arXiv:2601.13111v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Realistic text-to-SQL workflows often require joining multiple tables. As a result, accurately retrieving the relevant set of tables becomes a key bottleneck for end-to-end performance. We study an open-book setting where queries must be answered over large, heterogeneous table collections pooled from many sources, without clean scoping signals such as database identifiers. Here, dense retrieval (DR) achieves high recall but returns many distractors, while join-aware alternatives often rely on extra assumptions and/or incur high inference overhead. We propose CORE-T, a scalable, training-free framework that enriches tables with LLM-generated purpose metadata and pre-computes a lightweight table-compatibility cache. At inference time, DR returns top-K candidates; a single LLM call selects a coherent, joinable subset, and a two-step additive adjustment stage restores strongly compatible tables. Across Bird, Spider, MMQA, and Beaver, CORE-T improves over DR by up to 22.7 points in table-selection F1 while returning up to 40% fewer tables, and by up to 24.4 points in multi-table execution accuracy, and uses 1.64-4.20x fewer total selection tokens than LLM-intensive baselines.
Science Journals
arXiv:2601.18571v3 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: We study classes of graphs with bounded clique-width that are well-quasi-ordered by the induced subgraph relation, in the presence of labels on the vertices. We prove that, given a finite presentation of a class of graphs, one can decide whether the class is labelled-well-quasi-ordered. This answers positively to two conjectures of Pouzet in the restricted case of bounded clique-width classes. Namely, we prove that being labelled-well-quasi-ordered by a set of size 2 or by a well-quasi-ordered infinite set are equivalent conditions, and that in such cases, one can freely assume that the graphs are equipped with a total ordering on their vertices. Finally, we provide a structural characterization of those classes as those that are of bounded clique-width and do not existentially transduce the class of all finite paths.
arXiv:2605.29462v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The emergence of Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) has substantially expanded model capabilities beyond text-only understanding, enabling unified inference across both visual and textual modalities and supporting a broader range of real-world applications. To comprehensively evaluate the perception, understanding, reasoning, and cognition capabilities of LVLMs throughout the entire financial business workflow in Chinese contexts, we introduce CFMME, a novel Chinese financial multimodal evaluation benchmark. CFMME comprises 6,052 instances spanning from fundamental academic knowledge to complex real-world applications, covering eight primary financial image modalities and four core multimodal tasks. On CFMME, we conduct a thorough evaluation of representative LVLMs. The results show that the state-of-the-art model attains an overall accuracy of 66.11\% on the question answering task and an average score of 77.18 on the detection, recognition, and information extraction tasks, indicating substantial room for improvement in current LVLMs. In addition, we conduct detailed analyses of error causes, cross-modal capabilities, and multi-orientation settings, yielding valuable insights for future research. We hope that CFMME will spur further progress in LVLMs, especially by improving their performance on multiple multimodal tasks in the financial domain.
arXiv:2605.30127v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Surface electromyography (sEMG) enables continuous hand pose estimation on wearable devices, but models trained on multi-user corpora degrade on unseen individuals due to inter-user variability in anatomy and electrode placement. We propose REACT, a lightweight conditioning framework that personalizes a frozen pretrained EMG-to-pose backbone at inference time using only a handful of calibration recordings. REACT learns a compact user embedding from calibration data and applies Feature-wise Linear Modulation (FiLM) to adapt the shared encoder's feature space, requiring no gradient updates at deployment. On the large-scale EMG2POSE benchmark, REACT improves over the state-of-the-art baseline across all three generalization splits in both regression and tracking modes, reducing angular error by up to 3.9% with minimal parameter overhead and under 45 seconds of per-user calibration.
arXiv:2605.30131v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Radiology report generation (RRG) is commonly formulated as a single-path generation task, where a multimodal large language model (MLLM) produces one decoded report as the final output. While recent progress has largely been driven by scaling training data, model capacity, and retrieval mechanisms, improving report quality at inference time remains underexplored. In this work, we observe that fixed radiology MLLMs often generate clinically stronger reports elsewhere in their candidate pool than the one selected by default decoding, suggesting that inference-time decision making remains an overlooked bottleneck. To address this, we propose Clinical Consensus Selection (CCS), a decoder-agnostic inference-time selection framework that samples multiple candidate reports and selects the one with the highest clinical consensus across the rollout pool. CCS unifies text-based utilities with a radiology-adapted utility computed by an image--report-trained multimodal embedder, which measures candidate agreement beyond surface-level textual similarity. Across three datasets and multiple radiology MLLMs, CCS consistently improves inference-time performance over single-path decoding and generic Best-of-N baselines, with particularly clear gains on clinical metrics. Further analysis shows that image-grounded utility forms a selection axis distinct from textual consensus and that substantial headroom remains for improving RRG at inference time.
