorporated into diversity-based methods that consider the spread of sampled points in addition to the uncertainty of their labels. We provide a theoretical justification of the proposed acquisition criterion, and demonstrate its effectiveness in an empirical evaluation.
Always Learning, Always Mixing: Efficient and Simple Data Mixing All The Time
arXiv:2605.15220v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data mixing decides how to combine different sources or types of data and is a consequential problem throughout language model training. In pretraining, data composition is a key determinant of model quality; in continual learning and adaptation, it governs what is retained and acquired. Yet existing data mixing methods address only one phase of this lifecycle at a time: some require smaller proxy models tied to a single training phase, others assume a fixed domain set, and continual learning lacks principled guidance altogether. We argue that data mixing is fundamentally an online decision making problem -- one that recurs throughout training and demands a single, unified solution. We introduce OP-Mix (On-Policy Mix), a data mixing algorithm that operates across the entire language model training lifecycle. Our main insight is that candidate data mixtures can be cheaply simulated by interpolating between low-rank adapters trained directly on the current model, eliminating separate proxy models and ensuring the search is always grounded in the model's actual learning dynamics. Across pretraining, continual midtraining, and continual instruction tuning, OP-Mix consistently finds near-optimal mixtures while using a fraction of the compute of the baselines. In pretraining, OP-Mix improves upon training without mixing by 6.3% in average perplexity. For continual learning, OP-Mix matches the performance of both retraining and on-policy distillation while using 66% and 95% less overall compute, respectively. OP-Mix suggests a different view of language model training: not a sequence of distinct phases, but a single continuous process of learning from data.
Effective Harness Engineering for Algorithm Discovery with Coding Agents
arXiv:2605.15221v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AlphaEvolve and FunSearch have demonstrated the potential of combining large language models (LLMs) with evolutionary search for automated algorithm discovery. However, discovery success is shaped not only by model capability but also significantly by the design of the execution infrastructure, i.e., the harness. This paper investigates effective harness design through three questions: under a fixed token budget, is it better to produce many algorithms with brief thought or fewer algorithms with deeper thought? How should the harness handle evaluation hacks, where generated programs exploit the scoring function? And how can agents that require full filesystem access execute safely in parallel? Using Vesper, an algorithm discovery framework that incorporates harness improvements addressing these questions, we evaluate on Circle Packing under the same token budget. Interestingly, generating fewer algorithms while thinking more deeply about each one achieved higher scores. That is, scaling the quality of each individual is more budget-efficient than scaling the number of evolutionary generations. Surprisingly, more capable models produced evaluation hacks at higher rates, making hack detection increasingly necessary as models scale.
DualReg: Dual-Space Filtering and Reinforcement for Rigid Registration
arXiv:2508.17034v2 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Noisy, partially overlapping data and the need for real-time processing pose major challenges for rigid registration. Considering that feature-based matching can handle large transformation differences but suffers from limited accuracy, while local geometry-based matching can achieve fine-grained local alignment but relies heavily on a good initial transformation, we propose a novel dual-space paradigm to fully leverage the strengths of both approaches. First, we introduce an efficient filtering mechanism consisting of a computationally lightweight one-point RANSAC algorithm and a subsequent refinement module to eliminate unreliable feature-based correspondences. Subsequently, we treat the filtered correspondences as anchor points, extract geometric proxies, and formulate an effective objective function with a tailored solver to estimate the transformation. Experiments verify our method's effectiveness, as demonstrated by a 32x CPU-time speedup over MAC on KITTI with comparable accuracy. Project page: https://ustc3dv.github.io/DualReg/.
Grounded or Guessing? LVLM Confidence Estimation via Blind-Image Contrastive Ranking
arXiv:2605.10893v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Large vision-language models suffer from visual ungroundedness: they can produce a fluent, confident, and even correct response driven entirely by language priors, with the image contributing nothing to the prediction. Existing confidence estimation methods cannot detect this, as they observe model behavior under normal inference with no mechanism to determine whether a prediction was shaped by the image or by text alone. We introduce BICR (Blind-Image Contrastive Ranking), a model-agnostic confidence estimation framework that makes this contrast explicit during training by extracting hidden states from a frozen LVLM twice: once with the real image-question pair, and once with the image blacked out while the question is held fixed. A lightweight probe is trained on the real-image hidden state and regularized by a ranking loss that penalizes higher confidence on the blacked-out view, teaching it to treat visual grounding as a signal of reliability at zero additional inference cost. Evaluated across five modern LVLMs and seven baselines on a benchmark covering visual question answering, object hallucination detection, medical imaging, and financial document understanding, BICR achieves the best cross-LVLM average on both calibration and discrimination simultaneously, with statistically significant discrimination gains robust to cluster-aware analysis at 4-18x fewer parameters than the strongest probing baseline.
