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Peer-reviewade publikationer — 62343 artiklar

Hestia: Voxel-Face-Aware Hierarchical Next-Best-View Acquisition for Efficient 3D Reconstruction
arXiv:2508.01014v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Advances in 3D reconstruction and novel view synthesis have enabled efficient and photorealistic rendering. However, images for reconstruction are still either largely manual or constrained by simple preplanned trajectories. To address this issue, recent works propose generalizable next-best-view planners that do not require online learning. Nevertheless, robustness and performance remain limited across various shapes. Hence, this study introduces Voxel-Face-Aware Hierarchical Next-Best-View Acquisition for Efficient 3D Reconstruction (Hestia), which addresses the shortcomings of the reinforcement learning-based generalizable approaches for five-degree-of-freedom viewpoint prediction. Hestia systematically improves the planners through four components: a more diverse dataset to promote robustness, a hierarchical structure to manage the high-dimensional continuous action search space, a close-greedy strategy to mitigate spurious correlations, and a face-aware design to avoid overlooking geometry. Experimental results show that Hestia achieves non-marginal improvements, with at least a 4% gain in coverage ratio, while reducing Chamfer Distance by 50% and maintaining real-time inference. In addition, Hestia outperforms prior methods by at least 12% in coverage ratio with a 5-image budget and remains robust to object placement variations. Finally, we demonstrate that Hestia, as a next-best-view planner, is feasible for the real-world application. Our project page is https://johnnylu305.github.io/hestia web.
Latent Video Prediction Learns Better World Models
arXiv:2605.15618v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Self-supervised video models are increasingly framed as world models, yet their evaluation remains largely confined to a single top-1 accuracy score on clean benchmarks. This leaves a major gap in comprehending their potential as world models. We present the first systematic study addressing this gap, analyzing four matched-capacity frontier video foundation models, V-JEPA 2.1, V-JEPA 2, VideoPrism, and VideoMAEv2, across five robustness axes relevant to their deployment as video world models: feature discriminability, corruption robustness, fine-grained discrimination, occlusion robustness, and sensitivity to temporal direction. Our evaluations establish that across all five axes, latent-prediction models form a distinct and consistent profile. They degrade more gracefully under pixel corruption, preserve usable class structure rather than mere geometric stability under occlusion, capture fine-grained physical contact cues without reconstructing pixels, and uniquely encode the arrow of time. These advantages can even survive task adaptation: a frozen V-JEPA 2 backbone with a lightweight attentive probe outperforms a fully fine-tuned VideoMAE and a supervised TimeSformer on corruption and occlusion robustness. Our extensive results offer concrete new evidence in favor of latent prediction for robust world modeling.
Learning in Structured Stackelberg Games
arXiv:2504.09006v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We initiate the study of structured Stackelberg games, a novel form of strategic interaction between a leader and a follower where contextual information can be predictive of the follower's (unknown) type. Motivated by applications such as security games and AI safety, we show how this additional structure can help the leader learn a utility-maximizing policy in both the online and distributional settings. In the online setting, we first prove that standard learning-theoretic measures of complexity do not characterize the difficulty of the leader's learning task. Notably, we find that there exists a learning-theoretic measure of complexity, analogous to the Littlestone dimension in online classification, that tightly characterizes the leader's instance-optimal regret. We term this the Stackelberg-Littlestone dimension, and leverage it to provide a provably optimal online learning algorithm. In the distributional setting, we provide analogous results by showing that two new dimensions control the sample complexity upper- and lower-bound.
Always Learning, Always Mixing: Efficient and Simple Data Mixing All The Time
arXiv:2605.15220v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Data mixing decides how to combine different sources or types of data and is a consequential problem throughout language model training. In pretraining, data composition is a key determinant of model quality; in continual learning and adaptation, it governs what is retained and acquired. Yet existing data mixing methods address only one phase of this lifecycle at a time: some require smaller proxy models tied to a single training phase, others assume a fixed domain set, and continual learning lacks principled guidance altogether. We argue that data mixing is fundamentally an online decision making problem -- one that recurs throughout training and demands a single, unified solution. We introduce OP-Mix (On-Policy Mix), a data mixing algorithm that operates across the entire language model training lifecycle. Our main insight is that candidate data mixtures can be cheaply simulated by interpolating between low-rank adapters trained directly on the current model, eliminating separate proxy models and ensuring the search is always grounded in the model's actual learning dynamics. Across pretraining, continual midtraining, and continual instruction tuning, OP-Mix consistently finds near-optimal mixtures while using a fraction of the compute of the baselines. In pretraining, OP-Mix improves upon training without mixing by 6.3% in average perplexity. For continual learning, OP-Mix matches the performance of both retraining and on-policy distillation while using 66% and 95% less overall compute, respectively. OP-Mix suggests a different view of language model training: not a sequence of distinct phases, but a single continuous process of learning from data.