arXiv:2605.30325v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Scaling Diffusion Transformers to generate high-resolution, long videos is constrained by the quadratic cost of self-attention, and existing sparse attention methods degrade under high sparsity. We show empirically that generation quality is determined not by the sparsity ratio itself, but by how well the sparse mask aligns with the tile-wise geometry of full attention. Based on this insight, we propose Veda, a distilled sparse attention framework that formulates tile selection as an explicit reconstruction problem from full attention. Veda integrates statistics-aware tile scoring with head-aware tiling to reduce estimation error and structural mismatch, enabling aggressive sparsity. A hardware-efficient tile-skipping kernel converts theoretical sparsity into practical wall-clock speedups. Experiments on large video diffusion models, including Waver and Wan2.1, demonstrate substantial acceleration with no noticeable degradation in generation quality. To generate 720P 10-second videos on Waver-T2V-12B, Veda achieves a 5.1$\times$ end-to-end speedup and a 10.5$\times$ self-attention speedup, reducing attention overhead from 92% to 50%. Notably, the gains increase with sequence length, indicating that Veda scales favorably with spatiotemporal resolution across models.
arXiv:2603.14315v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: While spectral-based optimizers like Muon operate directly on the spectrum of updates, standard adaptive methods such as AdamW do not account for the spectral structure of weights and gradients, leaving them vulnerable to two empirical issues in large language model (LLM) training: (i) the optimizer updates can have large spectral norms, potentially destabilizing training and degrading generalization; (ii) stochastic gradient noise can exhibit sparse spectral spikes, with a few dominant singular values much larger than the rest. We propose SPECTRA, a general framework addressing these by (i) post-spectral clipping of updates to enforce spectral-norm constraints (ii) optional pre-spectral clipping of gradients to suppress spectral noise spikes. We prove that post-clipping constitutes a Composite Frank-Wolfe method with spectral-norm constraints and weight regularization. We further analyze how pre-clipping mitigates sparse spectral spikes. We propose efficient soft spectral clipping via Newton-Schulz iterations, avoiding expensive SVD. Experiments on LLM pretraining show SPECTRA uniformly improves validation loss for various optimizers, including AdamW, Signum, Mars, and AdEMAMix, with the best-performing variants achieving state-of-the-art results. Models trained with SPECTRA exhibit smaller weight norms, confirming the link between spectral clipping and regularization.
arXiv:2602.08013v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: The rapid adoption of large language models (LLMs) in digital health has been driven by a "scaling-first" philosophy, i.e., the assumption that clinical intelligence increases with model size and data. However, real-world clinical needs include not only effectiveness, but also reliability and reasonable deployment cost. Since clinical decision-making is inherently collaborative, we challenge the monolithic scaling paradigm and ask whether a Small Agent Group (SAG) can support better clinical reasoning. SAG shifts from single-model intelligence to collective expertise by distributing reasoning, evidence-based analysis, and critical audit through a collaborative deliberation process. To assess the clinical utility of SAG, we conduct extensive evaluations using diverse clinical metrics spanning effectiveness, reliability, and deployment cost. Our results show that SAG achieves superior performance compared to a single giant model, both with and without additional optimization or retrieval-augmented generation. These findings suggest that the synergistic reasoning represented by SAG can substitute for model parameter growth in clinical settings. Overall, SAG offers a scalable solution to digital health that better balances effectiveness, reliability, and deployment efficiency.
