New AI method dramatically improves forest carbon tracking from satellite data
Researchers have developed a deep learning technique that fuses optical and radar satellite imagery to measure forest carbon stocks with significantly higher accuracy than existing methods. The advance could enable companies and governments to better monitor carbon sequestration rates, support nature-based climate claims, and improve carbon credit valuations.
Originaltitel: Improving Forest Aboveground Biomass Estimation Accuracy via Optical and SAR Data Fusion Using Deep Learning Algorithms
Forest above-ground biomass (AGB) estimation is crucial for evaluating carbon dynamics. Although optical and synthetic aperture radar (SAR) data provide complementary spectral and structural information, limitations in existing fusion approaches restrict AGB estimation accuracy. This study proposes a multi-source data fusion framework comparing two image fusion strategies—the conventional Hue-Intensity-Saturation Wavelet (HIS-Wavelet) method and a deep learning-based HIS-Non-Subsampled Shearlet Transform combined with Pulse Coupled Neural Network (HIS-NSST + PCNN) approach—for forest AGB estimation using Gaofen-1 (GF-1), Gaofen-2 (GF-2), and Gaofen-3 (GF-3) satellite imagery in a subtropical forest area of Yunnan Province, China. Three regression models—Multiple Linear Stepwise Regression (MLSR), K-Nearest Neighbor (KNN), and KNN with Fast Iterative Feature Selection (KNN-FIFS)—were systematically compared to evaluate estimation performance and justify model selection. Results indicate that the HIS-NSST + PCNN method outperforms HIS-Wavelet in fusion quality metrics, with the GF-2 Red-Near-infrared-Blue (RNB) band and GF-3 combination using HH co-polarization achieving the highest image quality. The optimal AGB retrieval was achieved with the GF-1RNB and GF-3 combination under HIS-NSST + PCNN (coefficient of determination (R2) = 0.80, root mean square error (RMSE) = 14.79 t/ha), improving R2 by 0.07 and RMSE by 2.35 t/ha over HIS-Wavelet. However, for GF-2 + GF-3, HIS-Wavelet achieved marginally better inversion accuracy (R2 = 0.71) than HIS-NSST + PCNN (R2 = 0.69), indicating that superior fusion quality does not directly translate to higher inversion accuracy. Bootstrap resampling analysis (1000 iterations) confirmed the statistical robustness, with the optimal KNN-FIFS yielding R2 = 0.800 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.678–0.924) and RMSE = 14.79 t/ha (95% CI: 12.51–17.22 t/ha), showing non-overlapping confidence intervals with both benchmark models. These findings demonstrate that spectral complementarity between optical and SAR data plays a more critical role than spatial resolution alone in fusion-based AGB estimation, and that adaptive feature selection is essential for maximizing inversion accuracy.