Effective Harness Engineering for Algorithm Discovery with Coding Agents
arXiv:2605.15221v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AlphaEvolve and FunSearch have demonstrated the potential of combining large language models (LLMs) with evolutionary search for automated algorithm discovery. However, discovery success is shaped not only by model capability but also significantly by the design of the execution infrastructure, i.e., the harness. This paper investigates effective harness design through three questions: under a fixed token budget, is it better to produce many algorithms with brief thought or fewer algorithms with deeper thought? How should the harness handle evaluation hacks, where generated programs exploit the scoring function? And how can agents that require full filesystem access execute safely in parallel? Using Vesper, an algorithm discovery framework that incorporates harness improvements addressing these questions, we evaluate on Circle Packing under the same token budget. Interestingly, generating fewer algorithms while thinking more deeply about each one achieved higher scores. That is, scaling the quality of each individual is more budget-efficient than scaling the number of evolutionary generations. Surprisingly, more capable models produced evaluation hacks at higher rates, making hack detection increasingly necessary as models scale.
A numerical study into neural network surrogate model performance for uncertainty propagation
arXiv:2605.16078v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Neural network surrogate models have emerged as a promising approach to model solution fields for a wide variety of boundary value problems encountered in physical modeling. Stochastic problems represent an area of particularly high interest because of the potential to significantly reduce the repeated evaluation of expensive forward models via traditional numerical solvers when conducting parametric analysis. However, many studies found in the literature primarily focus on the ability of neural network surrogate models to represent deterministic samples or mean field solutions and largely overlook surrogate model performance at the tails of the distribution. The present study examines in detail the ability of neural network surrogate models to capture the full distribution of solution fields over the entire probability space, while emphasis is placed at the tails of the distribution. Serving as a canonical problem is the heat conduction equation with a highly stochastic source term, inducing extremely large variation in the thermal solution field. Comparisons are made between a classic feed-forward fully connected network and a Deep Operator Network architecture, using both data-driven and physics-informed loss functions. Results show that the worst-case prediction errors are an order of magnitude larger than the mean field error, highlighting the importance of the outlier samples. The large errors associated with extreme samples result from the networks having to extrapolate beyond the bounds of the training data. A method for identifying these samples is presented along with a discussion of potential approaches to account of their errors. Among the models considered, the fully connected neural network trained using a weak form residual loss performs best in handling these extrapolated inputs, achieving the highest prediction accuracy for the numerically produced datasets.
Video Quality Evaluation Methodology and Result of AV2 Compression Performance
arXiv:2605.15800v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The Alliance for Open Media (AOMedia) has developed the AV2 video coding standard to supersede AV1, aiming for substantial compression efficiency gains across diverse media applications. This paper details the quality and performance evaluation methodology defined in the AV2 Common Test Conditions (CTC), which introduces new evaluation methods and content, including convex-hull-based adaptive streaming (AS) configuration, user-generated content (UGC), and extended chroma formats. We present the coding gains of the AV2 (v13.0) against the AV1 baseline. Experimental results show that AV2 achieves significant Bj{\o}ntegaard-Delta Rate (BD-rate) reductions of 29.81\% and 33.79\% for PSNR-YUV and VMAF, respectively, under random access configuration, validating the efficiency of AV2 for next-generation streaming applications.