arXiv:2601.22347v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Recent post-training quantization (PTQ) methods have adopted block rotations to diffuse outliers prior to rounding. While this reduces the overhead of online full-vector rotations, the effect of block structure on outlier suppression remains poorly understood. To fill this gap, we present the first systematic, non-asymptotic analysis of outlier suppression for block Hadamard rotations. Our analysis reveals that outlier suppression is fundamentally limited by the geometry of the input vector. In particular, in the deterministic worst case, post-rotation outliers are minimized when the pre-rotation $\ell_1$ norm mass is evenly distributed across blocks. Guided by these insights, we introduce PeRQ (Permute, Rotate, then Quantize), a PTQ framework that redistributes activation mass via permutations prior to rotation. We propose a greedy mass diffusion algorithm to calibrate permutations by equalizing the expected blockwise $\ell_1$ norms. To avoid adding inference overhead, we identify permutation-equivariant regions in transformer architectures to merge these permutations into model weights before deployment. Experiments show that PeRQ consistently improves accuracy across all block sizes, recovering up to 90% of the full-vector rotation perplexity when quantizing Llama3 1B to INT4 with block size 16, compared to 46% without permutations.
arXiv:2603.17942v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) possess latent multi-token prediction (MTP) abilities despite being trained only for next-token generation. We introduce ESP (Embedding-Space Probing), a simple and training-free MTP method that probes an LLM using on-the-fly mask tokens drawn from its embedding space, enabling parallel future-token prediction without modifying weights or relying on draft models. ESP constructs a speculative token tree by sampling Top-K candidates from mask-token logits and applies a lightweight pruning rule to retain high-probability continuations. During generation, predictions are verified in parallel, yielding lossless decoding while significantly reducing model calls and increasing token throughput. ESP consistently outperforms existing training-free baselines, improving acceptance length by 7-11% over LADE on LLaMA3 and 7-8% on Qwen3, and increasing throughput by up to 15-19% over the strongest baseline. Finally, we provide theoretical insight and empirical evidence showing that decoder layers naturally align mask-token representations with next-token states, enabling accurate multi-step prediction without retraining or auxiliary models.
arXiv:2601.23156v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: We consider the problem of unsupervised skill segmentation and hierarchical structure discovery in reinforcement learning. While recent approaches have sought to segment trajectories into reusable skills or options, most rely on action labels, rewards, or handcrafted annotations, limiting their applicability. We propose a method that segments unlabelled trajectories into skills and induces a hierarchical structure over them using a grammar-based approach. The resulting hierarchy captures both low-level behaviours and their composition into higher-level skills. We evaluate our approach in high-dimensional, pixel-based environments, including Craftax and the full, unmodified version of Minecraft. Using metrics for skill segmentation, reuse, and hierarchy quality, we find that our method consistently produces more structured and semantically meaningful hierarchies than existing baselines. Furthermore, as a proof of concept, we demonstrate that these discovered hierarchies accelerate and stabilise learning on downstream reinforcement learning tasks.
arXiv:2602.07044v4 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Pipeline integrity is critical to industrial safety and environmental protection, with Magnetic Flux Leakage (MFL) detection being a primary non-destructive testing technology. Despite the promise of deep learning for automating MFL interpretation, progress toward reliable models has been constrained by the absence of a large-scale public dataset and benchmark, making fair comparison and reproducible evaluation difficult. We introduce \textbf{PipeMFL-240K}, a large-scale, meticulously annotated dataset and benchmark for complex object detection in pipeline MFL pseudo-color images. PipeMFL-240K reflects real-world inspection complexity and poses several unique challenges: (i) an extremely long-tailed distribution over \textbf{12} categories, (ii) a high prevalence of tiny objects that often comprise only a handful of pixels and (iii) substantial intra-class variability. The dataset contains \textbf{249,320} images and \textbf{200,020} high-quality bounding-box annotations, collected from 12 pipelines spanning approximately \textbf{1,530} km. Extensive experiments are conducted with state-of-the-art object detectors to establish baselines. Results show that modern detectors still struggle with the intrinsic properties of MFL data, highlighting considerable headroom for improvement, while PipeMFL-240K provides a reliable and challenging testbed to drive future research. As the first public dataset and the first benchmark of this scale and scope for pipeline MFL inspection, it provides a critical foundation for efficient pipeline diagnostics as well as maintenance planning and is expected to accelerate algorithmic innovation and reproducible research in MFL-based pipeline integrity assessment.
