arXiv:2606.01367v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Active scene reconstruction enables robots/UAVs to autonomously plan trajectories and reconstruct environments without costly manual data acquisition. Unlike passive methods, active reconstruction requires real-time construction of high-confidence occupancy maps for collision-free navigation. Existing approaches rely on depth sensors for occupancy map updates, increasing platform cost and weight. To advance spatial intelligence, we aim for a vision-only monocular solution. However, current monocular scene reconstruction methods operate offline and fail to deliver globally consistent dense depth at the frame rates required for robots/UAVs navigation. To bridge this gap, we introduce ActMVS, the first framework for monocular active reconstruction. Our framework integrates a view factor graph construction for informed Multi-View Stereo depth prediction, along with a global depth optimization, to enable the online generation of high-quality, globally consistent dense depth maps. This enables monocular robots/UAVs to maintain reliable occupancy maps for safe trajectory planning during reconstruction. Experiments on Replica datasets demonstrate performance competitive with RGB-D methods. Our code and data are available at https://github.com/TrickyGo/ActMVS.
Science Journals
arXiv:2606.01351v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The transition from single-turn models to Multi-Agent Systems (MAS) promises enhanced problem-solving capabilities, yet the centralized orchestration topology remains a critical point of fragility. To analyze this, we propose a Mean-Field Entropy Dynamics framework, modeling the orchestration process as a system governed by the competing forces of task resolution and cumulative context loading. To facilitate validation, we introduce Inverse Workflow Generation (IWG), a multi-agent pipeline that synthesizes process-verifiable, high-complexity benchmarks with dense intermediate checkpoints. We demonstrate that our entropy dynamics model fits empirical trajectories, providing physically interpretable parameters that quantify system stability and performance collapse. Crucially, our analysis uncovers a ``Reasoning Trap": while reasoning-heavy models excel in isolated tasks, they frequently fail as orchestrators due to context squeezing. Elucidating the physical mechanisms underlying the Orchestrator and quantifying systemic uncertainty offers insights for the MASs' architectural design.
arXiv:2606.01433v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: For complex geometries, the coarse problem of geometric multigrid can be too large to be solved by a direct solver. Here, we report on the use of domain decomposition applied to the multigrid coarse problem. Additive overlapping Schwarz methods are domain decomposition methods for the iterative solution of partial differential equations whose numerical and parallel scalability can be improved by the addition of coarse levels. A successful coarse space for such methods, inspired by iterative substructuring, is the generalized Dryja--Smith--Widlund (GDSW) space. A monolithic two-level overlapping Schwarz preconditioner based on a GDSW coarse space has been introduced for the solution of saddle-point problems arising from incompressible fluid problems, and has subsequently been extended to a three-level method. In the present work, for the first time, we consider a monolithic four-level overlapping Schwarz preconditioner, obtained by applying the two-level monolithic GDSW construction recursively three times, so that the second- and third-level coarse problems are themselves treated by overlapping Schwarz and only the smallest fourth-level coarse problem is solved by a sparse direct method. Numerical results are presented for a three-dimensional incompressible stationary Stokes problem with a Carreau-type non-Newtonian viscosity model posed on the complex geometry of an extrusion die, on up to $4\,000$\,MPI ranks, comparing the four-level preconditioner with its two-level and three-level counterparts in both roles. This work is part of the StroemungsRaum project, funded by the German Bundesministerium f\"ur Forschung, Technologie und Raumfahrt (BMFTR, formerly BMBF) as part of the SCALEXA program on new methods and technologies for exascale computing.