Quantum compressed sensing
arXiv:2605.15784v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: How many measurements are fundamentally required to capture a signal. Shannon's information theory established the bedrock of this question in 1948, the Nyquist Shannon theorem set the first answer, and compressed sensing (CS) rewrote it in 2006 by reducing the required measurement number to M = O(Klog(N/K)) for a K sparse signal. Here, we propose quantum compressed sensing (QCS), a paradigm that reframes signal acquisition as a unitary quantum evolution. By encoding high dimensional signal information into a single quantum probe state, then introducing domain-alignment evolution,a physically realizable unitary transformation that maps the sparse basis directly onto the measurement basis. QCS executes the support-set search at the quantum level without consuming measurement trials. The logarithmic penalty vanishes, compressing the required measurement number from the classical bound to M =O(K) and reducing reconstruction from ill posed optimization to linear estimation. We experimentally validate QCS using frequency and time domain sparse signals, confirming that the measurement number scales linearly with sparsity and decouples entirely from the signal dimension. Our work provides a physical pathway toward ultimate information acquisition efficiency, with broad implications for sensing, imaging, and communication.
DualReg: Dual-Space Filtering and Reinforcement for Rigid Registration
arXiv:2508.17034v2 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Noisy, partially overlapping data and the need for real-time processing pose major challenges for rigid registration. Considering that feature-based matching can handle large transformation differences but suffers from limited accuracy, while local geometry-based matching can achieve fine-grained local alignment but relies heavily on a good initial transformation, we propose a novel dual-space paradigm to fully leverage the strengths of both approaches. First, we introduce an efficient filtering mechanism consisting of a computationally lightweight one-point RANSAC algorithm and a subsequent refinement module to eliminate unreliable feature-based correspondences. Subsequently, we treat the filtered correspondences as anchor points, extract geometric proxies, and formulate an effective objective function with a tailored solver to estimate the transformation. Experiments verify our method's effectiveness, as demonstrated by a 32x CPU-time speedup over MAC on KITTI with comparable accuracy. Project page: https://ustc3dv.github.io/DualReg/.
Bayesian Sequential Verification for Budget-Aware Quantum Program Testing
arXiv:2605.15601v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Quantum programs often produce probability distributions rather than deterministic outputs, making verification inherently statistical and increasingly costly on real hardware. In practice, developers still frequently rely on testing with fixed shot budgets on simulators, which are simple but time-consuming and poorly suited to noisy backends. What is missing is a verification approach that is both statistically explicit and budget-aware. This paper formulates Bayesian sequential verification as a reference-based Bayesian hypothesis testing workflow in which priors are derived from explicit reference sources, such as finite-shot reference runs or ideal/statevector-based computation, and verification decisions are updated batch by batch as measurement evidence accumulates. This approach is evaluated in Qiskit on two complementary workloads: Bell-state and QAOA-MaxCut. Across both case studies, the results show that Bayesian sequential verification can substantially reduce measurement costs compared to fixed-budget baselines when the success probability of the program exceeds the target threshold. The findings position Bayesian sequential verification as a practical verification workflow for quantum programs. The approach provides a foundation for future quantum continuous-integration pipelines that require reliable, budget-aware pass/fail decisions and motivates validation on real quantum hardware.
Evaluation of Anatomical Shape Priors in Deep Learning-Based Cardiac Multi-Compartment Segmentation
arXiv:2605.15707v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Whole-heart multi-compartment CT segmentation is clinically important, but standard CNNs do not explicitly enforce anatomical plausibility. Based on statistics derived from the training data, we evaluate whether lightweight explicit shape priors, implemented as shape-aware losses and spatial label distribution heatmap-guided U-Net variants, improve 3D cardiac segmentation on MM-WHS CT and WHS++. Across all experiments, a standard 3D U-Net surprisingly remained a very strong baseline, with handcrafted priors yielding at best marginal and inconsistent changes and often degrading performance. These results suggest that the baseline already captures substantial implicit anatomical regularities and that future gains will likely require more expressive learned priors rather than simple handcrafted anatomical shape constraints.