arXiv:2605.29754v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Electroencephalography (EEG) is a widely used non-invasive technique for measuring brain activity in brain-computer interface (BCI) applications. Supervised EEG decoding models often struggle to generalize across tasks, subjects, and datasets, motivating transformer-based EEG foundation models trained with self-supervised learning. Since transformers are permutation-invariant, they require explicit positional information. Unlike textual tokens, EEG electrodes are spatially distributed across the scalp, raising the question of how electrode positions should be encoded in transformer-based EEG models. In this study, we benchmark five positional encoding strategies within the CBraMod backbone and evaluate them under linear probing and fine-tuning protocols on motor imagery classification and emotion recognition. Our results show that no single strategy consistently outperforms across tasks. Spherical Positional Encoding (SPE) yields strong representations for motor imagery but underperforms on emotion recognition, while Asymmetric Conditional Positional Encoding (ACPE) demonstrates more consistent performance across tasks. These findings suggest that the optimal positional encoding strategy is task-dependent, with no universal solution across EEG decoding scenarios.
arXiv:2605.30117v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Understanding how Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models transform multimodal knowledge into embodied control remains an open challenge. We present VLA-Trace, a progressive diagnostic framework that analyzes VLA models through a unified evidence chain from representation dynamics to causal control attribution and behavioral manifestation. It specifically combines cross-modal and checkpoint-drift centered kernel alignment (CKA) to trace representation evolution, attention knockout interventions to identify modality-specific control pathways, and rollout-level behavioral probes to examine grounding, shortcut dependence, and semantic following. Experiments on $\pi_{0.5}$ and OpenVLA reveal three key findings. First, the two models exhibit distinct modality-specific adaptation dynamics during VLA finetuning. Second, they rely on different multimodal routing strategies and layer-wise dependencies during action decoding. Third, although VLA policies excel at visually grounded trajectory generation, they remain limited in fine-grained semantic following. These findings highlight future directions for representation-preserving adaptation, causal VLA circuits, and compositional semantic control.
arXiv:2603.04678v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Language models often respond inconsistently to translation-equivalent prompts across languages, undermining the reliability of multilingual systems. To quantify this, we give an information-theoretic definition of crosslingual consistency as a divergence bound between a model's response distribution and its round-trip pushforward across languages. We then introduce penalized consistency optimization (PCO), a post-training procedure that couples this divergence with a Kullback-Leibler penalty to a fixed reference language model. Because direct optimization of PCO requires expensive on-policy roll-outs, we propose a tractable surrogate, direct consistency optimization (DCO), which can be optimized off-policy. Across diverse language models and 26 languages, DCO significantly improves crosslingual consistency, outperforms existing methods, and enables targeted alignment of low-resource languages.
arXiv:2605.29000v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Traditional lossless text compression preserves every byte, but its gains on natural language are often modest in realistic operating regimes. We study \emph{lossy semantic text compression}, where the encoder strategically deletes parts of the text and a large language model (LLM) reconstructs the original content from the retained skeleton. We benchmark a progression of deletion strategies, including uniform step deletion, word-length-guided deletion (WordLen), word-frequency-guided deletion (WordFreq), LP-optimized deletion (Opt), entropy-based deletion using GPT-2 surprisal, and hybrid methods that combine frequency and surprisal signals. Evaluation on the BBC News dataset across retention rates $\r_{keep} \in [0.1,0.9]$ shows three main findings. First, WordFreq is a strong low-cost baseline: despite using only a static frequency lookup, it remains competitive with much more expensive semantic methods while being far faster at the encoder. Second, semantic and hybrid methods provide their clearest gains at mild-to-moderate compression, whereas word-frequency deletion is often more robust at the lowest retention rates. Third, QLoRA fine-tuning yields a strong local decoder that is competitive with Gemini 2.0 Flash and is often strongest in decoder-only comparisons. Additional English and Chinese experiments show that the overall framework transfers across domains, while the best deletion rule remains dataset-dependent.