A Cascaded Generative Approach for e-Commerce Recommendations
arXiv:2605.11118v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Personalized storefronts in large e-commerce marketplaces are often assembled from many independent components: static themes per page section ("placement"), retrieval systems to fetch eligible products per placement, and pointwise rankers to order content. While effective in optimizing for aggregate preferences, this paradigm is rigid and can limit personalization and semantic cohesion across the page. This makes it poorly suited to support dynamic objectives and merchandising requirements over time. To address this, we introduce a cascaded merchandising framework that decomposes storefront construction into two generative tasks: (i) placement-level theme generation and (ii) constrained keyword generation per placement to power product retrieval. Teacher-student fine-tuning is leveraged to improve scalability of this framework under production latency and cost constraints. Fine-tuned model ablations are shown to approach closed-weight LLM performance. We further contribute frameworks for AI-driven content evaluation and quality filtering, enabling safe and automated deployment of dynamic content at scale. Generative output is fused with traditional ranking models to preserve hybrid infrastructure. In online experiments, this framework yields an estimated +2.7% lift in cart adds per page view over a strong baseline.
Granite Embedding Multilingual R2 Models
arXiv:2605.13521v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce the multilingual Granite Embedding R2 models, a family of encoder-based embedding models for enterprise-scale dense retrieval across 200+ languages. Extending our English-focused R2 release, these models add enhanced support for 52 languages and programming code, a 32,768-token context window (a 64x expansion over R1), and state-of-the-art overall performance across multilingual and cross-lingual text search, code retrieval, long-document search, and reasoning retrieval datasets. The release consists of two bi-encoder models based on the ModernBERT architecture with an expanded multilingual vocabulary: a 311M-parameter full-size, and a 97M-parameter compact model built via model pruning and vocabulary selection that achieves the highest retrieval score of any open multilingual embedding model under 100M parameters. The full-size also supports Matryoshka Representation Learning for flexible embedding dimensionality. Both models are trained on enterprise-appropriate data with governance oversight, and released under the Apache 2.0 license at https://huggingface.co/collections/ibm-granite, designed to support responsible use and enable unrestricted research and enterprise adoption.
SimPersona: Learning Discrete Buyer Personas from Raw Clickstreams for Grounded E-Commerce Agents
arXiv:2605.14205v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: LLM-based web agents can navigate live storefronts, yet they often collapse to a single "average buyer" policy, failing to capture the heterogeneous and distributional nature of real buyer populations. Existing personalization methods rely on hand-crafted prompt-based personas that are brittle, difficult to scale, context-inefficient, and unable to faithfully represent population-level behavior. We introduce SimPersona, a novel framework that learns discrete buyer types from historical traffic and exposes them to LLM-based web agents as compact persona tokens. Given raw clickstreams, a behavior-aware VQ-VAE induces a discrete buyer-type space that captures the statistical structure of real buyer behavior and merchant-specific buyer population distributions. To provide behavior-specific guidance to LLM-based web agents, SimPersona maps each learned buyer type to a dedicated persona token in the LLM agent vocabulary and fine-tunes the agent with these tokens on real browsing traces. At inference, each synthetic buyer is assigned to a learned buyer type with a single encoder forward pass, requiring no retraining or store-specific prompt engineering. For population-level simulation, SimPersona samples buyer types from each merchant's empirical distribution over the learned VQ-VAE codebook and instantiates agents with the corresponding persona tokens, preserving merchant-specific buyer population distributions. Evaluated on $8.37$M buyers across $42$ held-out live storefronts, SimPersona achieves $78\%$ conversion-rate alignment with real buyers, exhibits interpretable behavioral variation across buyer types, and outperforms a baseline with $8\times$ more parameters on goal-oriented shopping tasks. We further release an open-source data pipeline that converts raw e-commerce event logs into buyer representations and agent-training traces.
LLM-based Detection of Manipulative Political Narratives
arXiv:2605.14354v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a new computational framework for detecting and structuring manipulative political narratives. A task that became more important due to the shift of political discussions to social media. One of the primary challenges thereby is differentiating between manipulative political narratives and legitimate critiques. Some posts may also reframe actual events within a manipulative context. To achieve good clustering results, we filter manipulative posts beforehand using a detailed few-shot prompt that combines documented campaign narratives with legitimate criticisms to differentiate them. This prompt enables a reasoning model to assign labels, retaining only manipulative narrative posts for further processing. The remaining posts are subsequently embedded and dimensionality-reduced using UMAP, before HDBSCAN is applied to uncover narrative groups. A key advantage of this unsupervised approach is its independence from a predefined list of target categories, enabling it to uncover new narrative clusters. Finally, a reasoning model is employed to uncover the narrative behind each cluster. This approach, applied to over 1.2 million social media posts, effectively identified 41 distinct manipulative narrative clusters by integrating prompt-based filtering with unsupervised clustering.