Highly Detailed and Generalizable Broadleaf Tree Crown Instance Segmentation from UAV Imagery
arXiv:2605.15673v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a highly detailed instance segmentation model for delineating individual tree crowns in natural broadleaf forests using aerial imagery acquired by unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). Tree crown delineation in broadleaf forests is more challenging than in other forest types due to diversity of crown shapes and the lack of clearly defined treetops. To address this issue, we developed a deep-learning-based crown segmentation model trained on high-quality annotated crown outlines. We manually delineated 18,507 crown polygons from orthomosaic images collected across seven forests in Japan by skilled annotators, and developed a model based on Mask2Former with multiple backbone architectures. The best model achieved high segmentation performance in structurally complex broadleaf forests using only RGB imagery. This performance was maintained when applied to geographically distinct forests within Japan, as well as to biologically distinct tropical rainforests in Borneo. These results demonstrate that using a large number of high-quality annotated datasets is critical for achieving detailed and generalizable crown segmentation across diverse forest ecosystems. The developed model has been integrated into DF Scanner Pro, a software that supports practical forest monitoring using UAVs, and this implementation is expected to enable a wide range of users to analyze tree-level information in broadleaf forest from UAVs.
AGC: Adaptive Geodesic Correction for Adversarial Robustness on Vision-Language Models
arXiv:2605.15584v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vision-language models like CLIP have demonstrated remarkable zero-shot transfer capabilities. However, their susceptibility to imperceptible adversarial perturbations remains a critical security concern. While test-time defenses offer a pragmatic solution for deployed models, existing approaches typically rely on gradient-based optimization during inference, incurring significant computational overhead. In this paper, we revisit the role of data augmentation in CLIP robustness and observe that augmentations are not equally effective: specific augmentations consistently provide robust geometric cues that align with correct class semantics in the hyperspherical feature space. Based on this, we propose Adaptive Geodesic Correction (AGC), a training-free defense mechanism that requires no parameter updates. AGC identifies a reliable augmentation as a geometric anchor and corrects the input feature towards it, utilizing an adaptive step size to balance robustness against clean accuracy preservation. AGC achieves superior performance across eight fine-grained datasets and three CLIP backbones, improving average robust accuracy by 44.4\% over state-of-the-art baseline while delivering a 10$\times$ reduction in inference latency. Our findings reveal a fundamental geometric property of CLIP features, offering a highly efficient and effective paradigm for robust multimodal deployment.
Pessimistic Risk-Aware Policy Learning in Contextual Bandits
arXiv:2605.15620v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study risk-aware offline policy learning, aiming to learn a decision rule from logged data that is optimal under general risk criteria. This problem is crucial in high-stakes domains where online interaction is infeasible and adverse outcomes must be carefully controlled. However, existing literature on offline contextual bandits either centers on expected-reward criteria or restricts risk considerations to policy evaluation instead of optimization. In this work, we propose a unified distributional framework for optimizing Lipschitz-continuous risk functionals, a broad class of risk measures encompassing mean-variance, entropic risk, and conditional value-at-risk, among others. By developing novel empirical concentration inequalities for importance sampling-based distributional estimators, our analysis derives data-dependent suboptimality bounds with an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(1/\sqrt{n})$ rate, without relying on restrictive uniform overlap assumptions. This rate is minimax optimal and matches that of risk-neutral offline policy optimization, indicating that optimizing general Lipschitz risk criteria incurs no additional statistical cost relative to the expected-reward.
LUIVITON: Learned Universal Interoperable VIrtual Try-ON
arXiv:2509.05030v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: To enable large-scale reuse of real-world 3D assets, where garments and characters rarely share skeletons, templates, or dense correspondences, we present a fully automated virtual try-on system that dresses complex, multi-layer garments onto diverse, arbitrarily posed humanoids. Our key idea is to use SMPL as an intermediate proxy and decompose clothing-to-body transfer into two correspondence tasks with distinct challenges: (1) clothing-to-SMPL (partial-to-complete alignment) and (2) body-to-SMPL (large pose/shape variation and stylization). We address clothing-to-SMPL using a geometry-driven correspondence model, and introduce a diffusion-based body-to-SMPL correspondence approach that leverages multi-view consistent appearance features together with a pretrained 2D foundation model. Using these correspondences, we register SMPL/SMPL+D (Displacement) to the garment and target body and then perform simulator-driven fitting by transferring the garment along a smooth SMPL-to-SMPL+D transition, producing physically plausible draping on the target. Our system handles complex garment topology (including non-manifold meshes) and generalizes to a wide range of humanoid characters (e.g., humans, robots, cartoons, and creatures) while remaining computationally practical. Upon draping, our system also supports fast customization of clothing size. We show that our system can produce high-quality 3D clothing fittings without any human labor, even when 2D clothing sewing patterns are not available. Our project page is: https://cao-cong0.github.io/LUIVITON-Learned-Universal-Interoperable-VIrtual-Try-ON/.