arXiv:2606.01334v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Open-set 3D recognition requires models that generalize to rare or unseen categories. Recent approaches address this by distilling language-vision knowledge into 3D encoders, typically relying on heavy 2D ViTs and aligning each point cloud with a single image or caption, thus anchoring representations to partial views. We propose aligning each point cloud with multiple images and textual descriptions to capture a more holistic understanding of 3D objects. To realize this idea, it is essential to design a loss function capable of jointly aligning a 3D instance with multiple matched signals, multi-view images and multiple texts, while separating positive aggregation from negative competition. We introduce such a function, termed the decoupled multi-positive contrastive loss. Our formulation enhances the loss's hardness-aware focus on challenging negatives, avoiding the "spotlight crowding" that occurs when many positives share the same softmax with all the negatives. Complementing this, we present a lightweight text adapter applied only to web captions, reducing the domain gap to curated annotations and enabling effective use of large-scale unsupervised text. Our model demonstrates state-of-the-art open-vocabulary performance on long-tail benchmarks, yielding substantial zero-shot improvements while sustaining high frame rates.
arXiv:2606.01329v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: We show that computing the log-partition function (free-energy) of conditioned inhomogeneous Curie--Weiss spin Hamiltonians reduces to an unbalanced $2 \to 1$ norm computation, and design a polynomial-time SDP algorithm for this problem with a lower bound proof for the amount of unbalance achieved. Applied to the protein Ubiquitin, the framework starts from a known crystal structure, explores alternative backbone conformations across the free-energy landscape, and identifies flexible regions of the protein while preserving its native secondary structure.
arXiv:2606.01326v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: This paper presents a replication and extension of the recently introduced state-in-context agent framework. We independently re-implement the DirectSolve variant and evaluate it on the SWE-bench Verified benchmark. We report end-to-end full-benchmark results using GPT-5-mini and run selected ablations with GPT-4.1. In addition, we investigate a complementary research question: What is the impact of token-reducing input transformation strategies on the performance of software engineering agents? Based on a preliminary prompt analysis, we identify source code as the dominant contributor to token consumption. We therefore apply a series of code minification techniques that remove or shorten non-essential lexical elements while preserving program semantics. The proposed transformations are integrated into the agent and systematically evaluated. Experiments show that minification reduces average input token usage by 42% with a 12 percentage-point drop in resolution rate. These findings demonstrate that lightweight source code transformations can yield substantial efficiency gains while retaining a substantial fraction of the baseline performance, indicating a promising path toward more cost-effective agents. The full implementation is publicly available on GitHub: https://github.com/ipa-lab/minified-state-in-context-agent
arXiv:2606.02357v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Tool-augmented multimodal agents show strong benchmark gains, often taken as evidence that agents have learned to use tools. We argue that this interpretation can be premature: a tool-call trace alone does not show whether the tool supplied answer-critical information. We study two representative ``thinking with images'' agents, Thyme and DeepEyesV2, across real-world understanding, OCR, chart understanding, and mathematical reasoning. Each agent is compared with its Tool-Free counterpart and with a Pure-Text Reasoner trained from the same source pool without tool-calling trajectories. Tool access yields little consistent aggregate improvement, does not reliably reduce generated-token cost, and leaves only a small tool-only solved set: 93% of DeepEyesV2's tool-solved problems and 96% of Thyme's are also solved by at least one non-tool setting. Mechanism ablations further show that the full tool-use loop does not consistently outperform either the tool-call format or the returned execution result alone. In the settings we study, the analyzed agents appear to learn tool-calling patterns more reliably than tool-contributed capabilities, suggesting that evaluation should distinguish tool availability from whether tools actually expand what agents can solve.
arXiv:2606.02352v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Robust self-supervised learning of multi-modal video representations is critical for real-world applications such as driver distraction detection, where multiple sensors provide complementary but noisy signals. Conventional contrastive objectives, such as InfoNCE, assume all negatives are equally informative and all positives are reliable. However, this assumption is frequently violated in multi-modal data due to viewpoint changes, occlusions, or semantic overlap across modalities. In this work, we propose a novel framework for multi-modal global alignment that addresses these challenges by jointly modeling faulty negatives and unreliable or faulty positives. We introduce soft targets derived from cycle-consistency scores to relax the hard-negative assumption, and a weighting mechanism based on similarity distributions to mitigate the impact of noisy or faulty positives. Our approach extends traditional pairwise alignment to a principled global multi-modal setting, aggregating alignment information across all modality pairs. We evaluate our method on the Drive&Act dataset, demonstrating that it consistently outperforms both pairwise and existing global alignment baselines across RGB, IR, Depth, and Skeleton modalities. Cross-view ablation studies further show strong generalization to unseen camera perspectives, highlighting the robustness of our representations. Overall, our framework provides a scalable and effective solution for self-supervised global multi-modal representation learning, enabling reliable driver distraction detection and pioneering in real-world multi-modal video understanding. Our code will be published on GitHub.