Pessimistic Risk-Aware Policy Learning in Contextual Bandits
arXiv:2605.15620v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study risk-aware offline policy learning, aiming to learn a decision rule from logged data that is optimal under general risk criteria. This problem is crucial in high-stakes domains where online interaction is infeasible and adverse outcomes must be carefully controlled. However, existing literature on offline contextual bandits either centers on expected-reward criteria or restricts risk considerations to policy evaluation instead of optimization. In this work, we propose a unified distributional framework for optimizing Lipschitz-continuous risk functionals, a broad class of risk measures encompassing mean-variance, entropic risk, and conditional value-at-risk, among others. By developing novel empirical concentration inequalities for importance sampling-based distributional estimators, our analysis derives data-dependent suboptimality bounds with an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(1/\sqrt{n})$ rate, without relying on restrictive uniform overlap assumptions. This rate is minimax optimal and matches that of risk-neutral offline policy optimization, indicating that optimizing general Lipschitz risk criteria incurs no additional statistical cost relative to the expected-reward.
LUIVITON: Learned Universal Interoperable VIrtual Try-ON
arXiv:2509.05030v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: To enable large-scale reuse of real-world 3D assets, where garments and characters rarely share skeletons, templates, or dense correspondences, we present a fully automated virtual try-on system that dresses complex, multi-layer garments onto diverse, arbitrarily posed humanoids. Our key idea is to use SMPL as an intermediate proxy and decompose clothing-to-body transfer into two correspondence tasks with distinct challenges: (1) clothing-to-SMPL (partial-to-complete alignment) and (2) body-to-SMPL (large pose/shape variation and stylization). We address clothing-to-SMPL using a geometry-driven correspondence model, and introduce a diffusion-based body-to-SMPL correspondence approach that leverages multi-view consistent appearance features together with a pretrained 2D foundation model. Using these correspondences, we register SMPL/SMPL+D (Displacement) to the garment and target body and then perform simulator-driven fitting by transferring the garment along a smooth SMPL-to-SMPL+D transition, producing physically plausible draping on the target. Our system handles complex garment topology (including non-manifold meshes) and generalizes to a wide range of humanoid characters (e.g., humans, robots, cartoons, and creatures) while remaining computationally practical. Upon draping, our system also supports fast customization of clothing size. We show that our system can produce high-quality 3D clothing fittings without any human labor, even when 2D clothing sewing patterns are not available. Our project page is: https://cao-cong0.github.io/LUIVITON-Learned-Universal-Interoperable-VIrtual-Try-ON/.
CUBE: Contrastive Understanding by Balanced Experiments
arXiv:2509.10825v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Explaining a trained model requires a clear account of how explanatory evidence is generated. We propose CUBE, a post-hoc explanation framework that brings factorial experimental design to black-box model analysis. CUBE evaluates a trained predictor on balanced low--high probe combinations and summarizes the responses as factorial effects. Main effects and pairwise interactions are interpreted as controlled contrasts on a specified explanation region. Complete factorial probes identify these effects exactly on the selected design space, while fractional probes reduce query cost and expose aliasing and resolution constraints. Experiments on synthetic and real tabular tasks show that CUBE recovers dominant learned effect structure and clarifies the identifiability limits of query-efficient explanations.
Falkor-IRAC: Graph-Constrained Generation for Verified Legal Reasoning in Indian Judicial AI
arXiv:2605.14665v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Legal reasoning is not semantic similarity search. A court judgment encodes constrained symbolic reasoning: precedent propagation, procedural state transitions, and statute-bound inference. These are properties that vector-based retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) cannot faithfully represent. Hallucinated precedents, outdated statute citations, and unsupported reasoning chains remain persistent failure modes in LLM-based legal AI, with real consequences for access to justice in high-caseload jurisdictions such as India. This paper presents Falkor-IRAC, a graph-constrained generation framework for Indian legal AI that grounds generation in structured reasoning over an IRAC (Issue, Rule, Analysis, Conclusion) knowledge graph. Judgments from the Supreme Court and High Courts of India are ingested as IRAC node structures enriched with procedural state transitions, precedent relationships, and statutory references, stored in FalkorDB for low-latency agentic traversal. At inference time, LLM-generated answers are accepted only if a valid supporting path can be traced through the graph, a check performed by a falsifiability oracle called the Verifier Agent. The system also detects doctrinal conflicts as a first-class output rather than silently resolving them. Falkor-IRAC is evaluated using graph-native metrics: citation grounding accuracy, path validity rate, hallucinated precedent rate, and conflict detection rate. These metrics are argued to be more appropriate for legal reasoning evaluation than BLEU and ROUGE. On a proof-of-concept corpus of 51 Supreme Court judgments, the Verifier Agent correctly validated citations on completed queries and correctly rejected fabricated citations. Evaluation against vector-only RAG baselines is left for future work. The companion InIRAC dataset, 500+ structured Indian court judgments with IRAC annotations, is released alongside this paper.