CUBE: Contrastive Understanding by Balanced Experiments
arXiv:2509.10825v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Explaining a trained model requires a clear account of how explanatory evidence is generated. We propose CUBE, a post-hoc explanation framework that brings factorial experimental design to black-box model analysis. CUBE evaluates a trained predictor on balanced low--high probe combinations and summarizes the responses as factorial effects. Main effects and pairwise interactions are interpreted as controlled contrasts on a specified explanation region. Complete factorial probes identify these effects exactly on the selected design space, while fractional probes reduce query cost and expose aliasing and resolution constraints. Experiments on synthetic and real tabular tasks show that CUBE recovers dominant learned effect structure and clarifies the identifiability limits of query-efficient explanations.
DeepSlide: From Artifacts to Presentation Delivery
arXiv:2605.15202v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Presentations are a primary medium for scholarly communication, yet most AI slide generators optimize the artifact (a visually plausible deck) while under-optimizing the delivery process (pacing, narrative, and presentation preparation). We present DeepSlide, a human-in-the-loop multi-agent system that supports preparing the full presentation process, from requirement elicitation and time-budgeted narrative planning, to evidence-grounded slide--script generation, attention augmentation, and rehearsal support. DeepSlide integrates (i) a controllable logical-chain planner with per-node time budgets, (ii) a lightweight content-tree retriever for grounding, (iii) Markov-style sequential rendering with style inheritance, and (iv) sandboxed execution with minimal repair to ensure renderability. We further introduce a dual-scoreboard benchmark that cleanly separates static artifact quality from dynamic delivery excellence. Across 20 domains and diverse audience profiles, DeepSlide matches strong baselines on artifact quality while consistently achieving larger gains on delivery metrics, improving narrative flow, pacing precision, and slide--script synergy with clearer attention guidance.
Stochastic Mirror Descent under Iterate-Dependent Markov Noise: Analysis in the Asymptotic and Finite Time Regimes
arXiv:2605.15538v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study a stochastic optimization problem in which the sampling distribution depends on the decision variable, and the available samples are generated through an iterate-dependent Markov chain. Such settings arise naturally in problems with decision-dependent uncertainty; however, they introduce bias and temporal dependence, which render standard techniques developed for i.i.d.\ noise inapplicable. In this work, we analyze the stochastic mirror descent algorithm under iterate-dependent Markov noise. We first establish almost sure convergence for both convex and non-convex problems under the mild assumption of Lipschitz continuity of the objective function, without requiring differentiability. We then derive finite-time concentration bounds for smooth objectives. In the convex setting, the resulting sample complexity matches the classical rate of stochastic mirror descent under i.i.d.\ noise. In the non-convex setting, we obtain a sample complexity bound in terms of the norm of the Riemannian gradient over the probability simplex. Overall, our results establish a unified convergence framework for stochastic mirror descent with state-dependent Markov noise, and highlight its behavior in both convex and non-convex regimes.
Additivity Results for the R\'enyi-2 Entanglement of Purification
arXiv:2605.15439v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We reformulate the R\'enyi entanglement of purification as a constrained minimum output R\'enyi entropy problem. Equivalently, for $p>1$, this formulation can be expressed in terms of a constrained maximal output Schatten $p$-norm. More precisely, for a completely positive map $\Omega:L(B')\to L(A)$, we consider the quantity $\upsilon_p(\Omega)$ defined by optimizing $\|(\Omega\otimes \mathrm{id}_E)(\sigma^{B'E})\|_p$ over all bipartite states $\sigma^{B'E}$ whose $B'$-marginal is maximally mixed. We focus on the case $p=2$. First, we compute $\upsilon_2$ for the transpose-depolarizing channel and prove that it is multiplicative under tensor powers. We then establish a general multiplicativity criterion: whenever a completely positive map $N:L(B')\to L(A)$ satisfies $N^{\dagger} \mathbin{\circ} N=a\,\mathrm{id}_A+b\,\mathrm{Tr}[\cdot]\,I_d$ for some constants $a,b\ge 0$, where $N^{\dagger}$ denotes the Hilbert-Schmidt adjoint of $N$, the quantity $\upsilon_2(N)$ is multiplicative under tensor powers. Examples of channels satisfying this criterion include the transpose-depolarizing channel, the depolarizing channel, and their respective complementary channels. Furthermore, we show that, for every completely positive map $\Omega$, multiplicativity of $\upsilon_p(\Omega)$ implies multiplicativity for its complementary map. This yields the corresponding additivity statements for the associated R\'enyi-2 entanglement of purification.