Detecting Pen-In-Air States from Video: A Proof-of-Concept Toward Complementary Handwriting Analysis
arXiv:2606.02342v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Dynamic aspects of handwriting are critical for assessing developmental disorders such as dysgraphia and are typically captured using digitizing tablets. However, tablet-based sensing restricts analysis of Pen-Up behavior to a short proximity range above the writing surface, potentially missing high-lift in-air movements. As a proof of concept, we investigate whether top-view video can provide a complementary source of information for inferring pen-contact states without relying on tablet proximity sensing. We propose an interpretable hybrid pipeline combining pen-tip tracking using a YOLO-based detector with kinematic feature extraction and machine learning classification. A pilot dataset of diverse handwriting videos was manually annotated at the frame level and evaluation used a Leave-One-Video-Out (LOVO) protocol. The method achieved reliable event-level detection of Pen-Up segments, with an F_2 score up to 0.805, consistent with the emphasis on recall in a screening-oriented setting. These results support the feasibility of video-based Pen-Up detection as a low-cost and non-intrusive complement to digitizing tablets, and provide a foundation for future large-scale studies.
arXiv:2606.02334v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Dataset search and reuse are strongly constrained by the quality of metadata such as natural language descriptions, which are often sparse or inconsistent. Although large language models (LLMs) can generate such descriptions automatically, little empirical guidance exists on what makes a good dataset description and what dataset context LLMs actually need. We study these questions through a literature-grounded framework of dataset description quality and a large-scale ablation study using 252 datasets (1,336 CSV files) from the European data portal data.europa.eu. We generate descriptions with LLMs in a baseline scenario and two ablation scenarios: (1) using only dataset titles, (2) titles and schema, and (3) titles, schema and representative data, and evaluate them with an LLM-as-a- judge framework and a semantic descriptive attribute analysis grounded in our quality dimensions. Our results reveal a consis- tent schema penalty: table-schemas alone often degrade narrative quality, while representative data partially restores grounding without improving overall human-facing quality. We further show that different LLMs exhibit stable descriptive personas. These findings provide practical guidance for LLM-supported data publishing workflows.
arXiv:2606.02333v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: General matrix multiply (GEMM) dominates both execution time and energy consumption of modern machine learning (ML) workloads, placing increasing pressure on hardware efficiency. While quantization mitigates computational and data movement costs, accuracy-sensitive tasks such as training still require higher-precision floating-point formats. Existing floating-point GEMM accelerators face trade-offs between operating frequency, arithmetic utilization, and buffering overhead. This work presents O-POPE, a scalable outer-product engine that achieves concurrently high utilization, low overhead, and a fast operating frequency by repurposing floating-point unit (FPU) pipeline registers as buffers. This solution leverages the data-reuse advantages of output-stationary outer-product execution and enables 1 GHz (0.72 V) operation in 12 nm FINFET technology with less than 2% buffer area for a 2048-MACs configuration. Our evaluation shows that O-POPE achieves up to 99.97% FPU utilization and improves performance (1.33x), performance density by 9%, and energy efficiency by 8%, compared to state-of-the-art floating-point GEMM accelerators.
arXiv:2606.02325v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Given a connected graph $G$ and a terminal set $R \subseteq V(G)$, the Steiner tree problem (ST) asks for a tree that spans all of $R$ with at most $r$ vertices from $V(G)\backslash R$, for some integer $r\geq 0$. It is known from (Garey et al.,1977 ) that ST is NP-complete. A Steiner tree in which all terminal vertices are constrained to be leaves is called a terminal Steiner tree. Our study addresses the existence of a terminal Steiner tree, its complexity across various graph classes, black-box applications of the ST, and a fixed-parameter tractable (FPT) algorithm with respect to the number of terminals.