Performance-Driven Policy Optimization for Speculative Decoding with Adaptive Windowing
arXiv:2605.14978v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Speculative decoding accelerates LLM inference by having a lightweight draft model propose speculative windows of candidate tokens for parallel verification by a larger target model. In practice, speculative efficiency is often bottlenecked by hard-to-draft positions, where an early mismatch truncates the accepted prefix and invalidates the rest of the speculative window. Most learning-based drafters are still optimized with token-level supervised objectives, even though speculative utility is inherently window-level and prefix-sensitive. We propose PPOW (Performance-Driven Policy Optimization with Adaptive Windowing), a reinforcement learning framework that shifts drafter optimization from token-level imitation to window-level optimization. PPOW combines a Cost-Aware Speedup Reward, a Distribution-Based Proximity Reward, and Adaptive Divergence-Aware Windowing, which prioritizes informative windows with high confidence-weighted draft-target divergence. PPOW achieves average acceptance lengths of 6.29-6.52 and speedups of 3.39-4.36$\times$ across multiple model families and benchmarks under a unified decoding protocol. These results show that performance-driven window-level optimization is a practical approach to improving speculative decoding efficiency.
3D Skew-Normal Splatting
arXiv:2605.15010v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: 3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) has emerged as a leading representation for real-time novel view synthesis and has been widely adopted in various downstream applications. The core strength of 3DGS lies in its efficient kernel-based scene representation, where Gaussian primitives provide favorable mathematical and computational properties. However, under a finite primitive budget, the symmetric shape of each primitive directly affects representation compactness, especially near asymmetric structures such as object boundaries and one-sided surfaces. Recent works have explored more complex kernel distributions; however, they either remain within the elliptical family or rely on hard truncation, which limits continuous shape control and introduces distributional discontinuities. In this paper, we propose Skew-Normal Splatting (SNS), which adopts the Azzalini Skew-Normal distribution as the fundamental primitive. By introducing a learnable and bounded skewness parameter, SNS can continuously interpolate between symmetric Gaussians and Half-Gaussian-like shapes, enabling flexible modeling of both sharp boundaries and interior regions. Moreover, SNS preserves analytical tractability under affine transformations and marginalization. This property allows seamless integration into existing Gaussian Splatting rasterization pipelines. Furthermore, to address the strong coupling between scale, rotation, and skewness parameters, we introduce a decoupled parameterization and a block-wise optimization strategy to enhance training stability and accuracy. Extensive experiments on standard novel-view synthesis benchmarks show that SNS consistently improves reconstruction quality over Gaussian and recent non-Gaussian kernels, with clearer benefits on sharp boundaries and thin or one-sided structures.
Toward LLMs Beyond English-Centric Development
arXiv:2605.15613v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Through an analysis of sequences generated by open-weight large language models (LLMs), we demonstrate that LLMs are heavily biased toward English. While continual pre-training is commonly used to adapt LLMs to a target language, we show that it does not offer a cost advantage over training from scratch, even for improving cultural understanding in the target language. These findings suggest that dedicated per-language investment may become increasingly important for future LLM development, rather than relying primarily on the expansion of English-centric resources.
Proposal-Guided Greedy Surrogate Refinement for PDE-Driven High-Dimensional Rare-Event Estimation
arXiv:2605.15356v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate surrogate construction for PDE-driven high-dimensional rare-event simulation is challenging when performance evaluations are expensive. Since a globally accurate surrogate may require many high-fidelity evaluations, adaptive importance sampling provides a natural localization tool: its evolving proposal distribution progressively identifies the failure-relevant region. Motivated by this observation, we propose a surrogate-assisted adaptive importance sampling framework that refines the surrogate locally along the evolving proposal, rather than over the entire input space. The surrogate combines an encoder with a neural network, providing a low-dimensional latent representation for both prediction and sample selection. At each adaptive iteration, candidates drawn from the current proposal are selected by a greedy latent-space rule balancing proximity to the estimated failure boundary and sample diversity. The selected samples are evaluated by the high-fidelity model and used to refine the surrogate, which then guides the subsequent cross-entropy-type adaptive proposal update. We establish one-step proposal stability bounds under local surrogate errors, together with surrogate-induced misclassification and finite-sample estimation error bounds. Numerical experiments on multimodal benchmarks and PDE-driven rare-event problems up to 100 dimensions show that the proposed method achieves accuracy comparable to true-model adaptive importance sampling while requiring substantially fewer high-fidelity evaluations.