STAR: A Stage-attributed Triage and Repair framework for RCA Agents in Microservices
arXiv:2605.15581v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM-based root cause analysis (RCA) agents have recently emerged as a promising paradigm for incident diagnosis in microservice AIOps. However, their reliability remains fragile: an error in early evidence collection, hypothesis formulation, or causal analysis can propagate through the reasoning trace and eventually corrupt the final diagnosis. In this paper, we present \textbf{STAR}, a \emph{Stage-attributed Triage and Repair} framework for repairing erroneous RCA traces. STAR explicitly decomposes an RCA workflow into four structured stages, namely \emph{Evidence Package} (EP), \emph{Hypothesis Set} (HS), \emph{Analysis Structure} (AS), and \emph{Decision Report} (DR), and treats agent failure as a stage-localizable reasoning bug rather than a monolithic end-to-end error. Built on top of LangGraph, STAR performs stage-wise auditing, budget-aware \emph{Fast/Slow Routing}, \emph{decisive stage localization via counterfactual candidate evaluation}, and stage-specific patch-and-replay repair. We evaluate STAR on a public large-scale benchmark and a real-world production dataset, using two RCA agent workflows and three foundation models. Experimental results show that STAR consistently improves both root cause localization and fault type classification over strong baselines. Moreover, STAR identifies the decisive faulty stage with high accuracy, repairs most initially incorrect traces within one or two replay rounds, and benefits substantially from both Fast/Slow Routing and counterfactual stage evaluation. These results suggest that explicitly modeling \emph{where} an RCA agent fails is an effective path toward reliable, debuggable, and self-repairing agentic RCA systems.
Toward a unified data-driven turbulence model through multi-objective learning
arXiv:2509.17189v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Turbulence remains one of the last unresolved problems of classical physics and a major bottleneck to accurate flow prediction in climate, aerospace, and energy systems. Industrial simulations therefore rely on averaged representations of turbulence, which often struggle to predict flows governed by multiple interacting mechanisms. We present a unified, data-driven turbulence modeling framework designed to learn robustly from sparse, indirect observations across diverse flow regimes. The framework embeds physical consistency into a flexible, frame-invariant closure, automatically selects representative training cases based on similarity of flow-feature distributions, and learns a single, unified model through a multi-objective ensemble strategy that balances competing objectives across flows and quantities of interest. The resulting unified foundation model adapts seamlessly across regimes without manual intervention. It outperforms existing turbulence models across a broad spectrum of canonical flows and maintains improved performance in complex three-dimensional configurations of industrial relevance, including a gas turbine diffuser, a generic car, and a generic aircraft. When application-specific accuracy is required, the framework further enables specialist models through additive fine-tuning on targeted flow datasets. The results demonstrate the feasibility of a deployable and generalized turbulence modeling approach that unifies multiple flow mechanisms within a single architecture for a broad range of natural and industrial flows.
Process-Informed Forecasting of Complex Thermal Dynamics in Pharmaceutical Manufacturing
arXiv:2509.20349v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate time-series forecasting for complex physical systems is the backbone of modern industrial monitoring and control, yet deep learning models often lack the physical consistency required in regulated environments.To bridge this gap, we introduce Process-Informed Forecasting (PIF) models for temperature in pharmaceutical lyophilization, embedding deterministic production recipes as macro-structural priors. We investigate classical methods (e.g., Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model) and modern deep learning architectures, including Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KANs). We compare three different loss function formulations that integrate a process-informed trajectory prior: a fixed-weight loss, a dynamic uncertainty-based loss, and a Residual-Based Attention (RBA) mechanism. We evaluate all models not only for accuracy and physical consistency but also for robustness to sensor noise. Furthermore, we test the practical generalizability of the best model in a transfer-learning scenario to a new process. Our results show that PIF models outperform their data-driven counterparts in terms of accuracy, physical plausibility and noise resilience, offering a scalable framework for reliable and generalizable forecasting solutions in critical manufacturing.