arXiv:2606.02296v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Multi-robot systems cannot assume persistent network connectivity. We study this problem through target tracking, where performance depends on how quickly target information is sensed, transported through the team, and used before it becomes stale. When robots exchange information only through physical encounters, tracking becomes a kinetic information-transport problem: robot motion induces encounters, encounters carry target-state estimates, information age determines staleness, and stale information produces tracking error. This paper develops a kinetic theory of encounter-based information propagation and identifies three limits. The first is an access limit -- information cannot support team-level coordination unless it spreads beyond the robots that sensed it. The second is a staleness limit -- even propagated information loses value as the target moves. The third is a geometry limit -- when target motion outpaces information transport, tracking error approaches a saturation regime where communication improvements alone have diminishing returns. We evaluate the theory through large-scale simulations varying team size, operating area, communication range, and target speed. Results support the proposed access-staleness-geometry decomposition: communication coverage governs the access transition; once information is accessible, tracking error is shaped by target displacement; and this response is locally linear in restricted regimes but nonlinear over broader ranges because of sensing refreshes and bounded geometry. Across controlled sweeps and joint variation, the derived access and staleness coordinates reliably describe tracking performance. Together, these results establish a kinetic-theoretic framework for predicting and designing encounter-based multi-robot systems.
arXiv:2606.02289v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Existing hallucination taxonomies classify LLM errors by what is wrong with the output -- memorised misconceptions, reasoning failures, fluent fabrications. These taxonomies are useful for diagnosis but cannot answer a different question: which uncertainty scorer would have caught this error? We propose a complementary taxonomy that classifies errors by their detectability signature -- the signal a scorer family would read.
The DECK taxonomy is a 2x2 partition along inter-sample consistency and token-level confidence into four behavioural regimes (Drift, Entrenched, Confabulation, Knotted), each mapping to a specific scorer family (or families) that can detect it: black-box consistency scorers have signal in D and C, white-box token-probability scorers have signal in K and C, and only an LLM-as-a-Judge with independent pretraining can detect E. Cell membership is operationalised by a Youden's J optimal split on each scorer axis.
Across three models and four datasets we validate the taxonomy two ways: by analysing scorer-pair disagreement, and by checking that external labels (SelfAware unanswerable, HaluEval adversarial, PopQA entity popularity) land in the predicted DECK cells, with model-scale and content-specific secondary-cell refinements.
We further identify a universal blind spot of output-level UQ: on knowledge-gap inputs where the generator emits confident, repeatable fabrications, every output-level family collapses by construction. A linear probe on Llama-3-8B's hidden states also collapses to chance, giving preliminary evidence that the failure may persist at the activation level; richer internal-state methods (UQ heads, information-theoretic estimators) remain to be tested.
arXiv:2411.11436v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: In this paper, we address the problem of feature selection in the context of multi-label learning, by using a new estimator based on implicit regularization and label embedding. Unlike the sparse feature selection methods that use a penalized estimator with explicit regularization terms such as $l_{2,1}$-norm, MCP or SCAD, we propose a simple alternative method via Hadamard product parameterization. In order to guide the feature selection process, a latent semantic of multi-label information method is adopted, as a label embedding. Experimental results on some known benchmark datasets suggest that the proposed estimator suffers much less from extra bias, and may lead to benign overfitting.
arXiv:2301.06308v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Sharpness-aware minimization (SAM) is a training method that seeks to find flat minima in deep learning, resulting in state-of-the-art performance across various domains. Instead of minimizing the loss of the current weights, SAM minimizes the worst-case loss in its neighborhood in the parameter space. In this paper, we investigate the convergence instability of SAM near a saddle point. Using the qualitative theory of dynamical systems, we explain how SAM becomes stuck in the saddle point and theoretically prove that the saddle point can become an attractor under SAM dynamics. Additionally, we show that this convergence instability can also occur in stochastic dynamical systems by establishing the diffusion of SAM. We prove that SAM diffusion is worse than that of vanilla gradient descent in terms of saddle point escape. Finally, we demonstrate that often overlooked training tricks, momentum and batch-size, might be important to mitigate the convergence instability and achieve high generalization performance. Our theoretical and empirical results are thoroughly verified through experiments on several well-known optimization problems and benchmark tasks.
arXiv:2606.02183v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The subgraph isomorphism problem and its generalizations such as conjunctive queries, where some nodes are projected, are among the most fundamental problems in graph algorithms and database theory. In this paper, we study the listing and enumeration variants of these problems and present two main results.