Toward a unified data-driven turbulence model through multi-objective learning
arXiv:2509.17189v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Turbulence remains one of the last unresolved problems of classical physics and a major bottleneck to accurate flow prediction in climate, aerospace, and energy systems. Industrial simulations therefore rely on averaged representations of turbulence, which often struggle to predict flows governed by multiple interacting mechanisms. We present a unified, data-driven turbulence modeling framework designed to learn robustly from sparse, indirect observations across diverse flow regimes. The framework embeds physical consistency into a flexible, frame-invariant closure, automatically selects representative training cases based on similarity of flow-feature distributions, and learns a single, unified model through a multi-objective ensemble strategy that balances competing objectives across flows and quantities of interest. The resulting unified foundation model adapts seamlessly across regimes without manual intervention. It outperforms existing turbulence models across a broad spectrum of canonical flows and maintains improved performance in complex three-dimensional configurations of industrial relevance, including a gas turbine diffuser, a generic car, and a generic aircraft. When application-specific accuracy is required, the framework further enables specialist models through additive fine-tuning on targeted flow datasets. The results demonstrate the feasibility of a deployable and generalized turbulence modeling approach that unifies multiple flow mechanisms within a single architecture for a broad range of natural and industrial flows.
Estimated Dynamic Equilibrium Model: Supply and Demand as a Sample Path of a Stochastic Process
arXiv:2605.15472v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce the Estimated Dynamic Equilibrium Model (EDEM), an agent-based framework that treats supply and demand as a coupled stochastic process driven by heterogeneous, noisy agent valuations. The model's primary technical contribution is the identification of a generative mechanism for persistent disequilibrium: when market-clearing prices are sequentially sampled from the upper tail of noisy bid distributions and recycled as inputs for future valuations, expected prices drift upward despite strictly zero-mean estimation errors. We derive this order-statistic bias in closed form for i.i.d. uniform bids and use simulations to show that compounding this bias across epochs yields exponential price growth without requiring assumptions of investor optimism or irrationality. This framework extends Miller's divergence-of-opinion theory to a dynamic setting, recovering Walrasian equilibrium and Miller's static premium as limiting cases. Through controlled experiments and sensitivity analysis on a simulated real-estate neighborhood, we identify six distinct regimes-ranging from band-stability to runaway bubbles-emerging from a single agent ruleset. These results offer a potential explanation for the contradictory findings in the empirical divergence-of-opinion literature and suggest that machine-learning valuation algorithms may inadvertently amplify this inherent statistical bias.
Bounce or coalescence : a physical learning frame
arXiv:2605.15844v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this study, we develop an interface-contact simulation framework based on physical criteria and machine-learning-assisted classification to describe coalescence and bouncing within a unified formulation. The framework realizes interfacial coalescence and bouncing through the fusion and generation of multiple volume-of-fluid fields. When adjacent interfaces are predicted to coalesce, multiple VOF fields are collapsed into a single VoF field. When approaching interfaces are predicted to bounce, a single VOF field is regenerated into multiple VOF fields, allowing the interfaces to continue evolving independently. With this treatment, the difficulties associated with topological transition, regime-map identification, increasing computational demand, and stochastic behavior during interfacial approach are separated from the interface-tracking procedure. These decisions are instead assigned to a physics-guided machine-learning model with strong adaptability. This strategy avoids the direct resolution of an ultrathin gas film and reduces the dependence on empirical molecular-force parameters. Simulations of droplet--droplet collisions show that the proposed framework can reproduce both coalescence and bouncing over different impact conditions. By further introducing a drainage-time criterion, the framework is extended to the simulation of droplet impact on a liquid surface. For this problem, the numerical results agree well with both previous experimental observations and the present experiments. Moreover, the framework captures the complete sequence of bouncing followed by subsequent coalescence within a single simulation, These results demonstrate that the proposed framework has strong adaptability for interfacial contact problems and provides a unified modeling route for droplet coalescence, bouncing.