arXiv:2605.29001v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: A paraphrase-quality audit of MathCheck (ICLR 2025) detected 4 semantically incorrect paraphrases in 129 groups (3.1%); removing them drops GPT-4o from rank 2 to rank 4 and elevates Claude Haiku and DeepSeek V3 above it; these ranking changes are invisible to any single-model evaluation. Cross-model unanimity found these errors automatically (>= 3/4 models for MathCheck; >= 6/9 for our primary evaluation) for under $10; in our own dataset the same protocol found that 47% of auto-generated connective-variation paraphrases were semantically incorrect. That flaw compounds a deeper measurement gap: Claude Haiku 4.5 achieves 86% accuracy yet SCR=50%, meaning half its theorems are answered differently under semantically equivalent restatements, while aggregate accuracy across 9 models spans only 86-96% yet Semantic Consistency Rates (SCR) span 50-82% -- a 32-point gap invisible to standard benchmarks. Formally, for any target ranking over 9 frontier models there exists a weighting over paraphrase families that realizes it (No-Free-Benchmark corollary), because no model Pareto-dominates all families -- so benchmark designers who select families are implicitly choosing which model wins. FormInv supplies the audit protocol (replicated on external benchmarks at 100% recall), SCR and per-theorem Cochran's Q as primary invariance measures evaluated on 9 models across 366-811 items (on Lean4-verified theorems), and FormInvSelector for regime-aware model selection.
arXiv:2605.30194v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Low threshold cryogenic calorimeters are a key technology for the advancement of rare-event searches. However, since a few years their sensitivity reach is challenged by the presence of a rising spectrum at low energies named low-energy excess (LEE), ascribed to an unknown background. In this work, we describe the LEE as absorber events induced by the relative thermal-contraction coefficient mismatch between the absorber and the SiO$_2$ amorphous layer underneath the transition-edge sensors (TESs), present for example in the case of CRESST detectors. The relative contraction in processes with temperature changes, such as during sensor fabrication and cooldown from room temperature to the temperature of operation, can induce surface dislocation nucleation. Other interfaced materials with thermal-expansion mismatch can also generate dislocations during temperature-variation processes. We formulate a simple elastic model to bridge this solid-state effect and the LEE observations. Double-TES modules have been designed to provide surface background rejection. We highlight that the presence of the LEE in the coincident event band of double-TES modules does not exclude the explanation given in this work. Exemplary, we discuss the role of the thermal boundary resistance between absorber and sensor as explanation for the presence of the LEE in the coincident-event band. We propose detector designs to test these hypotheses and mitigate the LEE.
arXiv:2605.29267v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Foundation models are increasingly trained on synthetic data generated by prior model iterations rather than exclusively on real data. This self-consuming training paradigm can lead to model collapse, divergence, or bias amplification. Recent work (Ferbach et al., 2024) shows that incorporating human curation into the loop can steer a self-consuming model toward human-aligned behavior, but these analyses focus on a single, isolated model that solely consumes its own outputs. In practice, however, models often interact and train on input-output pairs produced by other models. This paper studies self-consuming training in the multi-model regime. We first formalize a framework for interacting self-consuming models and characterize when the resulting dynamical system converges to a stable point. We then examine how human curation of one model affects its own alignment (self-influence) and how such effects propagate to other models (cross-influence). Unlike isolated settings where human curation always enhances model alignment, we show that cross-model interactions can dampen or even invert this effect, ultimately degrading long-term alignment.
arXiv:2605.28835v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) extend their capabilities through function-calling (FC), which relies on training data with high quality, diversity, and broad coverage of scenario. However, obtaining and annotating real function-calling data is challenging, while synthetic data from existing pipelines often suffers from unreliable APIs, limited tool scalability, insufficient diversity, and weak quality control. To address these, we present GenesisFunc, an automated pipeline for generating FC training data. Starting from reliable tools in widely used public benchmarks, our GenesisFunc employs a multi-agent framework to support a dialogue generation system that produces conversations spanning diverse scenarios, while maintaining both diversity and quality throughout the process. The accuracy of the data is further reinforced through a multi-stage evaluation system. We fine-tune an 8B LLM on the synthetic dataset and show through extensive experiments that it outperforms similarly sized open-source models in in-domain FC performance and out-of-domain generalization, while reaching FC capabilities comparable to some of the latest API-based models. In addition, our method demonstrates strong potential to scale effectively across downstream tools, underscoring its real-world applicability.
arXiv:2601.04765v5 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: We study how syntactic and semantic information is encoded in inner layer representations of Large Language Models (LLMs), focusing on the very large DeepSeek-V3. We find that, by averaging hidden-representation vectors of sentences sharing syntactic structure or meaning, we obtain vectors that capture a significant proportion of the syntactic and semantic information contained in the representations. In particular, subtracting these syntactic and semantic ``centroids'' from sentence vectors strongly affects their similarity with syntactically and semantically matched sentences, respectively, suggesting that syntax and semantics are, at least partially, linearly encoded. We also find that the cross-layer encoding profiles of syntax and semantics are different, and that the two signals can to some extent be decoupled, suggesting differential encoding of these two types of linguistic information in LLM representations.