(1) We present the first algorithms for enumerating projected trees with polynomial preprocessing time ($\widetilde{O}(n^{17.42})$) and polylogarithmic delay ($\mathrm{polylog}(n)$). Prior to this work, all algorithms in the literature required time $\Omega(n^{\Omega(k)} + t)$ or $t \cdot n^{\Omega(1)}$ to list all copies of a $k$-node tree with projections, where $t$ is the number of solutions. Our result generalizes to arbitrary projected hypergraphs, achieving enumeration in preprocessing time $\widetilde{O}(m^{17.42 \cdot \mathrm{subw}(H)})$ and polylogarithmic delay, where $\mathrm{subw}(H)$ is the submodular width of the pattern hypergraph $H$. We heavily rely on fast (rectangular and output-sensitive) matrix multiplication, which we complement by fine-grained lower bounds indicating that any algorithm beating time $\Omega(n^{\Omega(k)} + t)$ must rely on fast matrix multiplication.
(2) As our second main result, we present a generic enumeration-to-listing reduction, establishing that listing and enumeration are equivalent under natural assumptions. For (colored) subgraph isomorphism, our reduction transforms any listing algorithm running in time $O(f(n,m) + t \cdot g(n,m))$ into an enumeration algorithm with preprocessing time $O((f(n,m)+g(n,m)+m) \log^2 n)$ and delay $O(g(n,m))$. We utilize this equivalence as a tool for proving our first main result, and we expect that our generic reduction will find many future applications.
arXiv:2606.02178v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Recent advancements in generative AI have led to image editing models capable of producing realistic forgeries that evade traditional image forgery localization methods, as these approaches depend on physical noise absent in synthetic data. To address this challenge, we theoretically demonstrate that the diffusion process inherently suppresses local high-frequency variance, creating a statistical energy gap that is distinguishable from the natural entropy of optical imaging. Guided by this insight, we propose FLAME, a unified framework that utilizes a LAD map to capture these intrinsic anomalies, coupled with a parameter-efficient adapter for SAM to achieve precise, pixel-level forgery localization. Furthermore, to bridge the lag between forensic benchmarks and evolving generative models, we introduce EditStream, an automated pipeline for continuous, instruction-based training data synthesis. Extensive experiments demonstrate that FLAME establishes a new state-of-the-art, significantly outperforming previous methods on AI-generated forgery datasets while effectively generalizing to unseen generative architectures. Our code is available at https://github.com/phoenixnir/FLAME.
arXiv:2510.08948v4 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Effective e-commerce risk management requires in-depth case investigations to identify emerging fraud patterns in highly adversarial environments. However, manual investigation typically requires analyzing the associations and couplings among multi-source heterogeneous data, a labor-intensive process that limits efficiency. While Large Language Models (LLMs) show promise in automating these analyses, their deployment is hindered by the complexity of risk scenarios and the sparsity of long-tail domain knowledge. To address these challenges, we propose Sherlock, a framework that integrates structured domain knowledge with LLM-based reasoning through three core modules. First, we construct a domain Knowledge Base (KB) by distilling structured expertise from heterogeneous knowledge sources. Second, we design a two-stage retrieval-augmented generation strategy tailored for case investigation, which combines input contextual augmentation with a Reflect & Refine module to fully leverage the KB for improved analysis quality. Finally, we develop an integrated platform for operations and annotation to drive a self-evolving data flywheel. By combining real-time hotfixes through KB updates with periodic logic alignment via post-training, we facilitate continuous system evolution to counteract adversarial drifts. Online A/B tests at JD dot com demonstrate that Sherlock achieves an 82% Expert Acceptance Rate (EAR) and a 386.7% increase in daily investigation throughput. An additional 90-day evaluation shows that the flywheel successfully recovers from performance decay caused by changing tactics twice, raising the EAR ceiling by around 3.5% through autonomous model updates.