Talking Trees: Reasoning-Assisted Induction of Decision Trees for Tabular Data
arXiv:2509.21465v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Tabular foundation models are becoming increasingly popular for low-resource tabular problems. These models make up for small training datasets by pretraining on large volumes of synthetic data. The prior knowledge obtained via pretraining provides the exceptional performance, but the resulting model becomes a black box that is difficult to interpret and costly for inference. In this work, we explore an alternative strategy: using reasoning-capable LLMs to induce decision trees for small tabular datasets in an agentic setup. We design a minimal set of tools for constructing, analyzing, and manipulating decision trees. Equipped with these tools, the LLM combines its prior knowledge with learning from data to produce a lightweight decision tree that outperforms CART and recent non-greedy tree learners and remains competitive with tree ensembles on low-resource tabular problems. While a single agentic decision tree is competitive with state-of-the-art black box models, it also comes with a human-readable reasoning trace that can be checked for biases and data leaks. Furthermore, the reasoning-based LLM's creation process allows for additional human input to be incorporated into the tree without it being captured in data.
ODRPO: Ordinal Decompositions of Discrete Rewards for Robust Policy Optimization
arXiv:2605.12667v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The alignment of Large Language Models (LLMs) utilizes Reinforcement Learning from AI Feedback (RLAIF) for non-verifiable domains such as long-form question answering and open-ended instruction following. These domains often rely on LLM based auto-raters to provide granular, multi-tier discrete rewards (e.g., 1-10 rubrics) that are inherently stochastic due to prompt sensitivity and sampling randomness. We empirically verify the stochasticity of auto-raters that can propagate and corrupt standard advantage estimators like GRPO and MaxRL, as a noisy reward samples can skew normalization statistics and degrade the global learning signal. Empirically, sampling more rewards and taking majority voting may reduce the noise and improve performance, but this approach is computationally expensive. To address this bottleneck, we introduce $\textbf{O}$rdinal $\textbf{D}$ecomposition for $\textbf{R}$obust $\textbf{P}$olicy $\textbf{O}$ptimization ($\textbf{ODRPO}$), a framework that structurally isolates evaluation noise by decomposing discrete rewards into a sequence of ordinal binary indicators. By independently computing and accumulating advantages across these progressively challenging success thresholds, ODRPO prevents outlier evaluations from corrupting the global update while establishing an implicit, variance-aware learning curriculum. Empirically, ODRPO achieves robust performance on Qwen2.5-7B and Qwen3-4B models, outperforming baselines with relative improvements of upto 14.8% on FACTS-grounding-v2 and 7.5% on Alpaca-Evals. Critically, these gains are achieved with negligible training-time overhead, as ODRPO requires no additional compute per step compared to standard estimators. Supported by theoretical analysis confirming its optimization stability, ODRPO provides a scalable and robust framework for aligning models within the noisy, discrete evaluation landscape of modern RLAIF.
Inductive inference of gradient-boosted decision trees on graphs for insurance fraud detection
arXiv:2510.05676v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Graph-based methods are becoming increasingly popular in machine learning due to their ability to model complex data and relations. Insurance fraud is a prime use case, since fraudulent claims are often the result of organised criminals that stage accidents or the same persons filing erroneous claims on multiple policies. One challenge is that graph-based approaches struggle to find meaningful representations of the data because of the high class imbalance present in fraud data. In addition, insurance graphs are heterogeneous and dynamic, given the changing relations among people, companies and policies. As a result, gradient-boosted tree approaches on tabular data still dominate the field. Therefore, we present a novel inductive graph gradient boosting machine (G-GBM) for supervised learning on heterogeneous and dynamic graphs. G-GBM combines the class-imbalance robustness of gradient boosting with heterogeneous graph information encoded through interpretable path-level feature concatenations, while preserving access to the original tabular feature space. In addition, the explicit representation of neighbourhood information enables transparent SHAP-based explanations at the metapath and feature level. We demonstrate G-GBM for insurance fraud detection on an open-source and a real-world, proprietary dataset, and find that G-GBM performs on par or better than the state-of-the-art. The associated insurance fraud dataset is publicly released to facilitate reproducibility.