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Combination cancer drugs extend survival for thousands of breast cancer patients

A major analysis of clinical trials confirms that adding CDK4/6 inhibitors to hormone therapy significantly improves survival in advanced breast cancer—potentially affecting treatment protocols and drug demand across oncology networks. The findings could reshape standard care guidelines and influence pharmaceutical market dynamics for this $10+ billion drug class.

Originaltitel: CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy versus endocrine monotherapy in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer: a reconstructed individual patient data meta-analysis of phase 3 randomised controlled trials

Abstrakt

<p><strong>BACKGROUND: </strong>CDK4/6 inhibitors have shown clinical benefits in patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. This meta-analysis aims to evaluate their effect on survival outcomes across clinically relevant subgroups.</p><p><strong>METHODS:</strong> For this reconstructed individual patient-level meta-analysis, we searched PubMed, Web of Science, the Cochrane Library, and Scopus on June 2, 2025, for phase 3 trials that compared CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy with endocrine monotherapy in patients with hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Kaplan-Meier curves were reconstructed with the use of a time-to-event algorithm to retrieve survival data for individual patients. A series of pooled analyses for the reconstructed individual patient data were conducted with the use of a stratified Cox regression model. A pairwise random-effects meta-analysis was also conducted. Patients were stratified by endocrine sensitivity into endocrine-sensitive and endocrine-resistant, as well as by age, ethnicity, progesterone receptor status, menopausal status, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, bone-only disease, and visceral metastasis. Primary outcomes analysed were progression-free survival and overall survival. The protocol is registered in PROSPERO (CRD420251073444).</p><p><strong>FINDINGS: </strong>11 phase 3 trials, including 6035 patients and four agents-abemaciclib, ribociclib, palbociclib, and dalpiciclib-were included. CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy significantly improved progression-free survival in both endocrine-sensitive (HR 0·57, 95% CI 0·52-0·63; p&lt;0·0001) and endocrine-resistant cancers (0·51, 0·45-0·57; p&lt;0·0001). Overall survival was also improved with CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy in both subgroups: endocrine-sensitive (0·83; 0·74-0·92; p=0·0005) and endocrine-resistant (0·77; 0·67-0·89; p=0·0003). All individual agents, when combined with endocrine therapy showed progression-free survival benefits: abemaciclib (HR 0·53, 95% CI 0·46-0·61; p&lt;0·0001), ribociclib (0·60, 0·52-0·68; p&lt;0·0001), palbociclib (0·56, 0·49-0·65; p&lt;0·0001), and dalpiciclib (0·49, 0·40-0·61; p&lt;0·0001). However, only abemaciclib (0·79, 0·67-0·92; p=0·0031) and ribociclib (0·73, 0·64-0·84; p&lt;0·0001) showed significant overall survival benefits; palbociclib did not reach statistical significance (0·89, 0·77-1·02; p=0·0920), and data for dalpiciclib remain immature. Other clinically relevant subgroups, stratified by age, ethnicity, progesterone receptor status, menopausal status, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status, bone-only disease, and visceral metastasis, showed progression-free survival and overall survival benefits in patients with endocrine-sensitive and endocrine-resistant tumours.</p><p><strong>INTERPRETATION: </strong>CDK4/6 inhibitors plus endocrine therapy significantly improved survival in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Benefits in progression-free survival and overall survival were consistent across major clinical subgroups. Although all agents improved progression-free survival, only ribociclib and abemaciclib showed statistically significant overall survival benefits, whereas palbociclib did not, and data for dalpiciclib remain immature. Further head-to-head comparisons and assessments of toxicity profiles, as well as patient-reported outcomes, are needed. FUNDING: None.</p>

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