arXiv:2606.01934v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Large language models achieve remarkable performance via extended chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning, yet this lengthy process incurs substantial inference overhead. Existing CoT compression methods struggle with inflexible manual length budgets, computationally expensive multi-stage training pipelines, and fragile scalability restricted to small models. We propose HMPO (Hybrid Median-length Policy Optimization), a cost-effective, single-stage reinforcement learning framework. HMPO efficiently compresses CoT via three synergistic components: an adaptive median-based budget derived from successful rollouts to eliminate manual tuning, a cosine-decay token reward for smooth length penalization, and a multiplicative reward formulation that substantially mitigates trivial reward hacking by strictly prioritizing answer correctness. Trained exclusively on mathematical data, HMPO generalizes seamlessly across math, code, science, and instruction-following tasks. Extensive experiments scaling from 9B to 122B parameters across dense and Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures demonstrate that HMPO achieves 19%--46% token compression with negligible accuracy degradation, all while drastically reducing training costs compared to existing multi-stage baselines.
arXiv:2606.01577v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Methane is a major driver of near-term climate change, and rapidly identifying its emission sources is a critical climate intervention. Spaceborne hyperspectral imagery is the primary tool for this task, but the volume of data produced by each sensor makes ground-based detection impractical and necessitates onboard detection. Classical methods incur prohibitive computational cost on onboard hardware, while deep learning models are fast but fall short on detection quality. We propose FLAME, a physics-guided neural operator that builds the physics of methane absorption directly into its architecture. On the methane detection benchmark, FLAME achieves the highest detection accuracy among all evaluated methods, reduces the pixel-level false positive rate by nearly $3\times$ over the strongest neural baseline, uses the fewest parameters among learned baselines, and runs within the latency budget of onboard satellite hardware.
arXiv:2606.01479v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Integrating large language models (LLMs) into text-to-speech (TTS) systems has improved speech expressiveness, yet interpretable emotional control remains challenging. Existing approaches primarily rely on external conditioning or global activation steering, offering limited insight into the internal representations underlying emotional control. In this work, we analyze emotion-related variation in the semantic hidden states of LLM-based TTS models using sparse autoencoders (SAEs) to identify sparse latent features. Our analysis shows that emotional variation is distributed across multiple sparse latent features, while intervening on a small subset enables interpretable emotion control. Building on this observation, we introduce a feature-level intervention framework for bidirectional emotion induction and suppression without modifying backbone parameters. We further show that distinct latent features are associated with specific acoustic attributes (e.g., pitch), suggesting that emotional expression arises from coordinated latent contributions rather than a single global shift. Empirically, steering these sparse latent features achieves comparable or superior emotion induction and suppression performance relative to global steering and existing TTS baselines.
arXiv:2606.02276v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Vision-language models (VLMs) trained on paired chest radiographs and radiology reports learn a shared embedding space that can preserve instance-level image-report correspondence. This poses a privacy risk in settings where radiographs and reports are deliberately kept separate after acquisition, such as image-only data sharing or access-controlled reports, because a de-identified image may be re-linked to its original narrative report through cosine similarity alone. We formalized this as image-to-report retrieval and used public paired cohorts, in which the true pairing is known by design, as ground-truth benchmarks to audit the risk rather than as the privacy scenario. Evaluating VLMs of increasing clinical specialization on 406,241 paired examples from 126,804 patients across MIMIC-CXR (43,793 held-out pairs) and external CheXpert Plus (29,296 pairs), we found that re-linkage rose systematically with specialization: the strongest VLM retrieved the correct report at 15 times chance at a candidate pool of N = 100, 50 times chance at N = 10,000, and well above chance at full-database scale. The signal persisted under pathology-matched hard negatives that removed disease-label shortcuts, indicating correspondence beyond broad diagnostic categories. To reduce it without retraining, we froze both encoders and applied differentially private optimization only to the projection heads defining the alignment layer (epsilon = 0.34, delta = 6x10-6). This reduced Recall@1 by 61.8% at N = 10,000 on MIMIC-CXR and transferred to CheXpert Plus without retraining, while image-side utility was largely preserved: macro AUROC for linear-probe classification across 14 labels shifted only from 79.63% to 79.43%. Targeted DP finetuning of the shared alignment layer can substantially reduce cross-modal re-linkage without materially degrading the image representations that make these models clinically useful.