arXiv:2605.29401v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) excel at zero-shot unimodal forecasting using numerical data, but unlike LLMs they cannot consume multimodal, non-numerical context that often shape real-world trajectories. In this work, we bridge this gap and argue for a multimodal time-series forecasting approach that post-trains LLMs to act as context-guided revisors over strong numerical TSFM priors. We introduce PostTime, a post-training recipe combining Supervised Fine-Tuning (SFT) and Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR), along with a methodology to generate automated reasoning traces for forecast revisions. PostTime teaches an LLM to generate context-conditioned forecast interventions -- decisions to revise, preserve, or ignore the TSFM prior based on the multimodal context. We evaluate this approach on the TimesX multimodal forecasting benchmark using a Gemma-3-4B LLM and TimesFM-2.5 TSFM, and show that it significantly outperforms standalone TSFMs, LLM-only baselines, and existing multimodal forecasting approaches.
Bridging Theory and Practice: An Executable Taxonomy of Security Properties for ProVerif and Tamarin
arXiv:2605.29465v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Security is critical for everything relying on modern digital systems. Because almost all digital interactions are governed by the Internet and cryptographic protocols, these protocols must serve as reliable mechanisms that guarantee core security properties, such as confidentiality and integrity. Formal verification of these protocols is a critical step in securing interconnected systems. Tools such as ProVerif and Tamarin are widely employed to perform automated verification. However, their effective use demands specialized domain knowledge, creating a significant learning curve for security protocol designers who often have a security, rather than a formal verification background. We therefore need structured, accessible resources to help protocol designers to express their design and requirements in the language of the formal verification tools.
To address this, we introduce a systematic and evidence-based taxonomy of security properties. This taxonomy is derived from a literature review of 53 recent studies (2022-2025) that used ProVerif and Tamarin, providing an up-to-date view of verified properties. We systematically categorize and define these properties, providing both informal definitions for intuitive comprehension and rigorous formal definitions expressed in first-order logic for clarity and consistency. We further detail modeling patterns and implement executable examples in both ProVerif and Tamarin, collected in an open repository. This work advances the state of the art by bridging the gap between theoretical security property definitions and their practical, executable verification models.
arXiv:2605.29079v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We summarized the room-temperature optical properties for infrared-transparent materials, defining transparency windows for two different applications: thin-film coatings (absorption coefficient $\alpha < 10 cm^{-1}$) and windows ($\alpha < 1 cm^{-1}$). The transparency requirements for thin films are substantially less stringent, enabling the use of many more optical materials for a given wavelength range. To make an easy-to-use reference, we categorized materials by chemical group, crystallinity, and typical deposition technique, and discussed practical pros and cons such as chemical and thermal stability, mechanical hardness, and cost. The datasets and plotting scripts are provided so that users can regenerate transparency-window maps for different applications. If you do optical design at infrared wavelengths, we recommend that you print out the figures and stick them on your wall.
arXiv:2605.29232v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Scaling a Search Conversion Rate (CVR) prediction model, especially in high-traffic environments, presents a challenge: superior model quality needs to be balanced with strict constraints on training cost and serving latency. This paper details an effective approach for scaling modern search CVR prediction models. We begin with an empirical study to understand the scaling performance of search CVR models, analyzing how quality improves as we scale three key factors of model backbone computation, the size of embedding parameters, and the volume of training data.
We use a large-scale production dataset, comprising over a year of customer interaction logs from a high-traffic e-commerce platform, to evaluate the scalability of several state-of-the-art architectures and their ensembles. Our key findings are: (1) selecting the right backbone and scaling factors is crucial; (2) the impact of scaling backbone, embedding, and data is largely independent and additive, which has implications for more efficient scaling exploration; (3) a streamlined warmstart strategy can accelerate training iterations while simplifying new updates; (4) inference optimization strategies such as decoupled graph execution and dynamic batching can enable low-latency GPU serving even for high-capacity models. Compared to a baseline of a pre-scaling production model, we ultimately deployed a model trained on 2.5x larger training data with 8x more inference compute while having minimal latency impact. Online A/B tests also demonstrate that our launches achieved a combined +2.6% gain in a key metric of search conversion rate.