arXiv:2606.01352v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Watch time has emerged as a pivotal metric for optimizing deep user engagement in short-video recommender systems. However, current methods of watch time prediction (WTP) suffer from inherent paradigm-specific limitations. Direct Regression faces mean-collapse due to unimodal Gaussian assumptions, while Ordinal Regression is hampered by quantization errors from rigid discretization. Similarly, Discrete Generative Regression struggles with high inference latency and heuristic vocabulary design. Beyond these specific flaws, a shared deficiency is the inability to capture the intrinsic multimodality and heterogeneity of User-Item Interaction Patterns. To address these challenges, we first revisit the WTP problem from a causal perspective and identify these user-specific patterns as structural confounders that modulate watch time outcomes, where identical interests manifest as distinct watch time outcomes conditioned on diverse user habits. Then, we formally propose a new (or the fourth) paradigm -- Continuous Generative Regression, and introduce FlowTime, a novel method utilizing a One-step Generative Variational Autoencoder. FlowTime effectively circumvents the latency of iterative denoising while maintaining the expressivity of continuous latent spaces. Furthermore, we design a Flow-based Personalized Prior that leverages NFs to warp a standard Gaussian prior into a complex, history-conditioned manifold, thereby enabling the adaptive modeling of multimodal interaction patterns. Finally, we build TimeRec, the first open-source WTP Library, alongside a novel personalization metric to establish a rigorous benchmarking standard. Extensive offline experiments and online A/B tests demonstrate FlowTime's significant superiority over SOTA methods.
arXiv:2606.00219v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: We are witnessing a surge in observations of the cosmic dawn (CD) and epoch of reionisation (EoR), driving an increasing demand for fast and robust theoretical interpretation frameworks. In response, machine learning (ML), and emulation in particular, has emerged as a powerful approach to accelerate and enhance inference pipelines. In this work, we present 21cmEMUv3, an emulator trained on 21cmFASTv3 simulations that model both atomically and molecularly cooling galaxies. 21cmEMUv3 is conditioned on $\sigma_8$ and ten astrophysical parameters to produce seven summary observables: (i) the cylindrical 21cm power spectrum (PS), emulated for the first time at such high resolution and accuracy across a wide redshift range of $z \sim$ 6--30; (ii) the spherically-averaged 21cm PS; (iii) the mean neutral fraction of the intergalactic medium (IGM); (iv) the mean 21cm spin temperature; (v) the global 21cm signal; (vi) the ultraviolet (UV) luminosity functions (LFs); and (vii) the Thomson scattering optical depth. Notably, the cylindrical 21cm PS is emulated via score-based diffusion, while the remaining six summaries are emulated via long-short term memory (LSTM) networks, all achieving sub-percent median accuracy. We use the emulator to reinterpret current 21cm PS upper limits from HERA, for the first time using state-of-the-art hydrodynamical simulations to inform priors on star formation inside molecularly cooling galaxies. We find that our inferred soft-band X-ray luminosity per unit star formation rate is consistent with extrapolations of high-mass X-ray binaries to the low-metallicity regimes expected in the first galaxies, excluding values below $10^{39.2}$ erg s$^{-1}M^{-1}_\odot \rm{yr}$ at $95\%$ confidence. Finally, we produce forecasts for the detection of the cosmic 21cm PS with the Square Kilometre Array for different array configurations. The 21cmEMU package is publicly available.